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Zimbabwe on edge as inflation hits 1,000%
The Scotsman ^ | May 13, 2006 | CRIS CHINAKA

Posted on 05/13/2006 12:58:55 AM PDT by MadIvan

ZIMBABWE'S annual inflation rate topped 1,000 per cent in April, underlining the severity of an economic crisis analysts say could trigger protests against Robert Mugabe's government.

Zimbabwe, in its eighth year of recession, has the fastest shrinking economy of a country outside a war zone, according to the World Bank, and the highest inflation rate in the world.

The official statistics agency said yesterday the annual inflation rate hit a record 1,042.9 percent in April after rising 913.6 per cent in March.

"As expected, it's more doom and gloom," said John Robertson, a private economic consultant. "How do you start to explain a situation where you wake up to a new price almost every day? Many families are barely getting by; they are in a survival mode," he said.

Analysts say the president has dented Zimbabwe's investment image with his seizure of white-owned farms for blacks, and that government plans to acquire a 51 per cent stake in all foreign-owned mines will keep external funding at bay.

That has undermined the currency, fuelling an inflationary spiral which shows no sign of abating. Economists say the inflation rate could end the year at around 1,800 per cent.

Some shops no longer put prices on commodities, saving themselves the trouble of changing them every day. With a carton of orange juice costing 500,000 Zimbabwe dollars (£2.70) and a kilo of beef up to a million dollars, people carry their money in large bags even for simple shopping trips.

Analysts say most Zimbabweans are cutting down on basic necessities, with some families living on one meal a day.

"There is a lot of anger over the economic hardships, and if you combine this with the political conditions, we have an explosive social environment," said Eldred Masunungure, from the political science department at the University of Zimbabwe.

"We are right on the edge, and, politically, what is going to be interesting is how the government and the opposition are going to play the game."

The main opposition party, the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) says it is organising peaceful anti-government marches to protest at Mr Mugabe's policies.

Mr Mugabe has warned MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai that he would be "dicing with death" if he tried to force a coup.

Mr Mugabe, 82, in power since independence from Britain in 1980, has used tough security laws to curb protests and says the economy is a victim of sabotage by opponents of his seizures and land redistribution.

Critics blame the land reform programme for a 60 per cent drop in agricultural output since 2000, leading to a 35 per cent fall in gross domestic product.

In the first major violent protests over a sharp rise in college fees, police said students burned down a computer laboratory and classroom block at Bindura University in north-east Zimbabwe.

Mr Mugabe put his security services on high alert early this year over fears that bitter wage disputes, and school and consumer price rises amid the deepening economic crisis might spark demonstrations.

And in a measure clearly aimed at forestalling protests against his ruling ZANU-PF party, Mr Mugabe recently awarded civil servants, including security forces, a 300 per cent pay rise.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: africa; africawatch; hyperinflation; mugabe; zimbabwe
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To: quadrant
They wanted majority rule, and they have to live with the consequences.

That's ridiculous. Majority rule does not mean indefinite suspension of elections and civil liberties--if anything, it means the opposite. Mugabe has corrupted the electoral process and the majority would happily throw him out on his ass in the ballot box if they could.

The comparison is not with Ian Smith's government, which meant eternal purgatory for the African majority, but for the democracy and moderate prosperity that countries such as Botswana have achieved and which South Africa has been moving toward to per what I read in the Economist.
21 posted on 05/13/2006 10:41:08 AM PDT by HostileTerritory
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To: HostileTerritory

They voted Robert Mugabe into office.
If they aren't living through purgatory now, what would you call it?
I suggest you read more about South Africa. Crime is rampant. And the government is about to start the same sort of land reform that ruined Zimbabwe. Give South Africa another ten years - if that long - and the country will be in ruins.


22 posted on 05/13/2006 11:10:46 AM PDT by quadrant
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To: MadIvan
Critics blame the land reform programme for a 60 per cent drop in agricultural output since 2000, leading to a 35 per cent fall in gross domestic product.

The Legacy of Marx and Lenin is certainly not dead in Zimbabwe. It would not be unexpected to see the Stalinist Phase next.

23 posted on 05/13/2006 11:15:28 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: quadrant

The conditions under which people voted Mugabe into office--and it has been many years since free elections--were very different. Many years into majority rule, under Mugabe, Zimbabwe was doing very well economically and socially. The decline is relatively recent.

I have done reading about South Africa and your perspective is from the late 1990s. The situation has turned itself around quite dramatically, and the real estate market in downtown Jo'burg is booming.


24 posted on 05/13/2006 11:47:03 AM PDT by HostileTerritory
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To: MadIvan
people carry their money in large bags even for simple shopping trips.

Two words Ivan:

Wiemar Germany.

L

25 posted on 05/13/2006 11:57:55 AM PDT by Lurker (50% of the country is not fit to run a convenience store.)
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To: HostileTerritory
Relatively recent is a "relative" phrase. The seeds of decay in Zimbabwe have been present almost from the beginning. The contempt for property rights and the contempt for the judiciary (even Andrew Young complained about this)have been a feature of Mugabe's rule since the early 1990's.
As to South Africa, we shall see.
26 posted on 05/13/2006 3:22:00 PM PDT by quadrant
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To: quadrant
If they aren't living through purgatory now, what would you call it?

Hell

27 posted on 05/13/2006 4:56:09 PM PDT by zimdog
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To: quadrant
If you wish to read more about the situation in South Africa, I suggest www.africancrisis.org. Of course, this site is maintained by a person with an axe to grind, but the site does have information you won't read in the main-
stream media.
28 posted on 05/15/2006 10:10:42 AM PDT by quadrant
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To: Lurker
Wiemar Germany.

Pretty close, Lurker. The only problem is that Mugabe has already confiscated the wheelbarrows (LOL).

29 posted on 05/15/2006 10:18:46 AM PDT by ssaftler (Politically Correct isn't! Progressives aren't!)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

yeah the posts here from time to time on various topics that seems to imply that a popular uprising taking down a sitting despot with secure control of the military is even a viable option amaze me. Usually the topic is chavez.


30 posted on 06/01/2006 5:51:58 AM PDT by WoofDog123
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