Washington Senate Poll: Cantwell (D) 56%, McGavick (R) 39% (Survey USA)

SurveyUSA ^ | 28 August 2006 | SurveyUSA

[HostileTerritory]

End of discussion.

Does that mean you don't buy the poll they did a week ago showing Dave Reichert handily defeating Darcy Burner in WA-8?

[pollyannaish]

There is no way in hell that Cantwell will beat McGavick in Eastern WA.

Absolutely correct. (Of course, stranger things have happened.)

[okstate]

You have no justification for your statement.

http://www.mysterypollster.com/main/2005/02/the_hotlines_su.html - Interview with Survey USA editor.

http://www.androidworld.com/prod35.htm - Who were the best Pollsters? (2004 election)

http://surveyusa.com/Scorecards/2004PresGovSenOnly.xls (President, Senator, and Governor race accuracy in 2004)

http://surveyusa.com/Scorecards/SurveyUSA2005ElectionScoreCard.htm (Accuracy in 2005 election)

[Proud_USA_Republican]

no way.

Maria is hated in Eastern WA.

I also believe this poll is bogus because only 800 people were polled for this entire state.
So easy to bias a poll with such a low number.

[okstate]

800 is an average polling sample. Nothing unusual about it. It's actually more voters than Rasmussen usually uses.

[pollyannaish]

She is. Are you from here? I wondered because our phone has been just ringing off the wall with polling firms on all kind of subjects from how we feel about the President, to immigration to Cantwell/McGavick. It has NEVER been like this.

It leads me to believe that Cantwell may be feeling enough heat that McGavick picked up some national money, and the dems are starting to worry over what they thought was a completely safe seat.

Gregoire isn't helping matters, since she is hated more than either Cantwell or Murray.

It's going to be interesting this fall.

[mwl1]

I believe the poll is of RVs and not LVs, so it is essentially worthless.

[mwl1]

I believe the poll is of RVs and not LVs, so it is essentially worthless.

[Clintonfatigued]

This poll came after McGavick's 1993 drunk driving conviction broke. Hopefully, the gap will close after the impact wears off.

[DuxFan4ever]

Total BS.

[pollyannaish]

I ran into one of those people this summer at the Market. Took our kids up there to show them how "the other half" perceives life.

I was accosted by a woman (I had said something kind to her, basically along the lines of "no hurry") who told me I just didn't understand what it was like to be a person with chronic illness in America. That she was going to go to Boston where things were MUCH better. It's a long story, but really exposed my children to what a lack of gratitude can do for a person.

My children have asked that we never go back. I think it was good for them.

[bilhosty]

Probably an outliar check out the Startegic Vision Poll which shows Cantwell with a 5% lead like all of the other polls were showing. This one just conudcted between 8-25 and 8-28.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/washington_poll_082906.htm

[Soul Seeker]

Survey USA is NOT a good poll, and don't reply back that it is. Go back to the Live Threads the day before, the day of, and the day after election 2004. The polls that got it RIGHT are all in there. And Survey USA wasn't one of them. That wasn't an oversight.

Also, Washington may go Dem statewide often, but 39% is completely unbelieveable. I live here. Eastern WA is more conservative. Western WA is more Liberal. The state is fairly close to split. This result is as phony as Zogby's efforts.

[jeremiah]

There is just as much chance of a Conservative being elected in WA state, as monkeys flying out of Bill Clintons behind. It is a waste of time and money to support any candidate with an R in a statewide election. IOW, the fix is in, no matter the vote totals.

[Bean Counter]

Sorry, but I just don't buy that one. they sure as hell didn't poll that down here in SW Washington, where Maria Cantwell is about as popular as a case of the crabs...

[CPT Clay]

I thought she was below %50.

[okstate]

It's certainly possible. I am not contending that THIS poll is valid, merely that SUSA is generally quite reliable.

[okstate]

Links, please.

I have provided several on this thread, all of which attest to Survey USA's extremely good accuracy. Until you have some evidence to back up your assertions you're just spouting hot air.