Posted on 06/07/2006 2:40:21 AM PDT by RWR8189
A former Republican congressman narrowly beat his Democratic rival early Wednesday for the right to fill the House seat once held by imprisoned Randy "Duke" Cunningham, a race closely watched as a possible early barometer of next fall's vote.
Republican Brian Bilbray emerged victorious after a costly and contentious race against Democrat Francine Busby, a local school board member who ran against Cunningham in 2004.
With 90 percent of precincts reporting, Bilbray had 56,016 votes or 49.5 percent. Busby trailed with 51,202 votes or 45 percent. "I think that we're going back to Washington," Bilbray told a cheering crowd of supporters.
The race — one of dozens of election contests in eight states — was viewed by Democrats as an opportunity to capture a solidly Republican district and build momentum on their hopes to capture control of the House
It might scare enough people to vote AGAINST Democratic candidates at the thought that this person might be in the majority with Congresswoman Cynthia McKinney (if she is not in jail) and Congressman helicopter William Jefferson of the freezer dollars.
The Democrats keep saying they are going to parade Republican corruption. Some folks will find Cynthia McKinney and William Jefferson some interesting talk for barbershops and coffee shops this summer and fall...
However, they are well aware that the Democrats actively, if covertly, encourage "Open Borders and Illegal Immigration" because, as Mrs. Busby seems to have indicated, the Democrats expect this to increase their base support,
And, furthermore, the American people are not about to entrust National Security (or anything else of importance) to the Political Machine of the Decadent Left (i.e. the Democrat Party) during these dangerous times. Note tagline.
In the past most conservatives were members of the republican party. Increasingly Conservatives distance themselves from the republican party and vote for them only when they tow the line.
Who did the "conservatives" vote for in the 2004 Presidential election?
If a Dem had won by five points the AP would have called it a 'landslide' and 'clear victory'. One hour gone on the Today Show and it hasn't been mentioned at all.
Californians in those kinds of districts are among the stupidest and shallowest voters you'll find anywhere in the nation.
They identify with "being" Republican- and to the extent understand the issues (and MOST do not) or give a damn about character, it rarely surpasses the threat to their egos and their sense of "cool to be conservative Republican" self.
I've known hundreds of those types from my days in SoCal- and they really are disgusting human beings. Much worse, IMO, than the poor misguided folks in the lower Midwest and the South.
and another Diebold hater:
"...circumstances this time around (including polls last week showing Busby with a 5-7% lead) suggested that it might be different. Obviously, it wasn't."
Why "obviously"?
Figure out who counts the votes and the answer is pretty clear. CA, I'm afraid, has been re-Deibold-ed. MacPherson is doing his job. It is especially easy to rig the vote in predominantly Repub districts. Or to allow it to be rigged.
This is exactly what I and many many others predicted, a lead in the polls and a loss at the electronic voting machine stations (what used to be the ballot box).
The next round of elections will be no different. The Repubs will make slight gains nation-wide or if they lose a few key races, they will win in several important races, as the above.
Nothing will change until audits are done FOR EVERY ELECTION COUNTED BY ELECTRONIC VOTING MACHINES. Either that or there's a return to hand-counted paper ballots.
So your statement above isn't really true. Good. Conservatives lose when Democrats win.
"Bilbray, made immigration the centerpiece of his campaign, proposing a fence "from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico" and restrictions to keep illegal immigrants from collecting Social Security and other benefits."
I used to listen to Savage until the day he "Savaged" Condi Rice as being stupid and totally incompetent. Anyone that could say that isn't worth my time.
...Bilbray will then be seen as the incumbent, which is usually a big advantage for a candidate. And I very much doubt the voters of CA-50 will be inclined to turn him out after only five months, unless he screws up spectacularly between now and then. More of concern is that we seem to be seeing a pattern of the public's response to the current situation: instead of a swell of anti-Bush and anti-Republican-Congress sentiment at the polls, what we seem to be getting is seriously depressed voter turnout, enough to allow the incumbent party to hold on to the seat in a close election. As I said elsewhere, the depressing sentiment of the electorate seems to be not "Throw the bums out!" but "Why bother?" Democrats are going to need to change that, and fast, if there's to be any hope of November 2006 being any different from November 2004 or November 2002.
not only them, but the last 6 years the policy has been to let the repukes self-destruct well, that philosophy will not bring victory in November, unless we present ideas, and at the same time attack them for the illegal activities they have done Where is our energy plan? Where is our solution to the Iraq war? Yes Murtha, Kerry, and others have pontificated one, but the message is not hammered in, and worse, there are enough democrats in congress who believe that staying the course in Iraq is the answer Where is our solution for healthcare? I hear very little spoken about the illegal wire taps, outing of a CIA agent, and the lies that got us into Iraq
Why was the race close? What's the margin that would require a recount? Whatever that figure is, I would suggest that the machines were calibrated to hit that point or slightly over. Had nothing to do with Busby. I suspect (tho it can't be proven in any way without a recount and that's either impossible or highly unlikely with electronic voting) that Busby won the election handily. She was registering a 5% pre-election poll lead according to a previous post and probably the lead was increasing right up to the election. That would make it a 9-point swing. This is about average for elections nowadays where the voting machines are easily rigged. In some places, it's much more difficult for the machines to flip the election (PA and MA come to mind) due to state and local laws and other factors. Who knows the type of machines used in this district?
Tell that to Allan Keyes. He got a whopping 27% of the vote for the Illinois Senate.
Yes, we probably won't get a breakdown of the illegal immigrant vote, but I'd bet Busby swept that subgroup.
Really? Interesting...Duke won by a bigger margin, though, didn't he?
I love it regardless.
Kean's our Casey...
Do you know what the House GOP caucus' position is on seniority for Billbray? Do they count his prior years of service. I assume to help him in November, they would, as well as give him a fairly high profile committee assignment..
And John McCain is now sucking eggs.
I think it is rampantly obvious the press reports bogus poll numbers to achieve a desired "inevitability" among the general public.
That is, they skew the results so as to discourage conservatives and encourage liberals.
Regarding polls, when they report even good news for conservatives, I think it might be even better for us. When they report bad news in the polls, I think it is probably not as bad as they insinuate.
In May..some 5 weeks ago, dem polster Celinda Lake released a poll showing BUSBY AHEAD 47-40....so much for all these polls..
Careful, Peter. That stuff'll rot your brain...
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