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Florida dike may not survive next hurricane
Waterbury Republican-American ^ | May 3, 2006 | associated press

Posted on 05/03/2006 9:07:07 AM PDT by Graybeard58

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. -- The dike keeping the nation's second-largest lake from overflowing has a high chance of failing in the event of another hurricane and poses "a grave and imminent danger," according to a state-hired panel of engineering experts.

Gov. Jeb Bush said Tuesday he was worried about the report, which noted that the dike has a one in six chance of being breached in the event of a hurricane.

Bush said he would discuss the findings, issued late Monday, in a meeting Tuesday with Homeland Security chief Michael Chertoff and R. David Paulison, head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

The engineering experts were hired to evaluate the dike's ability to withstand additional hurricanes after the beating it took from Hurricane Wilma last October, Bush said.

Lake Okeechobee is surrounded by the 143-mile Herbert Hoover dike, which was built in the 1950s in part to prevent another disaster such as the 1928 hurricane.

In that hurricane, flooding and storm surge from the lake killed more than 2,000 people.

The 730-square mile lake is the second largest natural freshwater lake within the contiguous United States, behind Lake Michigan.

A failure of the dike would likely result in widespread devastation to the area, resulting in billions of dollars in damages, irreversible harm to the Everglades and a contamination of South Florida's drinking water supply, the report said.

Bush said he also was pushing for a quick solution to repair the dike and was dispatching his own disaster preparedness chief for an update on the situation.

"FEMA doesn't need any more breaches nor does the state of Florida," Bush said.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush; chickenlittle; dike; disaster; fla; florida; govbush; hurricane; jebbush; lakeokeechobee; mediabias; skyisfalling
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To: Graybeard58
The dike keeping the nation's second-largest lake from overflowing has a high chance of failing in the event of another hurricane and poses "a grave and imminent danger," according to a state-hired panel of engineering experts.

Gov. Jeb Bush said Tuesday he was worried about the report, which noted that the dike has a one in six chance of being breached in the event of a hurricane.

One in six = high chance?

If you are standing on second base with two outs and the guy at the plate is batting .167, you have a LOW chance of scoring, not a high chance.

If you have one roll of one die and a SIX will win you $1,000,000 but any other result means you lose, you have a HIGH chance of walking away no richer than when you played and only a LOW chance of becoming a millionaire.

21 posted on 05/03/2006 9:20:58 AM PDT by VRWCmember
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To: Graybeard58

I've seen this dike before and have stood on it. It's an absolute marvel of engineering.

But I'm wondering. If there was a problem with the Hoover dike before, I wonder why it hasn't been brought up sooner?

Fot those of you out there who want more info on the 1928 hurricane, click on this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1928_Okeechobee_Hurricane


22 posted on 05/03/2006 9:21:13 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: VRWCmember

Yeah I guess it would depend on whether she had that title before or after experiencing said "prowess"


23 posted on 05/03/2006 9:22:47 AM PDT by rattrap
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To: martin_fierro; Red Badger; weegee; jdm
In a somewhat related subject, Martina is rumored to be joining the men's tennis circut and playing under the name "Tom Petty."


24 posted on 05/03/2006 9:23:38 AM PDT by edpc
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To: MplsSteve

"I've seen this dike before and have stood on it. It's an absolute marvel of engineering."

Can't we just all get along?


25 posted on 05/03/2006 9:27:15 AM PDT by TET1968
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To: MplsSteve

I always suggest a visit to Lake Okechobee, for visitors to South Florida. It is amazing and quite beautiful.


26 posted on 05/03/2006 9:29:33 AM PDT by Paradox (Removing all Doubt since 1998!)
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To: rottndog

Every single day there are umpteeth morononic eviroNAZI's bitching and moaning and complaining and attacking the Lake Okeechobee Water Management District for allowing TOO MUCH drain off into the St. Lucie waterway.

Every option these wackos can think of to stop the fresh water flow back into the Atlantic is used. From brackish water contamination to high oxigination to endangered species to etc., etc.

The City, County and State have given in to these jerks and reduced the drainage to a daily trickle.

The safety net is attainable, but the greens won't allow it.


