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To: DoughtyOne
Well in 2000 there were 10 million here.

Could you provide a cite for this, please? US News & World Report says 12 million currently. Other recent articles say 11 million. As far as I know, there are considerably fewer than 20 million illegals here, and that's plenty. A southern border fence needs to be built, illegal immigration needs to end and the current illegals need to be assimilated as Americans.

You state that all the family members are already here.

No, I don't state that at all. I stated that presumably a large percentage of illegal immigrants who have wives and children already have them in the US. Since a large number of the illegals also appear to be single men, I don't believe there's a huge pool of wives and kids waiting to join them.

Okay, then why is there between $20 and $30 billion dollars U.S. being wired south across the U.S. Mexican border every year?

Again, without knowing the accuracy of your numbers, I assume illegal immigrants are remitting money to parents and extended family back in Mexico. Extended family members would not be eligible to automatically join illegals in the US who receive amnesty. The fence and better border security will make sure they don't.
56 posted on 04/28/2006 3:42:57 PM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: AnotherUnixGeek

I see the solution as requiring a three-pronged approach. 1.) "Drain the swamp" by building an effective barrier, as you say, or we keep swatting mosquitos and we have to do that after #3 is addressed; 2.) apply the law to illegal *employers* who hold deportation (the threat, such as it is) over Mexicans' heads, if they don't work like mules (this is what I think they mean when they say "work Americans won't do": 'kick-backs', unpaid overtime, back-breaking, tedious work for a lot less than we would accept); and, the most difficult problem, 3.) what to do with people here who want the same things we enjoy--who want to see the show, but snuck under the tent instead of buying a ticket. The irony being, they may have paid as much or more to coyotes as our ancestors paid for boat passage.
Number three is the `rub'. Walls are a dicey proposition: Festung Europa, Maginot line, etc. But if they're still coming . . and they are! Conservatives are split over whether to say, "OK, one more time . . and that's it!" or "No, they're breaking our law. Vamoose!"
Disrespecting our sovereignty and these "demands" they're making don't help their case. May 1st I'll be wearing out my debit card. I don't like their argument.


57 posted on 04/28/2006 3:56:53 PM PDT by OkieDoke
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To: AnotherUnixGeek
It was Doris Meisner I'm fairly certain who estimated a few years back that if the illegals were given amnesty there would be anywhere from 27 to 40 million total when it's said and done. That includes the amnestied and their family members who would get to move here thanks to Ted Kennedy's chain laws. That's on top of the new flood of illegals were bound to get, fence or no fence, additional guest workers and who knows how many offspring.

You think fat boy from Massachusetts doesn't know all that? Of course he does, why do you think he's pushing another amnesty? He wants his legacy to be the return of the democratic party that lasts for generations to come. Now exactly what John McCain wants out of all of this I don't know, probably the same thing.

58 posted on 04/28/2006 4:25:10 PM PDT by Reaganwuzthebest
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To: AnotherUnixGeek

No I can't provide a link for you. During the discussion of the illegal alien issue in 2000, the figure bandied about was ten million. The idea that only 11 million are in country today is a non-starter for me. You are welcome to believe the media if you like. Even prior to 2000, the flow of illegals was estimated to be around 1 million per year. The ten million figure represents those who came over after around 1987, 88.

Remember that estimates of illegal aliens in country have been underestimated traditionally. In 1986 Reagan was promised that there were only 1 million in country. The Congress and the Senate sold the fix on that premise. Considering that small number and the promise that our border laws would be strictly enforced, Reagan signed off on the Immigration act of 1986. As soon as he did 3.5 million illegal immigrants filed to become naturalized. There are a lot of people who don't think all of the illegals signed up at that time. I'm not sure about that.

No I don't think there is a large pool of wives and kids. There is a large pool of moms, dads, brothers and sisters. If every illegal immigrant brought over only 2 people, even using your figure that would be 22 million people. That's 22 million in addition to the 11 million already here. That's 33 million in total. That' doesn't count births in the next six years (the term of guest workers). If my figure is closer to the truth, and I believe it to be, we're talking about 60 million people in total. That doesn't count births in the next five years or the continued flow of illegal immigrants.

Look, some people are not going to be eligable for work permits and other forms of access. There will still be an illegal immigrant flow. And with the promise of becoming a part of a worker program later on, like the current wave, who can blame them?

When illegals become naturalized, in six to eight years, they will have the same rights as current immigrants have. They will be able to bring over extended family members.

Let's review some news from the last year. Do you remember the Time magazine article from last year? It stated that three million illegals were coming across the border yearly now. That's a huge number. I do know that the INS (ICE or whatever the heck they call themselves these days), did admit to interdicting 900,000 in about eight months last year. Traditionally border agents have estimated they catch 5 to 15%. I don't think we had 9 million come over last year, but I do think it's quite possible we had 2 million come across. What's two million times six? That ignores what we had in country before 2000.

I don't think it's unrealistic to think there are between fifteen and thirty million illegal immigrants in this nation. I have settled on 22.5 million because I think there were ten million in the United States in 2000, and I think the flow since then has been rather briske.

I don't know for sure. Nobody does. I can only take my best guess. That's it.

Now, the President has also stated that he wants to set up a program that will allow still more foreign nationals to enter our nation on guest-worker programs. His premise was that if only we'd allow more to flow in, we wouldn't have to worry about illegal aliens. My premise is that we're being hosed as it is. We're not going to break the bank by doing this, but where going to continue to build up some massive numbers future generations will have to pay off in order to do this.

I think that is wrong an a number of levels.


59 posted on 04/28/2006 4:37:52 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (The United 'Door Mats' of America! Go ahead, scrape your feet on it. Everyone else is.)
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