Domestic gross. They're going to make money. And remember the theaters don't give a crap what the production budget was, they get their cut off the top (the only part of the whole equation where the theater makes out).
$100 mil is NOT nitch sales regardless of what the budget was. $200 mil is WAAAAY not nitch sales. $30 mil is the high end of nitch sales, my list isn't going to be nitch movies, they're going to be block busters.
The movie I actually WANT to see is:
"The 11th Day: Crete 1941"
http://www.crete1941.com
It is about the Nazi defeat at the hands of ordinary people of the island of crete. It is what caused Winston Churchill to say "Greeks don't fight like heroes, Heroes fight like Greeks."
But I am biased, not because I know people involved. I am biased because I know people who lived it.
It does not have a distributor last I heard, I guess hollyweird does not like movies where good defeats evil.