I've downgraded the Fitzpatrick seat in part because I think the odds are somewhat reduced that there will be a Dem "wave" on Election Day and in part because Fitzpatrick & Murphy have held there first debate.
On the first point, both WA-08 and PA-08 were bumped up a bit in my estimation due to freshmen representatives in swing districts tending to be highly vulnerable to past wave elections. On the second point, in the articles I've read on the debate Murphy strikes me as somewhat 'amateur' and vague in his answers while Fitzpatrick is very aggresively distancing himself from GWB, and from the Iraq War in particular.
And? Did you watch it or read about it, or what?