No it does not, acoording to this.
"Roughly 10 percent of Mexico's population of about 107 million is now living in the United States, estimates show."....Illegals are probably counted as still part of Mexico's population since they are still officially Mexican.
Obviously, you don't understand the miracle of compound interest. If Mexico maintains a 1.16% growth rate over the next 20 years
Oh I understand perfectly well, I just based it on my estimate of what I thought Mexico population was roughly, 100 vs. 107.
And remember that this growth rate includes a negative migration.
Yes and no. It includes the current levels of migration. If the flood gates were truely open as this prediction suggests, the current net migration rate would go from -4.32 per 1000 to about ten times that or about 40 per 1000. This would push their population growth from 1.16% to -2.84%, which would result in Mexico's population plumenting from 107 million to under 60 million over the next 20 years. Ain't going to happen. It's an over the top prediction that should never have been printed.
Interesting article, despite the fact that it came from the SF Chronicle. My info comes from the CIA factbook. There is no caveat that 10% of Mexico's official population lives in the US.
Oh I understand perfectly well, I just based it on my estimate of what I thought Mexico population was roughly, 100 vs. 107.
If that is the case, why did you assert that the Heritage numbers would make Mexico a "ghost country." If you bothered to read to the end of the article, you will notice that Heritage reduced the number to 60 million based on amendments to the Senate bill.
Yes and no. It includes the current levels of migration. If the flood gates were truely open as this prediction suggests, the current net migration rate would go from -4.32 per 1000 to about ten times that or about 40 per 1000.
The Rector study makes no such assumption. Initally, the Senate bill had increased the LEGAL immigration number five times its current one million a year. The current bill increases the number threefold. You are also making the assumption that all of these legal immigrants will come from Mexico. That is not the case. You should read your own link to the SF article.
"Three-quarters of the estimated 12 million illegal migrants in the United States come from Mexico and Central America. Mexicans make up 56 percent of the unauthorized U.S. migrant population, according to the Pew Hispanic Center. Another 22 percent come from elsewhere in Latin America, mainly Central America and the Andean countries. These same countries send many of the half-million new illegal immigrants who arrive each year."
This would push their population growth from 1.16% to -2.84%, which would result in Mexico's population plumenting from 107 million to under 60 million over the next 20 years. Ain't going to happen. It's an over the top prediction that should never have been printed.
Phony strawman. Read the original Rector study which has been subequently been modified based on the new amendments to the Senate bill that were made primarily because of Rector and Sessions analyzing the impact of the bill on the numbers of legal immigrants.
Please note that the WH and CBO assume no illegal immigration in their figures.