27 posted on 05/03/2006 9:30:27 AM PDT by JoeSixPack1
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To: weegee
That dyke has already failed. This is news?
28 posted on 05/03/2006 9:31:15 AM PDT by vetvetdoug
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To: Paradox

I agree. It's a part of Florida that has more in common with the Deep South than it does "Miami Vice" or "CSI: Miami".

I stopped at several towns (Clewiston, Belle Glade) and found it interesting, especially the burning of the sugar cane fields during harvest. The whole area struck me as pretty poor too.


29 posted on 05/03/2006 9:32:52 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: Graybeard58

The infrastructure of America is collapsing & GW is sending aids money to Africa, etc.


30 posted on 05/03/2006 9:33:16 AM PDT by Digger
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To: Graybeard58
Lake Okeechobee is surrounded by the 143-mile Herbert Hoover dike, which was built in the 1950s in part to prevent another disaster such as the 1928 hurricane.

In that hurricane, flooding and storm surge from the lake killed more than 2,000 people.

Let me be the first: Bush's fault!

31 posted on 05/03/2006 9:38:39 AM PDT by Ignatz (Freeper cyborg: "The lay teachers could not make hands of some girls.")
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To: Digger

What makes you think GW works for America, or Americans?


32 posted on 05/03/2006 9:39:01 AM PDT by ARCADIA (Abuse of power comes as no surprise)
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To: weegee; Ernest_at_the_Beach; Mo1; onyx

I knew that someone like you would post Jake Reno's picture on this thread.

To bad her health is so bad, that she might not survive the next hurricane.

This has to be Bush's fault.


33 posted on 05/03/2006 9:42:57 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (There's a dwindling market for Marxist homosexual lunatic wet dreams posing as journalism)
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To: VRWCmember

When you look at the odds, you have to consider the downside. The last time the lake flooded, 2000 people died. I would imagine that the number would be much higher today, and the property damage would be immense.

Would you play Russian roulette if someone offered you $50,000 if you survived?


34 posted on 05/03/2006 9:44:07 AM PDT by cartographer
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To: Graybeard58

Why is this a federal responsibility? Because Jeb is the President's brother?


35 posted on 05/03/2006 9:49:46 AM PDT by jackieaxe (Democrats are mired in a culture of screwing English speaking, taxpaying, law abiding citizens!)
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To: VRWCmember
You need to put odds in perspective. For instance, I was taking a medication and had a 5% chance of getting acute lukemia from the medication. Sounds like low odds, but not odds that I was willing to risk my life on.

Likewise, a 16% chance of catastrophic failure is pretty high odds in the world of construction.

36 posted on 05/03/2006 9:50:26 AM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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To: Graybeard58

I hope she'll be okay. Maybe Jeb should ask Janet Reno to go in and reinforce her.


37 posted on 05/03/2006 9:50:36 AM PDT by KarinG1 (Some of us are trying to engage in philosophical discourse. Please don't allow us to interrupt you.)
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Donna Shalala became President of the University of Miami on June 1, 2001

38 posted on 05/03/2006 9:54:57 AM PDT by george wythe
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To: MplsSteve; All

"Belle Glade....The whole area struck me as pretty poor too."

Yes, I have traveled on both sides of the lake, and it is settled by a lot of retirees and others with limited income. There are lots of trailers, and very small houses. For what it is worth Rosy O'Donnell has a 24,000 sq. ft. home in Miami. That is where the money is for both Republicans and Democrats. Perhaps the poorer residents of the Lake O area don't rate the same kind of care and attention. Ask the Katrina survivors trying to rebuild on the coasts of Ala. Miss. and La. what kind of help they are getting.

Interesting historical aside, Belle Glade was the epicenter of the heterosexual phase of the AIDS epidemic in the early 1980's. Apparently, it was spread by long distance truckers and a thriving prostitution presence in Belle Glade. This is also an important mode of transmission in many parts of Africa. Can't we all just stay at home?


39 posted on 05/03/2006 10:04:17 AM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: jackieaxe
Why is this a federal responsibility?

Do you mean besides the fact that every lake in central Florida drains into Lake O and that the Army Corps of Engineers built dams at every flow point and have been controlling the water flow manually for the last 75 years? Where before the ACoE a natural flow worked perfectly for a few thousand years.

Yeah, let's blame Bush.(/sarc)

40 posted on 05/03/2006 10:12:40 AM PDT by JoeSixPack1
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