Posted on 09/04/2006 7:26:12 PM PDT by davidosborne
It is FLORIDA PRIMARY TIME ! - Come here to discuss who you voted for and why... and lets follow the results as they come in..
Click here to view live election results !!
So, you think that means moderats don't walk away?
In the last virginia Delegate election, we had one republican who retired, and one who had a primary challenger. When conservatives won the primary for the retired seat, the retired republican endorsed the democrat. When a conservative beat the incumbent republican, HE endorsed the democrat and made campaign appearances for him.
I've seen conservatives stay home. I've not seen them actively campaign for the democrat when they didn't like the republican. I hope never to see that from any republican.
You cited one example. Only ONE!
Come back when you get something better.
I cited two, but that wasn't the point. Your "refutation" was a simple assertion that conservatives walk away from moderates.
I'm just asking if you actually think that asserting conservatives walk away from moderates makes me a liar for saying moderates walk away from conservatives.
Those two are independent assertions, so your use of one to "refute" the other seemed meaningless, and I wanted to know if you really thought you were proving something.
Now that the Primary is behind, I call on all FReepers to join me in supporting Charlie Crist - For Gov. and Katherine Harris - For U.S. Senate....
As you all know I supported Gallagher and McBride - But now it is time to UNITE conservatives and Moderates accross Florida in SUPPORT of the winners !
I would like to start by offering my PUBLIC SUPPORT for....
Mydd has new polls from 27 different districts on his website. Mixed news. Not sure to what extent the polling should be trusted.
yeah, that was it. very mixed news, if all of it is accurate.
Katherine Harris takes GOP nomination; now comes the hard part
Are you going to continue to spam every single Florida thread with that?
Knock it off with the spamming.
It has some surprises, like Shays is in great shape, relatively speaking, Simmons is a sick puppy, and Sherwood and Drake very sick puppies, and that earlier Reichart poll was bogus, and he's behind, and the Dems still have the edge fo the Ney seat (that might change once Padgett gets settled, and starts compaigning and stays on the ballot in what I suspect is the coming Dem lawsuit if she wins the primary). Still, it has enough about it that seems to be about right, and comports with what seems reasonable, to suggest that the methodology is not totally bogus, and the surprises should not be disregarded out of hand. It suggests that when Indiana comes in, and factoring in some of the other marginals not on the list, that Rothenberg's 15-20 projection is about right on the money.
Sherwood and Drake are the two big surprises to me. I know Sherwood has that mistress scandal thing, but I didn't think it would hit him quite this hard. Guess it did. And while I know it's been close all along, I feel like there's something I'm missing with the Drake race, unless the Dem challenger is just of exceptional quality.
I don't understand the Drake race at all. Bush carried the district by 16% in 2004, and it is in the navy zone, far from DC. But she has been on the endangered list for about 2 months now, although not this endangered. There must be something going on as to the candidates.
I've seen it now! I'm travelling until Monday night & won't really have a chance to ponder this much until then, but no doubt it'll all get factored into my own analysis. Obviously my Labor Day edition is overdue, but I've had something come up on short notice so I'm thinking I'll just wait until the Tues. primary.
We've missed you. :) Hope your travels were pleasurable.
I am surprised by Shays running ahead of Simmons in Connecticut. I also didn't realize Gerlach was down that much in PA-6
The Democratic primary wasn't.
There's your explanation.
Gerlach barely won last time, in a Dem trending district, which Bush 2004 lost by a small margin, and the Iraq war has just made it all the tougher. Other than Iowa-1, I can't think of another seat I was more confident the GOP would drop. So that one is absolutely no surprise. Previous polls have shown it tight, and the Dem is very well funded.
It's been OK. Just some family business to attend to. The fun part comes this weekend, though, when I'm gonna kick back and do much of nothing for three days. :)
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