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HOTLINE POLL: GOP TIED WITH DEMS AMONG LIKELY VOTERS (GENERIC BALLOT)
National Journal ^ | August 24, 2006

Posted on 08/24/2006 3:59:00 PM PDT by new yorker 77

Conducted 8/17-20 surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 8/24).

Subsample of 425 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8%. ^ denotes half sample. Party ID breakdown: 32%D, 28%R, 40%I/O. W/leans: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I/O.

LV party ID breakdown: 39%D, 37%R, 24%I/O.

Generic Cong. Ballot

GOP 40%

Dem 40%

Bush Job Approval: 42%


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006polls
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To: Coop

Here's the generic polling data you grok, sir. ;-)


21 posted on 08/24/2006 4:35:07 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Cheney X -- Destroying the Liberal Democrat Traitors By Any Means Necessary -- Ya Dig ? Sho 'Nuff.)
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To: new yorker 77; All
Is it time yet for Pukin's "I told you so" list?

Now, huh, now? Is it time? Can I? Huh? Now? Huh? Can I?
22 posted on 08/24/2006 4:35:55 PM PDT by Pukin Dog
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To: Rhetorical pi2
I'm one of those "glass half empty" kind of guys, (My wife compares me to Eeyore, (the donkey on Winnie The Pooh.) - but reading the positive thinking here keeps me pumped up.

You realize, of course, that one of the primary objectives of the MSM is to erode conservative morale.

Sure, they trumpet the Dems and bash the GOP. Sure, they're trying to boost morale among the left. Sure, they're trying to recruit new voters from the uncommitted "moderates".

But the media's single most important function may well be the corrosive effect it has on the confidence of conservatives.

Which is to say, they want to play Eeyore.

Don't cooperate with them...

23 posted on 08/24/2006 4:36:10 PM PDT by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
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To: new yorker 77

I must say, this is pretty compelling since the Dems have the edge in terms of those polled, yet they still can only tie the GOP here.

Very interesting turn of events lately.

I thought for sure we would not see any gains this year, perhaps losses.

We may at least break even at this point.


24 posted on 08/24/2006 4:38:46 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: struggle

This poll is skewed to the 'RATs so it's really more like
45% GOP; 35% RAT. It's also not likely voters, but something like breathers willing to take a poll. Very unreliable, sad to say.


25 posted on 08/24/2006 4:41:49 PM PDT by SouthCarolinaKit
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To: new yorker 77
The fabled RAT Tsunami is going the way of the DoeDoe bird.

ROFLOL! I predict massive and unprecedented RAT depression on the days following the election.

26 posted on 08/24/2006 4:49:07 PM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: HitmanLV
we may see suicides.

I'd suggest all Freepers, who live/work in any city with tall buildings, not walk on the sidewalk till at least January. The bodies could be dropping like flies.

27 posted on 08/24/2006 4:52:07 PM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: new yorker 77; All

The question is...will it be a temporary GOP jump, or will it stay?

Only good campaigning will make this permanent. I have a feeling it could be a temporary blip based on the terror plot unless the GOP really takes advantage of this boost.


28 posted on 08/24/2006 4:56:44 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: Rhetorical pi2

My kind of guy.


29 posted on 08/24/2006 4:58:18 PM PDT by ProudCopperhead
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To: AHerald

Rove is Mr. November


30 posted on 08/24/2006 4:58:52 PM PDT by ProudCopperhead
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To: rwfromkansas; All

Also, keep in mind it is not likely voters.

It all depends on who is more likely to be a voter. Though normally the GOP, it could be an odd election with the Dems really being more likely to be the voters, depending on who is motivated.


31 posted on 08/24/2006 5:01:03 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: rwfromkansas
I have been saying for months now that the Pubbies will come home before November and that this will wind up being a status quo election.

Worst case is we lose 2 - 3 Senate seats and a 8 - 10 House seats. That would obviously be bad, but I see no way the RATs take control of either chamber.

32 posted on 08/24/2006 5:06:23 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: new yorker 77
get ready for more pissed off libs


33 posted on 08/24/2006 5:11:30 PM PDT by petercooper (Is this where I get me a huntin' license?)
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To: comebacknewt

Hopefully the Allen fracas will die down so he can pick up support.


34 posted on 08/24/2006 5:15:03 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Huh?


35 posted on 08/24/2006 5:19:13 PM PDT by Coop (No, there are no @!%$&#*! polls on Irey vs. Murtha!)
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To: Coop

Er... *ping* ?

*cough*


36 posted on 08/24/2006 5:28:15 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Cheney X -- Destroying the Liberal Democrat Traitors By Any Means Necessary -- Ya Dig ? Sho 'Nuff.)
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To: new yorker 77

The Republicans don't deserve to win, but the Dims are so stinking awful that, in the end, the Dims will probably lose.


37 posted on 08/24/2006 5:28:44 PM PDT by Malesherbes
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Ahhh, okay. I was wondering, because this is the first I've seen this poll. I had seen another within the MOE (GOP -2). Thanks.


38 posted on 08/24/2006 5:33:47 PM PDT by Coop (No, there are no @!%$&#*! polls on Irey vs. Murtha!)
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To: new yorker 77

That was quick.

The Dems were really clinging to the generic ballot numbers.


39 posted on 08/24/2006 5:34:48 PM PDT by AmishDude (`[N]on-state actors' can project force around the world more easily than Canada". -- Mark Steyn)
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To: new yorker 77

Rasmussen noted that the Dems began dropping in generic polls ever since Lamont's "victory".


40 posted on 08/24/2006 5:35:57 PM PDT by Hannibal Hamlin
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