000
WTNT31 KNHC 041433
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1100 AM EDT MON SEP 04 2006
...DEPRESSION ALMOST A TROPICAL STORM...
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1235 MILES...1990 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...16.3 N...42.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
It isn't looking all that impressive this morning. There is still a bit of dry air left around it. Plus, a modest el Nino-type shear pattern has set up over much of the western Atlantic. Hopefully that will be a solid defensive pattern for the US the remainder of the season.