There are all sorts of conflicting answers. For example they ask would the US be better off with a Democrat in the White House the answer is YES. If they ask would the US be better off with John Kerry in the White House the answer is NO.
The point they keep trying to make is that the war on terror and the Iraq war are not related.
The fact that people think the Iraq war is not going well does not translate into Democratic votes.
This looks good for Republicans. We will hang on the senate and the house.
My prediction still holds: over/under is +1R in the Senate (RI is a wash no matter what)
I am in complete agreement with you. (I don't know whether that makes YOU feel more confident, but agreeing with you surely makes ME feel great!) The lack of consistency in the answers being given this year is key.
The polls may swing strongly "R" when the voters start paying attention in late September, but whether they do or not, I don't think the House or Senate are in danger.