I just did a look at the Busby vote in the April election. She gained 1.74% from the first drop of absentees at 8:15 pm to the final. If that pattern holds this time, a dead even race would be Bilbray ahead in the first absentee drop by 3.84%. Of course, the pattern might not hold this time, but as the vote totals came in, they were pretty stable. So we should have a good idea of the lay of the land in 35 minutes, if the first absentee drop is reported as promptly as in April.
Please ping me after you check those results.