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TS/Hurricane/TS Ernesto
NWS/NHC ^ | 28 August 2006 | NHC

Posted on 08/28/2006 7:27:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Florida Governor Jeb Bush ordered a state of emergency in advance of Ernesto's anticipated Florida landfall as a hurricane. During his press briefing, Governor Bush emphasized the need to, "Have your family plan in place. Be prepared to be on your own for 72 hours. I know it sounds like a broken record." Jeb then repeated his message in Spanish.

All of the South Florida peninsula and Keys are under a hurricane watch, and portions of the watch areas may be upgraded to hurricane warnings later today.

NASA is moving Space Shuttle Atlantis from the launch pad back to its protective hangar, with the launch postponed until at least Sept. 7-8.

Hurricane Ernesto was downgraded to Tropical Storm status after battering Haiti and the Dominican Republic all day Sunday. The death toll in Haiti from Ernesto currently stands at 1 person; storm reports from Hispaniola are scarce this morning.

Ernesto has approached the eastern portion of Cuba, where the government issued a hurricane warning for six provinces, tourists were evacuated, and baseball games were played earlier Sunday than originally scheduled.

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Ernesto Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 3 & 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data Florida & Eastern GOM

Hurricane Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic


Satellite Images

Visible Satellite Still Image

IR Image

WV Image

Additional Resources:

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Tropical Storm Ernesto I

Hurricane Ernesto


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: ernesto; florida; hurricane; hurricaneseason2006; tropical
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To: dirtboy; Darksheare

Well if you take all of the guidance before last night, which placed it on the west coast of Florida, and then all of the guidance up until now, which put it on the east coast of Florida, it only makes sense that the track would be somewhere in the middle....

In the artillery, we called that bracketing :)


301 posted on 08/28/2006 2:17:05 PM PDT by MikefromOhio (aka MikeinIraq - Go Bucks!!!)
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To: dogbyte12

Precisely.


302 posted on 08/28/2006 2:17:20 PM PDT by Howlin (Pres.Bush ought to be ashamed of himself for allowing foreign countries right on our borders!!~~Zook)
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To: Howlin

It shouldn't be much by then, if that holds up. And the way the long-term forecasts have gone with this thing, it will be forecast to hit Omaha by this time tomorrow.


303 posted on 08/28/2006 2:18:01 PM PDT by dirtboy (This tagline has been photoshopped)
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To: Howlin

Ugghh the track has it going thru VA - and the last thing I need here is another flood. Still haven't recovered from the one in June.


304 posted on 08/28/2006 2:21:05 PM PDT by RDTF ("We love death. The US loves life. That is the big difference between us two.” Osama Bin laden)
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To: dogbyte12
Just said on the local weather here in the upstate of South Carolina (between Greenville, SC and Charlotte, NC), if it continues on the current track, we will see rain, wind, and cooler temps. Thanks Freepers for all the updates. Great job.
305 posted on 08/28/2006 2:21:45 PM PDT by neal1960 (This space for rent.)
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To: neal1960

You are welcome...now you can pay us to use your tagline?


306 posted on 08/28/2006 2:23:26 PM PDT by RDTF ("We love death. The US loves life. That is the big difference between us two.” Osama Bin laden)
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To: bwteim

Depends on how big across the storm is. The Florida peninsula is approximately 140-150 miles wide. I don't think Ernesto's anywhere near that big.


307 posted on 08/28/2006 2:26:30 PM PDT by CFC__VRWC (AIDS, abortion, euthanasia - Don't liberals just kill ya?)
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To: RDTF

No, south of Miami, think the area Andrew came in at, Homested/Turkey Point area.

At least that's what we're being told locally.


308 posted on 08/28/2006 2:27:07 PM PDT by Brytani (Keeper of the FR Loofah, Bath-cap and Rubber Duckie)
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Anybody got a location for Jim Cantore or a hint of his hotel arrangements for tomorrow? :)


309 posted on 08/28/2006 2:27:15 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (Tom Gallagher - the anti-Crist [FL Governor, 2006 primary])
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To: RDTF

Sure....I uh think.


310 posted on 08/28/2006 2:29:02 PM PDT by neal1960 (This space for rent.)
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To: RDTF

My weather guy, who is usually dead on, says we are going to have "a ton" of rain.


311 posted on 08/28/2006 2:29:38 PM PDT by Howlin (Pres.Bush ought to be ashamed of himself for allowing foreign countries right on our borders!!~~Zook)
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To: neal1960

lol 'it says this space for rent'


312 posted on 08/28/2006 2:30:20 PM PDT by RDTF ("We love death. The US loves life. That is the big difference between us two.” Osama Bin laden)
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To: RDTF

LOL..It's been a long day.(Monday too)


313 posted on 08/28/2006 2:31:43 PM PDT by neal1960 (This space for rent.)
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To: NonValueAdded

I doubt they'll even bother to pull Cantore out of NOLA. No matter what Ernesto does, it's pretty obvious they're not going to get the Katrina II they so desperately hoped for. So they'll probably leave him where he is and relive the glory days of rumor-mongering and unhinged Bush-bashing that followed the real Katrina, and sigh wistfully for what could have been with Ernesto.


314 posted on 08/28/2006 2:32:56 PM PDT by CFC__VRWC (AIDS, abortion, euthanasia - Don't liberals just kill ya?)
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To: Normal4me
Hard to tell....can't hurt to secure your site, just in case.
We may have some winds....rain.
315 posted on 08/28/2006 2:33:08 PM PDT by Guenevere
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To: shield
Nah, I think you were looking at the main blob of left-overs, it certainly is still progressing more west then north. Just seen the five o'clock update, it seems that what I noticed on that visible was indeed where the center was at and the direction it was heading.

-t
316 posted on 08/28/2006 2:35:41 PM PDT by onthedancefloort (And We said thereafter to the Children of Israel, "Dwell securely in the land (of promise)": 17-104)
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To: CFC__VRWC
No matter what Ernesto does, it's pretty obvious they're not going to get the Katrina II they so desperately hoped for.

And now a double-whammy for the newshogs:

BOULDER, Colo. - Prosecutors abruptly dropped their case Monday against John Mark Karr in the slaying of JonBenet Ramsey, saying DNA tests failed to put him at the crime scene despite his insistence that he was there when the 6-year-old girl was killed.

-----------

Damn, what are they gonna overkill now?

317 posted on 08/28/2006 2:35:58 PM PDT by dirtboy (This tagline has been photoshopped)
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To: dirtboy

Miami weather says there are u/l lows in the west and in the north that are funneling dry air down into the storm from the NW.


318 posted on 08/28/2006 2:38:29 PM PDT by Doohickey (I am not unappeasable. YOU are just too easily appeased.)
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To: Guenevere

Yeah but I have about 300 TONS of metal roofing panels and assorted pieces/parts I'd have to move and that would prevent the non-documented workers from erecting walls. If it is only going to blow 30 mph, I'll stay on schedule. ;-) I'll do what the contractor wants......thanks for the reply.


319 posted on 08/28/2006 2:41:38 PM PDT by Normal4me
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To: dirtboy

Make it a hat trick - it's now known that Rove, Libby or Cheney were not the ones who "leaked" the name of the non-covert agent Mrs. Joe Wilson. Instead, it turned out to be one of the media's own State Dept. pets, Richard Armitage.

The media'll need to go on suicide watch - they're already on it at DU and Kos.


320 posted on 08/28/2006 2:45:43 PM PDT by CFC__VRWC (AIDS, abortion, euthanasia - Don't liberals just kill ya?)
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