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To: okstate

This is huge new, because a) he's had a steady lead, and b) because I think ALL the polls are, for some weird reason, undersampling Pubbies. If Santorum and Burns hold, and we lose Chafee, right now there is no change. But I think we'll also get MN for +1. Now, if Chafee has more starch in his drawers than I think, it could really get interesting . . . and downright suicidal for the Dems.


12 posted on 08/30/2006 12:35:26 PM PDT by LS
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To: LS
Actually, it looks like Kennedy will lose and it won't be as close as we'd thought.

The more interesting race right now is Bouchard in Michigan. It seems he's closed the gap to 6-7 points.

The only real chance for an upset right now in the midwest seems to be Bouchard/Stabenow. Kennedy/Klochbar has, unfortunately, been polling well into a double-digit lead for the Democrat for several polls in a row, including GOP polls.

Bouchard is popular in an area of Michigan where Stabenow garnered a boondoggle of votes last time. He was sheriff there, and has a good reputation. GOPers are hoping that's enough to win a tight race.

I had hoped Kennedy would pull the upset in Minnesota, but it looks like that ain't gonna happen. My hopes now lie with Bouchard, who seems to be making a real push with 70 days left.

Maybe, just maybe.............
15 posted on 08/30/2006 3:32:30 PM PDT by TitansAFC ("Life is just one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Flanders was dead.")
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