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Zogby: CT Gov's race begins to tighten; Lieberman still ahead by 10 points
Journal Inquirer - CT ^ | 08/29/2006 | Keith M. Phaneuf

Posted on 08/29/2006 8:55:16 AM PDT by rface

Liebernman (I) - 49.4%
Lament (D) - 39.4%
Schlesinger (R) - 2.1%
Lieberman held a 12-point edge over Lamont in an Aug. 17 Quinnipiac poll.........

A new poll by Zogby International suggests that the Connecticut gubernatorial race has begun to tighten, placing Gov. M. Jodi Rell ahead of New Haven Mayor John DeStefano by 17 points.

But a Rell spokesman discounted those results, saying Zogby doesn't use a random sampling process and that it questioned only about half the number of "likely voters" surveyed in another poll.

And while the Zogby poll tracks Rell's lead at about half the 32-point margin she held in a Quinnipiac University survey released this month, the two polls are relatively similar when it comes to the race for U.S. Senate.

Zogby found U.S. Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman, a New Haven Democrat running without his party's endorsement, leads Democratic nominee Ned Lamont of Greenwich 49.4 percent to 39.4 percent, with 2.1 percent going to the Republican nominee, former Derby Mayor Alan Schlesinger. Lieberman held a 12-point edge over Lamont in an Aug. 17 Quinnipiac poll.

That same poll had Rell, a Brookfield Republican, leading DeStefano - fresh off a Democratic primary win over Stamford Mayor Dannel P. Malloy - 60 percent to 28 percent. Quinnipiac had surveyed 1,083 voters deemed "likely" to vote in November after a series of screening questions.

But Zogby, which surveyed 533 likely voters between Aug. 15 and 21, found Rell leading 53.1 percent to 35.7 percent. That poll has a 4.2 percent margin of error.

"It certainly doesn't track with any of the other polls we have ever seen," Rell spokesman Rich Harris said today. "There's some real questions about Zogby's methodology."

Besides using a relatively small sample, Zogby also relies on voters who volunteer to participate in polling, rather than those selected through random sampling, Harris said.

DeStefano spokesman Derek Slap said Zogby's results are "consistent with what we're seeing and what we're hearing. This race is going to tighten. With gas prices, property taxes, and health care premiums remaining sky high, people are going to take a closer look at Governor Rell's record and see that she's not getting the job done."

Lamont spokeswoman Liz Dupont-Diehl declined to comment about the Zogby poll. The Lamont camp consistently has said it is not basing its decisions on poll numbers.

Lieberman spokesman Daniel Gerstein noted that Zogby results for the Senate race are similar to those from Quinnipiac. But he added that while the campaign is cautiously optimistic, "we're running as if we're running behind. We know we have a tough race. We're challenging the conventional way of politicking."


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Connecticut
KEYWORDS: 2006polls; lament; lieberman
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Liebernman (I) - 49.4%
Lament (D) - 39.4%
Schlesinger (R) - 2.1%
Lieberman held a 12-point edge over Lamont in an Aug. 17 Quinnipiac poll.
1 posted on 08/29/2006 8:55:18 AM PDT by rface
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To: rface
Governor?
2 posted on 08/29/2006 8:57:33 AM PDT by RedCell ("...thou shalt kill thine enemy before he killeth you by any means available" - Dick Marcinko)
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To: RedCell

Ah... never mind. Helps if I open my good eye.


3 posted on 08/29/2006 8:58:16 AM PDT by RedCell ("...thou shalt kill thine enemy before he killeth you by any means available" - Dick Marcinko)
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To: rface
saw on the news last night Lieberman is having a very positive effect on the Republicans in their races; when the reporter mentioned that this was upsetting the dems, Joe smiled and said, "Well, they should of thought about that before"
4 posted on 08/29/2006 8:59:35 AM PDT by SF Republican
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To: SF Republican
when the reporter mentioned that this was upsetting the dems, Joe smiled and said, "Well, they should of thought about that before"

Good. I wonder if this remark portends how he'd behave in the Senate.

5 posted on 08/29/2006 9:10:12 AM PDT by Uncledave
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To: rface

Oooohhh...Rell is up on DeStefano by ONLY 17 points...she had better watch out, or she may only win by 15 now! /sarcasm


6 posted on 08/29/2006 9:13:33 AM PDT by CT-Freeper (Said the perpetually dejected Mets fan.)
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To: CT-Freeper

I was at the Pilot Pen tennis tourny on Saturday. Destefano got up to speak...LORD! That voice would make a preacher kick out a stained glass window.


