Study: Economic concerns to trigger anti-Semitism in US, Germany

Ynet News ^ | 26 jul 06 | Anon

[white trash redneck]

A new behavior-research tool, Affective Encryption Analysis, has uncovered a dramatic trend in both the US and Germany—a developing wave of potentially violent anti-Semitism.

 Affective Encryption Analysis, which was recently used to predict the outcome of the 2008 US Presidential election, uses naturalistic research methods to measure the way in which “feeling-trends” develop over time. It then forecasts the likely behavioral outcomes.

 Using Affective Encryption Analysis, media psychologist, Dr. James N. Herndon, of Media Psychology Affiliates, led an investigation to predict long-term “feeling-trends” concerning the economy.

 Population samples in both the US and Germany were chosen as indicators of both US and European feelings toward economic conditions.

 “Our results showed far greater feelings of dread about the economic future than we currently find in mainstream survey research,” stated Dr. Herndon. “In fact, almost 70 percent of our sample expressed a precipitously declining sense of economic stability. This was especially strong among the lower-middle-class,” he added.

 'Scapegoating Israel'

 “What we did not expect was a widespread association of economic problems with support for Israel. This belief appears to be growing exponentially in both the US and in Germany,” he said.

 “We currently have worryingly low rates of savings and capital investment, combined with systemic unemployment and an ever-increasing spiral of debt and inflation,” said Dr. Herndon.

 “If current trends are left unchecked, we believe that by late 2007, a feeling of economic desperation will begin to overtake large sectors of the lower-middle-class in the US, as well as the welfare-dependent classes in Germany,” he warned.

 “Our results strongly suggest that this will provide the emotional trigger for the scapegoating of Jews, toward whom feelings in our sample were unexpectedly negative, and often violent.”

 “The bottom line is that increasing numbers of persons at the economic margins believe that their economic interests are being ignored in favor of a foreign power, namely, Israel. Feelings about Jews and Israel are also associated with strife and insecurity, not peace and prosperity,” he explained.

 Expecting violent reaction

 A surprising forecast was that anti-Semitic behavior will predominate among nominally Christian, and not Muslim, groups.

 “Unlike more ideologically-oriented Muslim groups, post-World War Two westerners in the so-called first-world are more driven by economic comfort and security. When their economic underpinnings are jeopardized, we can expect a violent reaction. And violence is rarely rational.”

 “We believe that unrest will begin in the US Southwest. And in Germany, in areas of former East Germany. As with most emotionally-driven mob behavior, it will spread. Containing it will be difficult.”

 Dr. Herndon emphasized the need to be proactive.

 “Media exists to manage feelings. Our results strongly suggest that Jewish and Israeli organizations, in particular, are in the process

of rapidly losing control of their PR initiatives. Opinion leaders in both the US and Europe must not stand-by passively as these trends develop.”

 “I would characterize the anecdotal results of our research as frankly horrifying. A new strategy to diffuse these growing perceptions is clearly in order. This is one time where we cannot afford for history to repeat itself,” he concluded.

 

[white trash redneck]

If there is a rise in antisemitism in the US, I'd look first to the usual suspects - the muslimes and their leftie fellow travelers. Of course the media will try to deflect attention towards the numerically insignificant Klan and American Nazis.

[bkepley]

Garbage in, garbage out.

[DB]

Not.

[kjo]

Yeah, it's long past time the MSM looked into anti-semitism in the Democrat Party. The black caucus and the extreme left are pretty openly anti-Israel. Lots of anti-semitic theories about 9/11 are becoming urban legends in poor black neighborhoods.

Nobody's confronting this.

[usmcobra]

Islam are the root cause of economic concerns in the west.

[sgtbono2002]

The Iranians are threatenin with a Nuke, Driving up oil prices. Opec is sticking it to us. Chavez is joining Ahmadinejhad, and threatening the US in South America,Putin is using oil as a lever in Europe Kim Jung Il is having a Hissy fit because no one will send him any more money, he is shooting up rockets, The Islamics are blowing up people round the world and the only people really standing up to Islamic pressures are Jews and its all their fault??? I aint buying it.

[OrthodoxPresbyterian]

A new behavior-research tool, Affective Encryption Analysis, has uncovered a dramatic trend in both the US and Germany—a developing wave of potentially violent anti-Semitism.

Affective Encryption Analysis also predicts a landslide victory for Al Gore in the 2008 Presidential Election.

Um, yeah... Ooookay.

I think it might have been Ludwig von Mises who observed (contra Keynesianism) that you can't really apply "Hard Science" (Physics, Chemistry, etc.) equations to "Soft Science" (Sociology, Economics, etc.) questions -- because the Soft Sciences are based upon the actions of self-motivated, free-willed, independent actors -- not mathematically-quantifiable magnetic charges. And what a self-motivated, free-willed, independent actor will do in a given situation... well, I'm happy to say as a good Calvinist: "God Only Knows".

Unlike the Physician or the Chemist, the Sociologist or the Economist really can hope for nothing more than a predictive general average, at best... we're happy if we can get that much, and always ceteris paribus; for that matter. Your mileage may vary.

Sooooooooooo.... let's first see if Tipper Gore really does end up as the First Lady of the United States in a coupla years, before we tell Guv'nor Arnold to burn his Twisted Sister records and we all start practicing the Horst Wessel anthem.

Best, OP

[6SJ7]

"Affective Encryption Analysis"? My patented syntactical strategy analysis revels a 93% probability of falsehood.

[Just mythoughts]

What a bunch of donkey dung.

[GeorgefromGeorgia]

I'm sorry, I don't see why people would hate Jews because socialist economy in Germany is not going great guns?!

[quantfive]

"The Iranians are threatenin with a Nuke, Driving up oil prices. Opec is sticking it to us. Chavez is joining Ahmadinejhad, and threatening the US in South America,Putin is using oil as a lever in Europe Kim Jung Il is having a Hissy fit because no one will send him any more money, he is shooting up rockets, The Islamics are blowing up people round the world and the only people really standing up to Islamic pressures are Jews and its all their fault??? I aint buying it."

I am German, Russian and Jewish. I'll tell ya what I don't buy it either and anyone with half a brain knows the Israelis have contributed more then any other nation on earth (besides America) in terms of economics and science. I have never heard this from my friend or family here in America also leading me to agree that this comes from our muslim population here.

[GSlob]

"Ludwig von Mises who observed (contra Keynesianism) that you can't really apply "Hard Science" (Physics, Chemistry, etc.) equations to "Soft Science" (Sociology, Economics, etc.) questions -- because the Soft Sciences are based upon the actions of self-motivated, free-willed, independent actors -- not mathematically-quantifiable magnetic charges."
Actually, you can, but it has to be done along the lines of statistical thermodynamics - predicting the tendencies [like "entropy increases"], and not the individual outcomes. Here is a true story and illustration of this method:
My former workplace once conducted an executive search for a "sweep" [SVP- senior vice-president]. For about half a year the large office had stood empty, and nobody knew who, or when, would come to occupy it. Once, few months before they found their sweep, I had predicted to my co-workers the future nameplate for that office door. I assumed the exaggerated wild facial expression of a prophet from bad movies, and with defocused gaze and outstretched hands, prophesied as follows: "I see it... I see it... "GREEDY A-HOLE!"
Well, several months later they did find their sweep. And wouldn't you know - my prediction turned out to be so correct that a year later they had to squeeze him out - he was too much even for them!

[OrthodoxPresbyterian]

Actually, you can, but it has to be done along the lines of statistical thermodynamics - predicting the tendencies [like "entropy increases"], and not the individual outcomes.

Good point. I'd agree with that.

And good story. :-)