I saw that Reichert poll and it goes much further than the CO-07 poll in making me think that the GOP is not in as great danger as widely thought. On another note altogether, it validates my downgrading that race (and PA-08) just yesterday.
I think the GOP is gaining ground generically. The polls suggesting seem to match some of these individual races, but it may be regional (ie the GOP may still be in big trouble in the midwest and NE). In that regard, why did you downgrade the
Fitzgerald seat? That is PA-8 isn't it?
was there a new poll in PA-08?
That logic makes sense to me.
Also the Hotline poll out today (Cong. numbers even) saying gives a little more credence to the earlier Gallup assertion (which I have been assuming previous is just an outlier).
Did not see the PA-08 debate, but I take your word on it.
The thing with Santorum-Casey that is kinda unknown is how Casey will play once he gets in debates. According to most polls, there are still roughly 20%-25% of the voters who don't know him well enough to give an opinion of him and that may decide his (and Santorum's) fate.
I will admit that Santorum has been using his time and money effectively this summer, whereas Casey has not, and we're seeing the shift from this in the polls of late, imo. Still a high mountain for Santorum to climb, overall.