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Zogby: Mexicans Don't Want Election Protest
NewsMax ^ | 7/6/06

Posted on 07/06/2006 5:52:53 AM PDT by areafiftyone

Mexican election officials are beginning their arduous recount of the ballots from Sunday's presidential election.

As the political parties wrangle over voting irregularities, a majority of Mexican voters are looking on with a wary eye, a recent Zogby poll shows.

The survey, sponsored by the University of Miami School of Communication, showed that a majority of Mexican voters would not look kindly on a protest of the election results. Nearly two-thirds of those surveyed - 60 percent - said they would not support a protest of the vote by Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador of the PRD party. Just 30 percent said they would support a protest.

Leaders of Obrador's party have called for a recount of votes, but have stopped short of organizing massive, all-out protests.

News reports showed Conservative PAN party candidate Felipe Calderon Hinojosa clinging to a razor-thin lead in the race over left wing competitor Obrador. A third candidate, Roberto Madrazo Pinitado of the PRI party, finished further back.

Asked if such a protest would be good for Mexican democracy, just 32 percent agreed, while 53 percent said it would be a bad thing for the nation’s political system.

The University of Miami School of Communication/Zogby poll had Calderon with 34.5 percent support, compared with 31.3 percent for the PRD candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador and 27.1 percent for PRI candidate Roberto Madrazo Pinitado. After Sunday's election, Calderon led by just 1 percent before today's recount.

Zogby's pre-election survey, conducted June 10-15, 2006, included 1,000 respondents and carried a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Mexico; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections

1 posted on 07/06/2006 5:52:55 AM PDT by areafiftyone
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To: areafiftyone

it's Florida 2000 in Mexico. the libs threaten to whine and carry on temper tantrums in the streets if they don't win. Count the votes until you get the results you want. throw a hissy fit until then - that's the left's way


2 posted on 07/06/2006 5:55:39 AM PDT by camle (Keep your mind open and somebody will fill if full of something for you.)
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To: camle

Exactly. If the right wins - its stolen - if the left wins its fair!


3 posted on 07/06/2006 5:56:32 AM PDT by areafiftyone (Politicans Are Like Diapers - Both Need To Be Changed Often And For the Same Reason!)
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To: areafiftyone

No matter who wins in Mexico it's probably stolen anyway.


4 posted on 07/06/2006 5:58:53 AM PDT by cripplecreek (I'm trying to think but nothing happens)
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To: areafiftyone

What type of margin is necessary for the left to claim an election wasn't stolen?


5 posted on 07/06/2006 5:59:05 AM PDT by mainepatsfan
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To: camle
THE REAL DEAL : ZOGBY FINAL "ACCURACY" ALWAYS PROISLAMIC-TERRORIST
WITH PROOF BASED UPON COMPLETE 2004 US ELECTION
FreeRepublic > Drudge > Debka > Broken clock > New York Times ~ Dead Rabbit >>> Zogby

http://img106.exs.cx/img106/6161/zogby_minister.jpg

THE REAL DEAL : ACCURACY
FreeRepublic > Drudge > Debka > Broken clock > New York Times > Zogby > Dead Rabbit

Zogby is a proterrorist-fraud, beloved by murderous Islamic murderers (his bro thought up the terror state, "Palestine"),
and their hateful Democrat terrorist supporters everywhere.

Zogby applies "special sauce" in S.D. Sen. Race [He admits it!] THE REAL DEAL : ZOGBY ACCURACY
FreeRepublic > Drudge > Debka > Broken clock > New York Times > Zogby > Dead Rabbit

THE REAL DEAL : FINAL ACCURACY RATING BASED UPON COMPLETE 2004 US ELECTION
FreeRepublic > Drudge > Debka > Broken clock > New York Times ~ Dead Rabbit >>> Zogby


ZOGBY ERROR ANALYSIS - ELECTION 2004 [CLOSE LOOK AT ZOGBY "SAUCE" DATA ]

==============================
Arizona Zogby had it +6% for Bush Final +11% for Bush

Arkansas Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final +9% for Bush

Colorado Zogby had it too close to call Final +7% for Bush

Florida Zogby had it +.1% for Kerry and trending Kerry Final +5% for Bush

Iowa Zogby had it +5% for Kerry Final still TBD

Michigan Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry

Minnesota Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry

Missouri Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final Result +8% for Bush

Nevada Zogby had it too close to call Final +3% for Bush

New Hampshire Zogby had it +5% for Kerry Final Result +1% for Kerry

New Mexico Zogby had it +3% for Kerry Final - still TBD

North Carolina Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final +13% for Bush

Oregon Zogby had it +10% for Kerry Final Result +5% for Kerry

Ohio Zogby had it +2% for Bush but trending Kerry Final TBD

Pennsylvania Zogby had it trending Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry

Tennessee Zogby had it +4% for Bush Final +14% for Bush

Virginia Zogby had it slight edge for Bush Final +8% for Bush

Washington Zogby had it +10% for Kerry Final Result +7% for Kerry

West Virginia Zogby had it +4% for Bush Final +14% for Bush

Wisconsin Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +1% for Kerry


CONCLUSION - ZOGBY off by 7-10% on Kerry --- Zogby Sauce 9% for Arafat support]


ZOGBY ERROR ANALYSIS - PRIMARIES [CLOSE LOOK AT ZOGBY "SAUCE" DATA ]

==============================
Actual NH Final Jan 27 -John Kerry 84,229 38% 13 Howard Dean 57,788 26%
Zogby NH Primary Tracking Poll Jan 25
Kerry 31% Dean 28% Clark 13% Edwards 12% Lieberman 9%
RESULT: Actual Diff: 12% (Kerry - Dean)

CONCLUSION Zogby Sauce 9% for Arafat support


==============================

Actual IOWA caucus 01/20/04 - Kerry 38, Edwards 32, Dean 18, Gephardt drops out
Zogby IOWA Poll for 01/18/04 - Kerry 24, Dean 23, Gephardt 19, Edwards 18.

CONCLUSION - ZOGBY off by 14% on Kerry --- Zogby Sauce 14% for Arafat support]


THE REAL DEAL : ACCURACY
FreeRepublic > Drudge > Debka > Broken clock > New York Times > Zogby > Dead Rabbit

6 posted on 07/06/2006 6:01:37 AM PDT by Diogenesis (Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum)
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To: areafiftyone

In Mexico protesting would put your life in danger.


7 posted on 07/06/2006 6:06:06 AM PDT by doc
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To: Diogenesis

"THE REAL DEAL : ACCURACY
FreeRepublic > Drudge > Debka > Broken clock > New York Times > Zogby > Dead Rabbit"

Finally, some new math I can understand!


8 posted on 07/06/2006 6:10:06 AM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission
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To: areafiftyone

It's a good news-bad news deal for the winner. The good news is you won, the bad news is you're President of Mexico.


9 posted on 07/06/2006 6:32:08 AM PDT by hometoroost (TSA = Thousands Standing Around)
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