7 posted on 08/29/2006 9:16:37 AM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
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To: rface

Good news about Rell. And it sounds as if Lieberman is doing better than the MSM has been saying, if an Islamist like Zogby says he still holds a lead.


8 posted on 08/29/2006 9:18:21 AM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: rface

Not even Zogby can skew these results.


9 posted on 08/29/2006 9:28:26 AM PDT by kempster
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To: rface

Zogby isn't very reliable these days.


10 posted on 08/29/2006 9:30:03 AM PDT by DustyMoment (FloriDUH - proud inventors of pregnant/hanging chads and judicide!!)
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To: Puppage

You are right. I think once they start having televised debates, DeStefano will lose ground because he comes off rather badly on TV.


11 posted on 08/29/2006 9:31:08 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: DustyMoment
Zogby isn't very reliable these days.

He really got it handed to him in the last presidential election where he was cooking the books right up into receiving bogus exit poll results and updating his thereby wrong "predictions" after the fact. Total humiliation. He better fix his methodology this time. Rassmussen came back from the dead by coming close to the actual result after a wildly wrong prediction the previous election.

12 posted on 08/29/2006 9:38:24 AM PDT by Dracian
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To: rface

I would not vote for Lieberman if I lived in Connecticut, but it will be funny if Lamont loses after all the victory parties the far-left had when he won the primary.


13 posted on 08/29/2006 9:44:25 AM PDT by NapkinUser (The biggest victim of the 2006 hurricane season is the national news media.)
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To: RedCell

Governor?

I was wondering about that too?


This doesn't make sense.


14 posted on 08/29/2006 9:48:32 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God) .)
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To: rface
Basically, this is an instance of a motivated Democrat base which sees an ideologically pure leftist and votes for them as their party's nominee in the general election in disregard for prudence and considers the general election voters as uninformed and subject to coming around if presented with only the extreme of a Republican versus the Democrat nominee picked by the select motivated primary voter.

Is there a lesson that conservative motivated voters should take away from this in their views of who to vote for in the Presidential primaries of '08? Hopefully there is no national Perot or other Lieberman equivelent, but the instruction offered by this occurance isn't limited to a third party feint, but instead focuses in on Party versus ideological purity.

15 posted on 08/29/2006 10:01:14 AM PDT by KC Burke
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To: rface

Barring some major scandal hurting Lieberman, this one's over. Though the state is overwhelmingly "blue"/lefty as a whole, there's still sufficient Republican (or-Stop-Lament) energy to, well, Stop Lament.

The "victory" (at the primary) of Lament and NeverMoveOn.Duh truly was self-defeating. Even if Joe doesn't Jump Like Jeffords (and I don't believe he will) after he wins, still his @$$ is gonna be chapped. Don't look for Joe to filibuster any judicial nominees, for example.


16 posted on 08/29/2006 10:09:08 AM PDT by pogo101
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To: SF Republican

Very nice.

I'm under no illusions about Mr. Lieberman, but I do really want him to win his seat back---as an Indie.

I's are not D's and the fewer D's there are in the Senate, the better I like it. Even if Joe caucuses with the Rats (and he will), his seat still won't count toward a Rat majority for leadership positions, etc.

Plus it would be a major blowback to the moonbat left.


17 posted on 08/29/2006 11:23:30 AM PDT by wouldntbprudent (If you can: Contribute more (babies) to the next generation of God-fearing American Patriots!)
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To: pogo101

Wait -- I thought Joe was already running as an Independent, since Lamont is the Rat candidate.

If he's running as an (I), isn't he already Jumpin' Jeffords? Or am I missing something here.


18 posted on 08/29/2006 11:28:15 AM PDT by wouldntbprudent (If you can: Contribute more (babies) to the next generation of God-fearing American Patriots!)
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To: wouldntbprudent

Joe's firmly stated (daily, by now; almost hourly in the news cycles just before the primary vote) that he's remaining a Democrat; my point in referring to Jeffords was to stress that Lieberman, upon re-election in November, will continue to caucus with the Dems.

In any case, Joe says he's "an independent Democrat," although for state-ballot-rules purposes he may be listed as an "Independent." Dunno.


19 posted on 08/29/2006 1:23:49 PM PDT by pogo101
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To: pogo101

Oh, then I have been sorely mistaken.

I thought if he ran as an "I," he had to govern as an "I."

Hmmmm.

Well . . . in any event, I hope he wins. It would be a slap in the face to the moonbat base.


20 posted on 08/29/2006 1:31:05 PM PDT by wouldntbprudent (If you can: Contribute more (babies) to the next generation of God-fearing American Patriots!)
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