GET WHITEY!
INFIDEL SCUM!
Posted on 05/21/2006 12:48:19 PM PDT by ScaniaBoy
In all likelihood the best FN and LePen can hope for is to reach a second round in the upcoming presidential election. In a second round (possibly against the Socialist contender Ségolène Royal) most conservatives will either stay at home or vote for the Socialists - unless the election takes place under exceptional circumstances, such as riots in the suburbs.
Of course if Le Pen should win the EU is dead. There is no way they could treat France like they ttreated Austria. However, as I wrote above, I don't think there are many europhiles who lose sleep over this scenario. Most unlikely.
GET WHITEY!
INFIDEL SCUM!
Remember Le Pen hates the US...
French conservatives aren't american conservatives. Same applies for British, Canadian, and all other brands of conservatism.
Le Pen, I believe, is very anti US and anti Israel.
Really? is there any party in France that isn't attacking the US?
Yes, a win by Le pen would not improve the relationship between France and the US (or Israel).
That is, unfortunately, a possibility. That LePen could siphon enough votes from Sarkozy to push Segolene Royal (who makes Cindy Sheehan sound like a MENSA member) into the run-off.
What is likely to happen is rather that Sarkozy begins to sound more and more like LePen without the overt racism.
My $.02
Yes, I think you are correct. Unless Sarkozy is knifed in the back by Chirac and/or Villepin he is the likely candidate for the Right - and should be able to beat the Far Right in the first round. However, lots of things may happen before then....
I don't think Chirac/De Villepin have any knives left.
Sarkozy quite deftly out-manoevred them in both the Economic Reform process and the Clearstream case.
Neither Chirac nor De Villepin have any support left whatsoever.
Unfortunately, the only pro-Americain (Alain Madelin) stands no chance of getting more than 2% of the vote.
The conservative Philippe Devilliers (Conservative in the American sense) is also in the 2% maximum range.
Given what I know of Sarkozy, at least we can work with him (unlike Chirac with his deGaullian delusions of "French Gloire".
In a twist of irony, I read a news item from a few months ago Le Pen is now actively courting the Islamic voters.
I think a Sarkozy victory would probably be the preferable outcome: not as anti-US as LePen, but still bad news for the Muzzies.
I thought de Villiers was both a conservative and an Atlanticist.
He did well during the referendum campaign on the EU "constitution", but as you say he will probably only garner a couple of percentage points at most.
He could be. I only heard him speak on internal themes (immigration, family values). He is well-liked among the traditional military officer class (which itself is generally pro-American) but he is certainly less capitalist-oriented than Madelin.
She's gorgeous, but a commie.
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