Although Whalen touted the poll as independent, PPP president Dean Debnam acknowledged that he’s a Democrat and “generally only works for Democrats.” Shuler’s campaign did not pay for the poll, though, which has a margin of error of 3.7 percent.
I know; I read that part too. That's why I moved it to the low end of Toss Up instead of to Lean D. Here's the actual poll, BTW:
Poll shows Congressman Taylor behind in race for US House. I don't see any obvious push myself. All the rest of the figures, including party self-ID (44% R to 37% D) look right to me for this district.