The third step, if the infidel refuses to pay the jizya tax, is jihad of annihilation.
I do not think that is correct. Jizya is meant for other monotheist minority religions within Dar al-Islam, i.e. Christians and Jews. The US is in Dar al-Harb. I think the next step is war.
The Iranians could raise a lot of Hell, if they want to pick a fight. They could jack up oil prices, stop oil commerce, activate some loser would-be terrorists in the US and seriously threaten Israel. This would result in a temporary burden on the US economy, a lot of pissed-off Americans and a scorching response from Israel. Unfortunately this is exactly what the mad President wants. I hope whoever responds first makes a serious dent in his ego and in his ability to wage war. A great big smoldering dent.
I can haedly wait until H hour!