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The End of Liquidity
Daily Reconing ^ | 6/6/2006 | Bill Bonner

Posted on 06/06/2006 12:25:55 PM PDT by ex-Texan

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"Yeah, it's all Ben Bernanke's fault. Blame Ben. It's the popular thing to do." Sorry, people. I cannot give Ben any of the blame. Not today. Greenspan's legacy is saddling the U.S. consumer with two major asset bubbles. The dot.com bubble burst was bad enough. It ruined millions of small investors who chose to gamble with high tech stocks. Now the housing bubble will cause ripples in the U.S. and across the entire global economy. But don't blame Ben. {Review Helpful Tools and Graphs?]

On the other hand, if you are one of the lucky souls that sold your properties at the peak -- you may be sitting pretty right now. Just wait, watch and listen. By the end of next year, there will be hundreds of foreclosures to invest in and make real money. "Location, location, location. Buy low, sell high. Nada por nada." This is not a "gloom and doom" post. It is a helpful post. And very hopeful post. Good times are coming just around the corner!

For the naysayers, I reiterate your mantras: "Nothing to see here. Not in my neighborhood. Prices are sill going up. No foreclosures near me today. Time to move on"

1 posted on 06/06/2006 12:25:59 PM PDT by ex-Texan
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To: ex-Texan
This is not a "gloom and doom" post.

There is a famous piece of art entitled: "Ce n'est pas une pipe". It depicts a pipe.

2 posted on 06/06/2006 12:30:21 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (I face pressure! You face pressure!)
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To: ex-Texan

Might be in the house market in a few years. Should be a good time to buy.


3 posted on 06/06/2006 12:35:01 PM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: ex-Texan

Let's look at Las Vegas, which the writer uses a "breathtaking" example. The 2,900 homes for sale in 2004 was an incredibly low number for the size of the city. The 17,000 currently on the market is an admittedly high number, caused by the bailing out of speculators. The average of these two numbers (10,000) represents a proper balance. As soon as the speculators wash out, we should be right back where we belong.

70% of homes in LV are selling in under 90 days, even today. What does that tell you? It says that despite the increase in inventory, the sky is not falling yet. And how could it? 6,000 a month move here. These people need places to live.

I believe prices will fall here and across the country, and this is a good thing. Will it lead to economic calamity? No. In fact, unless one is in foreclosure, it really won't even matter. It will greatly help people like my sister, a school teacher, who currently can't even afford a modest condominium.


4 posted on 06/06/2006 12:37:50 PM PDT by VegasCowboy ("...he wore his gun outside his pants, for all the honest world to feel.")
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To: ClearCase_guy
"It is not a pipe . . ." is a pipe. Makes sense to me. When is a pipe not a pipe? Perhaps when people leap at the quick answer on multiple choice exams. Or take a leap for the easy money. Instant gratification is the bane of America today.

But I'm not being deceptive at all. Not in the least.

5 posted on 06/06/2006 12:39:58 PM PDT by ex-Texan (Matthew 7:1 through 6)
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To: ex-Texan

It's the perfect storm. Clamping down at the border will cause it to be so. Now we are going to have to lower wage pressure the hard way.


6 posted on 06/06/2006 12:44:23 PM PDT by kinghorse
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To: ex-Texan
On the other hand, if you are one of the lucky souls that sold your properties at the peak -- you may be sitting pretty right now.

We'll just keep paying on our less than $200,000 ten year mortgage for fourteen acres above Silicon Valley, thank you. To get out and then buy in again later would triple our property taxes.

7 posted on 06/06/2006 12:44:57 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (There are people in power who are truly evil.)
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To: ex-Texan

interesting tidbit from the article:

"It was cheap money as well that fuelled America’s property bubble. Now, that bubble seems to be losing gas."

