[section9]

I found this to be a fascinating little blurb on Debka. Apparently, Tzipi Livni called Condi and told her what Condi already knew was going to happen: Nasrallah was already sabotaging the agreement on orders from Tehran.

There could be another possibility. Nasrallah thought he could walk away from the table holding a pile of chips and a full house, ten high. But his posse is getting clobbered in the south, and they have to be yelling at him to go back to the table to try for that inside straight. If he is actually stupid enough to want to go back to the table and accomodate the IDF, then Olmert may just jump at the life-saver thrown at him by his nemesis.

I can't believe that Nasrallah would be this stupid.

[Carry_Okie]

I can't believe that Nasrallah would be this stupid.

Watch them blow up their own people in order to fake an Israeli attack.

[pollyannaish]

If this is true (it is Debka after all), I somehow doubt it comes as much of a surprise to our team who also got the UN resolutions before going into Iraq. These people are methodical, not stupid—despite what some may think. It's good to have the ducks in a row.

[DannyTN]

"I can't believe that Nasrallah would be this stupid."

Really? I can.

But I'm still puzzled and dissappointed in the Freepers who were calling Israel cowards, comparing them to the French and posting white flags. I think that was totally uncalled for. Especially when it's our U.S. government that negotiated the cease fire.

One way this could play out, is to pull the UN into a war with Hezbullah, Syria and Iran when Hezbullah attacks the multinational force. Assuming, against the odds, that a cease fire holds for more than 20 minutes, or that any nations actually volunteer to place their people as targets in South Lebanon.

[Enterprise]

The gambling analogy is a bit confusing. If he has a full house, "10 high", it would mean he has three tens, and a pair of something else and that would beat a straight or a flush, unless it was a straight flush.

[hoosiermama]

IMO the Lebanon PM is afraid that Nasralla will turn the guns on him. Heard somewhere that the Hezzbo was better trained and equipped than the Lebanese army.

[tet68]

I can't believe that Nasrallah would be this stupid.

When you start believing your own propaganda, mistakes
are made.

[libbylu]

I miss the pic you used with your postings a while back.

[demkicker]

There could be another possibility. Nasrallah thought he could walk away from the table holding a pile of chips and a full house, ten high. But his posse is getting clobbered in the south, and they have to be yelling at him to go back to the table to try for that inside straight. If he is actually stupid enough to want to go back to the table and accomodate the IDF, then Olmert may just jump at the life-saver thrown at him by his nemesis.

I like your analysis. If the Hezbo body bags continue to mount, Olmert may survive. I'd much prefer BiBi though.

[TWohlford]

Somewhere in that cease-fire is the stipulation that the Lebanese border (disputed by Hezbo) be honored. In addition, Hezbo has to recognize Israel's right to exist, either explicitly or implicitly. And, they have to hand over all of their arms and accept control by Lebanese and UN forces.

None of that is acceptablet to Hezbolah. They can't accept that agreement, as it would go against their charter. Iran can't afford to accept it, and Syria can't accept it, as both would lose their status as hell-raising anti-Israel hardliners. Should Hezbo accept this, expect coups in Syria, Iran, and splinter Hezbo groups in Lebanon.

[shield]

bttt

[tobyhill]

If Lebanon refuses to implement the UN resolution 1701 then the UN will have no choice but to take drastic action and, and, and,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,pass another resolution!

[MrEdd]

I can't believe that Nasrallah would be this stupid.

I can't believe Condi would be this stupid.
Her message should have been "if the UN Lebanon resolution is not implemented,"


"We will be responsible for the consequences."

[dingoMcgill]

We have barf alerts, we should have debka alerts as well.