[StJacques]

Tomorrow will be the moment the entire post-election controversy in Mexico has been building up to, since we will all know whether there will be any recount of the individual ballots, which Lopez Obrador has been calling for from the very beginning. It is impossible for me to predict what the Tribunal's decision will be, but I'm going to guess that they are going to order a partial recount either of the entirety of the 173 electoral districts in which Lopez Obrador's challenges have been specifically targeted or, more likely in my opinion, certain precincts within those districts where either Lopez Obrador's campaign was not represented by on-site precinct commissioners or in which certain fundamental errors of counting or reporting have been shown to be credible. I have a very difficult time believing that the Tribunal will decide for a complete recount of all the ballots and I think it only slightly unlikely they will order a recount of none of them. But again; I am guessing here, it really is impossible for me to know.

There is other news from the past of couple of days that I could post at greater length with sources, but let me just sum it all up to make three main points: the PRI party has united with Calderon's PAN party to oppose the shutdown of central Mexico City by Lopez Obrador's followers and they may even remove the pro-AMLO Governor of the Federal District of Mexico City if he continues to support this shutdown; there has been an ongoing desertion of Lopez Obrador's cause from several areas, including one major union (the CROC) and numerous leftist spokesmen and ideologues, among them the famed Mexican novelist Carlos Fuentes, all of whom are critical of the damage done to bystanders by the shutdown of central Mexico City this week; and finally, numerous experts and intellectuals have been coming forth to refute the charge that there was widespread fraud in the July 2 election, including some of Lopez Obrador's own supporters. There was a circular letter signed by 135 such individuals, most of whom are in academia, the media, public relations, or otherwise known as prominent authors.

To sum everything up, I believe AMLO has gone a little too far in his decision to apply real pressure on the Electoral Tribunal to rule his way and I am expecting that process will continue. We'll see.

[StJacques]

A Mexican post-election ping for you all.

Anyone wishing to view other translated articles on this controversy may use the forum's keyword search option with the unique keyword -- STJTRANSLATION

[BunnySlippers]

Any guesses as to what they will decide?

I'll say that they will decline the recount ... but, really, anything could happen.

[redgolum]

So this is still going on? What does the Mexican public think of it?

[kidd]

Significance of a Saturday decision:

No recount.

People will not be at work. An anticipated uprising by the moonbats clogging the streets of Mexico City will only have a minimal impact on business. Most citizens will be at home, thus simplifying police control of a possible ugly situation.

[AmericaUnited]

Most excellent summary appraisel + news. Thanks.

[norton]

(still predicting civil war south of the border)

I've nothing much to add to the link - other than that Obrador has nowhere to go if he lets this fall on the wrong side.
His base will go looking for another man on a horse.

Which reminds me; all the talk of closing down mexico city - where is Obrador's base (besides the unions) and do they really care about shopkeepers in mexico city?

[hosepipe]

Mexicos democracy is a myth.. Except if you know that democracy is MOB RULE... Mexico is run by MOBS.. you are either "made" in the Mob or you be DEAD..

-OR- you are merely a peon... its always been that way in Mexico and more and more in Mexifornia.. and a few other adjoining States.. THATS WHY...