Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Crist keeps wide lead; Smith gains on Davis
Miami Herald ^ | 8/31/2006 | MARY ELLEN KLAS

Posted on 08/31/2006 5:00:10 AM PDT by Happy Valley Dude

Attorney General Charlie Crist's formidable lead over Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher in the Republican primary for governor appears secure, according to a poll released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University, but with less than a week to go before Tuesday's election, the race between the leading Democrats is still up for grabs.

Crist is ahead of Gallagher 57 to 32 percent, according to the Connecticut-based public opinion research group.

But the poll says the contest between U.S. Rep. Jim Davis and state Sen. Rod Smith is much tighter, with Davis leading 43-32 percent, while a substantial 24 percent of Democrats surveyed are still undecided. Among Republican voters, 12 percent say they have not made up their minds.

''The thing about undecideds is many of them often don't vote,'' said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, adding that many Democrats have ''not been inspired'' by the Democratic candidates this year.

The poll showed that Crist's lead includes voters who identify themselves as ''born-again or evangelical Christians.'' Among Republicans, 45 percent describe themselves within that conservative subset, and among those voters, Crist leads Gallagher 53 to 38 percent, although that sample has a margin of error of 8.7 percentage points.

The university surveyed likely primary voters in Florida Aug. 23-28, including 317 Republicans and 312 Democrats. Because of the small sample, the poll had a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points.


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2006polls; charliecrist; flelection2006; florida; jimdavis; rodsmith; tomgallagher
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061 next last
Only five days to go!
1 posted on 08/31/2006 5:00:11 AM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Happy Valley Dude

I know many here like Gallagher. I don't know either man, but I really don't like Gallagher's campaign. It is obnoxious and makes me wonder about his honesty.


2 posted on 08/31/2006 5:19:11 AM PDT by ClaireSolt (.All generalizations are false, including this one.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ClaireSolt
I know many here like Gallagher. I don't know either man, but I really don't like Gallagher's campaign. It is obnoxious and makes me wonder about his honesty.

Gallagher hasn't been running nearly as nasty of a campaign as the Democrats have been against each other.
3 posted on 08/31/2006 6:37:52 AM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: ClaireSolt
I know many here like Gallagher. I don't know either man, but I really don't like Gallagher's campaign. It is obnoxious and makes me wonder about his honesty.

Gallagher was even more disgusting when he ran against Jeb Bush for governor. He's like a "James Carville Wannabe".

4 posted on 08/31/2006 8:31:43 AM PDT by capt. norm (Bumper Sticker: Honk if you've never seen an Uzi shoot from a car window.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Happy Valley Dude
Just a few things to point out in this article.

1. Connecticut-based public opinion research group. okay.. i'll leave that alone....

2.includes voters who identify themselves as ''born-again or evangelical Christians.'' - How many of the 317 folks surveyed???

3. surveyed likely primary voters in Florida Aug. 23-28, including 317 Republicans

57% of 317 is what???

5 posted on 08/31/2006 10:56:58 AM PDT by davidosborne (DavidOsborne.net)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JennieOsborne; politicallyincarrect; /\XABN584; 3D-JOY; 5Madman; <1/1,000,000th%; 11B3; ...

my 2cents worth on this thread... passing it on.. GO GALLAGHER !!


6 posted on 08/31/2006 11:00:57 AM PDT by davidosborne (DavidOsborne.net)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Happy Valley Dude

Guess Dobson's endorsement has not exactly borne much fruit.


7 posted on 08/31/2006 11:06:40 AM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (If you believe ANYTHING in the Treason Media you are a fool.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: davidosborne

BTTT


8 posted on 08/31/2006 11:15:45 AM PDT by E.G.C.
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: justshutupandtakeit
Guess Dobson's endorsement has not exactly borne much fruit.

Either that or the survey managed to miss Dobson's vast audience, or was not able to find them at all (as is the case in with the broadcast ratings).

At 57% Crist, 32% Gallagher, one has to have really swallowed the Kool Aid to think Gallagher will win. Another three point slip would put Gallagher behind by a two-to-one margin.

Had Gallagher not run such a nasty campaign against Jeb Bush for governor (that people very well remember) he might not be in such a bad position. He got really trashy in the campaign....something his ardent followers choose to overlook. Way too much denial.