I'm surprised you missed it, ET. ;)


8 posted on 06/06/2006 12:45:20 PM PDT by RobRoy
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To: All
More cowardly, infantile, pathetic, stupid, BS, idiotic KEY WORD vandalism:

EXTEXANSUCKS; HOUSING; SAMEOLDSHT; SPAM

Posting HATE SPEECH and personal attacks in the KEY WORDS is like throwing rotten eggs at houses on Halloween. Pathetic. Childish. Cowardly. Run away little vandals. Run away. Run away and hide behind your screen names.

9 posted on 06/06/2006 12:48:57 PM PDT by ex-Texan (Matthew 7:1 through 6)
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To: ex-Texan

I just don't get what you are talking about with keywords. What is their relevance?


10 posted on 06/06/2006 12:49:59 PM PDT by RobRoy
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To: ex-Texan

The same old same old. If they will not debate why even come on the threads.


11 posted on 06/06/2006 12:51:11 PM PDT by Hydroshock ( (Proverbs 22:7). The rich ruleth over the poor, and the borrower is servant to the lender.)
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To: ex-Texan

Pity those who still have interest only, adjustable rate mortgages, for they shall soon be known as Dual Income No Equity (DINES).


12 posted on 06/06/2006 12:51:43 PM PDT by pabianice
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To: ex-Texan

Ex-tex. I believe the Moderators can tell who posted the keywords. Apparently the posters didn't know that.


13 posted on 06/06/2006 12:52:50 PM PDT by OB1kNOb (This is no time for bleeding hearts, pacifists, and appeasers to prevail in free world opinion.)
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To: ex-Texan

Now would be a good time for a lot of peopel to start figuring out how to pay off debts and live within their means. Having a low debt to earning ratio is great.


14 posted on 06/06/2006 12:53:34 PM PDT by Hydroshock ( (Proverbs 22:7). The rich ruleth over the poor, and the borrower is servant to the lender.)
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To: pabianice

No they will be known as the renting poor after they are foreclosed on.


15 posted on 06/06/2006 12:54:33 PM PDT by Hydroshock ( (Proverbs 22:7). The rich ruleth over the poor, and the borrower is servant to the lender.)
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To: RobRoy
What's not to "get?"

You must be joking. Or have on blinders. Go up to the primary post. Look at the KEY WORDS. This is abusive conduct. Hate speech. Personal attacks. Cowardly vandals take pot shots from behind rocks. FR allows them to do it.

16 posted on 06/06/2006 12:54:55 PM PDT by ex-Texan (Matthew 7:1 through 6)
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To: OB1kNOb

See my # 16.


17 posted on 06/06/2006 12:56:44 PM PDT by ex-Texan (Matthew 7:1 through 6)
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To: ex-Texan

I only know one thing for sure...no matter the finacial environment, there are people ALWAYS buying jewelry, fancy cars, boats, Hummers, and big houses......there are people at every NFL game paying top dollars and Southwest at least seemed very very busy in January, and February, and March....


18 posted on 06/06/2006 12:56:50 PM PDT by cherry (.)
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To: ex-Texan
This is abusive conduct. Hate speech. Personal attacks. Cowardly vandals take pot shots from behind rocks. FR allows them to do it.

No different from FR allowing you to post your near daily prophecy of housing bubble burst. How long have you been doing this? Anyway, if you aren't willing to risk a good old fashioned stoning, you shouldn't be in the prophecy business. It doesn't matter if you are right or wrong, you have painted yourself "Bubble Bursting Red", and it's a loud bright color that attracts attention. Don't get upset about it.

19 posted on 06/06/2006 1:02:33 PM PDT by American_Centurion (No, I don't trust the government to automatically do the right thing.)
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To: cherry
People make money both legally and illegally in any financial environment. There was a time when the LA La Lakers had major problems with ticket scalping. Seems that the mob bought up most of the tickets and gave them to gang bangers. There were some confrontations and even gun shots in the parking lot.
20 posted on 06/06/2006 1:03:11 PM PDT by ex-Texan (Matthew 7:1 through 6)
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