Atlantic SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

National Hurricane Center ^ | 6/27/2006 | FORECASTER STEWART

[Ingtar]

000 WONT41 KNHC 271133 DSAAT SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 730 AM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

Satellite and radar information indicate that a small low pressure system could be forming about 140 miles south of cape fear North Carolina. This system has the potential to develop into a tropical depression at any time as it moves north to north-northeastward at 15 to 20 mph. an air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft will investigate the system later this morning to determine if a closed circulation exists at the surface.

Residents along the North Carolina coast should closely monitor the progress of this system today as tropical storm warnings could be required with little notice. Even if this system does not form into a tropical cyclone... showers and thunderstorms accompanied by locally heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds will gradually spread onshore the North Carolina coast today and early tonight.

FORECASTER STEWART

[dfwgator]

Send some of that rain to Texas.

[JesusBmyGod]

You're telling me! I'm on the Okaloosa/Santa Rosa county line and I hear the thunder, see the lightning and rain all the time just North of us. What a tease...to see the rain falling and knowing I'm not going to get any.

[Fighting Irish]

Yeah, but there was a day at s-turns by rodanthe I can remember from a few years back that looked exactly like that.

Lucky dog......I surfed Motels, Bowers Pit and the Frisco Pier for years and never saw anything close to Teahupoo.

There was a south spring swell back in '75 that was crazy nuts ..... but it never stood up like that.

[38special]

Yes, but why isn't anybody charging that wave?

[Gabz]

You can have it all, for all I care :)

[Fighting Irish]

Q. Yes, but why isn't anybody charging that wave?

A. Reef Rash

[pinz-n-needlez]

Ouch! Maybe there wasn't enough air pressure to hold it up against the force of gravity. ;-)

I hope it landed in a big empty space!

I'm thinking I ought to go ahead and transplant those azaleas and day lilies I didn't get to in the Spring. don't have to worry about them drying out...

Pinz

[brytlea]

Gosh here in Delray, we've been having alot, altho last night I noticed on the map we are still in extreme drought conditions. I don't think this Texan could STAND it if we got the amount of rain we're supposed to!
susie

[RDTF]

vortex posted on wunderground:

000
URNT12 KNHC 131637
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 13/16:17:00Z
B. 29 deg 54 min N
083 deg 42 min W
C. 850 mb 1400 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 249 deg 045 kt
G. 174 deg 064 nm
H. 998 mb
I. 18 C/ 1489 m
J. 18 C/ 1488 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1234 / 8
O. 0.01 / 2 nm
P. AF301 0601A ALBERTO OB 27
MAX FL WIND 51 KT S QUAD 14:59:20 Z
MAX FL TEMP 19 C, 164 / 13NM
UNABLE TO DETERMINE SFC CENTER DUE TO UNDERCAST

[RDTF]

Atlantic SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

---

000
WONT41 KNHC 271829
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
228 PM EDT TUE JUN 27 2006

RECENT INFORMATION FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATES THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 35 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. WHILE THERE IS A SMALL
AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS ON ITS EAST SIDE... THE SYSTEM DOES NOT
HAVE A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION... AND IS THEREFORE NOT A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS TIME. THE AIRCRAFT WILL CONTINUE TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.

THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 TO 25
MPH. RESIDENTS IN COASTAL REGIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA... VIRGINIA...
AND THE DELMARVA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM TODAY AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED WITH
LITTLE NOTICE. EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT FORM INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE... IT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FORECASTER STEWART

[Vinnie]

Should be ok.

We are going to the Tall Ships shindig in Morehead City and Atlantic Beach that weekend.

[nwctwx]

The "center" will be coming ashore within the next 30 min or so, looks like it's not going to make it.

[nwctwx]

... High Wind Warning in effect until 5 PM EDT this afternoon...

The National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City has issued
a High Wind Warning for Carteret... Craven... and Pamlico
counties until 500 PM.

Strong winds associated with an area of low pressure
moving north near the Crystal Coast will affect portions of
extreme eastern North Carolina through 500 PM. Winds of 40 to 50
mph can be expected. The winds will affect Carteret County through
400 PM... and spread into Craven and Pamlico counties between 400
PM and 500 PM.

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected.
Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or
more can lead to property damage.

[Gabz]

DELMARVA PING!!!!!!!!!!!!!

VIRGINIA... AND THE DELMARVA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM TODAY AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED WITH LITTLE NOTICE. EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT FORM INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE... IT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

[PeteB570]

Thank You;

I plan on going to the beach this weekend for the Tall Ships event. We got the passport tickets for the ship visits.

I love big sailing ships. Went to Wilmington when the Beagle Repo was in port.

[COEXERJ145]

The Bush-Rove Hurricane Generator^tm is warming up.

[janetjanet998]

rian will be the biggest factor..look at the totals for the MD area 12-15 inhes in spots now since Saturday

onging flood/tropcial thread here

[nwctwx]

Had well over 10" at my place in DC over the past few days. Pretty nuts. We just got hit by a hefty little shower here - downtown. I know you from elsewhere, as you might have figured out. ;-)

Been mostly spared thus far today, as the main stuff has been west of the i95 corridor.

[WanderingOisin]

Thanks for the heads-up. Fortunately, we haven't been too bad off here(Somerset), but I don't want anymore rain!

Sure hope my garden does all right.

[Gabz]

Sure hope my garden does all right.

Mine would be fine................if I had planted rice. *****SIGH******