9 posted on 08/31/2006 11:34:40 AM PDT by capt. norm (Bumper Sticker: Honk if you've never seen an Uzi shoot from a car window.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: davidosborne; Happy Valley Dude

45% of the 317 surveyed described themselves as "evangelical" or "born again."

If you don't like the Qunnipiac poll because it is based out of Connecticut, then what do you think about the other two polls that came out this week? Strategic vision (a Republican polling firm) showed Crist up 16, and Mason-Dixon poll which came out today showing Crist up 22 points.


10 posted on 08/31/2006 11:49:44 AM PDT by MedNole
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: capt. norm

His advocates here have shown themselves to be fairly clueless all around.


11 posted on 08/31/2006 12:05:13 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (If you believe ANYTHING in the Treason Media you are a fool.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Happy Valley Dude

More from Quinnipiac:

“It will take a political storm a lot bigger than Ernesto to give Gallagher much chance to defeat Crist in the GOP primary,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “It would be hard to think of a candidate who has blown that large a lead with so little time remaining until the actual voting.

Fifty-one percent have a favorable impression of Crist, compared to only 11 percent who view him unfavorably. By comparison, 32 percent view Gallagher favorably, with 17 percent unfavorable.

Only 18 percent of Crist voters, compared to 27 percent of Gallagher supporters, say they might change their mind before going to the polls Tuesday.


12 posted on 08/31/2006 12:11:31 PM PDT by Sherri
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: davidosborne
and me too. THEY DIDN'T CALL ME! And they didn't reach people who were on the internet who don't have DSL. Think about it. They are calling people who are NOT WIRED.

GO, GALLAGHER! This is the age of the internet and lots of people are not on line waiting for pollsters to call them.

That IS A FACTOR!

GO, GALLAGHER!

13 posted on 08/31/2006 12:11:38 PM PDT by floriduh voter (www.conservative-spirit.org GALLAGHER & CRIST IMPORTANT STUFF)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: davidosborne
my 2cents worth on this thread... passing it on.. GO GALLAGHER !!

Yes, if you ignore the bad news, it will just go away.

Doesn't anyone find it odd that not one single poll has shown Gallagher ahead in the past few months?
14 posted on 08/31/2006 12:24:11 PM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: floriduh voter
THEY DIDN'T CALL ME!

They also didn't call me, so it all evens out.
15 posted on 08/31/2006 12:25:23 PM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Happy Valley Dude
I am opposed to judicial tyranny. Charlie Crist aided and abetted judicial tyranny and Terri's Fight is going to have a lot more pleas for help because the death lobby will be completely in charge.

http://www.terrisfight.org

16 posted on 08/31/2006 12:30:41 PM PDT by floriduh voter (www.conservative-spirit.org GALLAGHER & CRIST IMPORTANT STUFF)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Happy Valley Dude

How many undecided voters vote for the candidate that is ahead in the "polls" 5 days before the election. My experience tells me that undecided voters do look at the endorsements.. and in this case, I think that favots Gallagher... IMHO


17 posted on 08/31/2006 12:34:52 PM PDT by davidosborne (DavidOsborne.net)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: floriduh voter
I am opposed to judicial tyranny. Charlie Crist aided and abetted judicial tyranny

Crist didn't do anything for the same reason that Gallagher didn't do anything: The law did not provide a remedy for the situation.

Are you suggesting that Crist should have exceeded his authority as Attorney General to save Mrs. Schiavo?

If you are, why is Gallagher off the hook for not doing the same thing?
18 posted on 08/31/2006 12:40:56 PM PDT by Happy Valley Dude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Happy Valley Dude
Charlie Crist had a civil rights dept. He slammed the door in Terri's face.

Tom Gallagher spoke out on Terri's behalf before Crist's friend Judge Greer and Judge Whittemore carried out the order to torture her until death.

19 posted on 08/31/2006 12:45:02 PM PDT by floriduh voter (www.conservative-spirit.org GALLAGHER & CRIST IMPORTANT STUFF)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: floriduh voter

They didn't call me, and I voted (absentee ballot) for Crist.


20 posted on 08/31/2006 12:48:06 PM PDT by countess
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson