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$5 Gas By Summer Is Seen as Iranian Situation Festers
NY Sun ^ | Ap 24 06 | Dan Dorfman

Posted on 04/24/2006 8:41:25 AM PDT by churchillbuff

Mr. Gaines, chief executive officer of Houston-based Dune Energy and a former top institutional energy analyst, told The New York Sun that those factors could include the current shortage of gasoline inventories, a really hot summer, supply disruptions arising from troubles in Iran and Nigeria, or another serious hurricane in the Gulf, 13% of whose production is offline.

These factors, he says, also could easily produce $90 to $100 oil, as well, versus Friday's close of $75.17.

Equally significant are the implications for interest rates. The gushing oil price, says money manager Leonard Mohr of Los Angeles-based MCR Associates, re-enforces his conviction that the Fed, contrary to overwhelming Wall Street expectations, is in no position to call it quits on future interest rate increases, given the inflationary ramifications of the burgeoning price of oil.

(Excerpt) Read more at nysun.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: gasprices; speculators
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To: Alberta's Child
Can you think of a single product or commodity produced here in the U.S. that is inexpensive by international standards?

Must be food. We're the fattest society on the planet.

21 posted on 04/24/2006 8:57:20 AM PDT by Publius6961 (Multiculturalism is the white flag of a dying country)
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To: 1Old Pro
Since 1974, Government has not done anything about a national energy policy which addressed all aspects of energy. Nothing.

That's actually a good thing. This country doesn't need a "national energy policy," just as it doesn't need a "national housing policy," a "national retirement policy," a "national health care policy," etc.

Quite frankly, I'm content to have people in Washington leave us alone. Now if only we can get them to reduce their legislative sessions to two weeks in every calendar year . . .

22 posted on 04/24/2006 8:57:23 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (Can money pay for all the days I lived awake but half asleep?)
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To: churchillbuff
The previous thread was entitled "30 Republican House Seats in Jeopardy".

The connection between the two threads should be obvious at least to any Republican temporarily occupying a seat in the H.R. who is willing to open his/her eyes to the difference in energy policy between this administration and the 8 years of peace and prosperity we all enjoyed under Clinton and Gore.

23 posted on 04/24/2006 8:58:00 AM PDT by MurryMom
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To: churchillbuff
Bush is holding his cards close. If he has to, he will release the SPR to get pubbies through November elections.

Or the Iranian madman could be enticed into an amBush by unleashing suicide bombers on the USA.

There are so many ways to skin a Democrat.


BUMP

24 posted on 04/24/2006 8:58:37 AM PDT by capitalist229 (Keep Democrats out of our pockets and Republicans out of our bedrooms.)
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To: churchillbuff
These factors, he says, also could easily produce $90 to $100 oil, as well, versus Friday's close of $75.17.

Interesting that $75 per barrel has the effect it does on prices at the pump since the gas at the pump is derived from oil that was purchased by contract at a much lower price up to 3 months ago.
The spot price of $75 per barrel today has nothing to do with the price at the pump for gasoline today.
But that's capitalism for ya I s'pose. Fillerup!

25 posted on 04/24/2006 8:58:39 AM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts (I can't complain...but sometimes I still do.)
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To: EagleUSA

No, it wasn't. It only seemed that way because other countries impose much higher taxes on it than we do.


26 posted on 04/24/2006 8:58:54 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (Can money pay for all the days I lived awake but half asleep?)
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To: HamiltonJay
Just pure old greed by a few powerful folk.

/tinfoil on

Who do you think is behind it? Soros?

/tinfoil off

The OPEC guys are getting nervous. The high prices could reach a tipping point where a viable alternative to their product emerges and gains traction. Personally, I would run my car on hog manure and fill it by hand if it meant not burning the oil of terrorists and dictators.

27 posted on 04/24/2006 8:59:21 AM PDT by IamConservative (Who does not trust a man of principle? A man who has none.)
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To: churchillbuff

bump


28 posted on 04/24/2006 8:59:31 AM PDT by lesser_satan
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To: MurryMom
Hey! MurryMom

Good to see you again. Missed you.

29 posted on 04/24/2006 9:00:23 AM PDT by Publius6961 (Multiculturalism is the white flag of a dying country)
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To: Publius6961

Food is actually pretty expensive here in the U.S., when you add the taxpayer-funded subsidies to the retail price. Any product or service that is subsidized by the government will ultimately be consumed to excess, which is why we consume so much food here in the U.S.


30 posted on 04/24/2006 9:00:31 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (Can money pay for all the days I lived awake but half asleep?)
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To: Publius6961

That's because they are stupid.

Fixes:

1. Nuke power.
2. Suspend the blends.
3. Coal gasification.
4. Tar sands.
5. Take out the tax.
6. Draw and quarter greenpeace, earthfirst, et al.


31 posted on 04/24/2006 9:00:33 AM PDT by 4U2OUI (OK.)
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To: HamiltonJay

What exactly is being done to 'manipulate' the world price of crude? Is someone, somehow knowing what the 'real' future price will be, agreeing to pay much more than that in order to somehow fool everyone? The tankers that are supposedly floating around the seas of the world have no effect on the future prices, they are there now, not then. Any insecurity about the future of oil supply will cause a rise in future price speculation. You can thank Iran for that uncertainty.


32 posted on 04/24/2006 9:01:05 AM PDT by waverna
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To: churchillbuff
well we already see $4 gas, so $5 gas shouldn't be a stretch...
and if folks are smart, they'll budget for it until Labor Day.
33 posted on 04/24/2006 9:02:03 AM PDT by kellynla (Freedom of speech makes it easier to spot the idiots. Semper Fi!)
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To: Publius6961
How are those SUV's doin? Hope ya'll enjoying your fill ups!

I love my Ford Escort!

34 posted on 04/24/2006 9:02:41 AM PDT by zarf (It's time for a college football playoff system.)
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To: HamiltonJay

not enough refining capability. The environment lobby has made sure with the dems in their pockets that not a single new refinery has been built in the US in decades.


35 posted on 04/24/2006 9:02:50 AM PDT by Proud_USA_Republican (We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good. - Hillary Clinton)
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To: churchillbuff

This will create a Dem takeover of Congress, with Bush impeached in 2007 (but not convicted in the Senate). Meanwhile, no drilling will be allowed in Alaska. This, in turn, will defeat Hillary in 2008 by a public wild-eyed with rage over $6 gasoline, meaning a likely McCain presidency and a Dem Congress 2008-2010. All bets will then be off.


36 posted on 04/24/2006 9:03:29 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: IamConservative

no tinfoil at all.. Nope, not soros.. amazing everyone wants to go blame Soros, when in fact the crap is domestic and far closer to home.

Hedge fund is created to buy oil.... guess what, every dollar in there must buy oil futures... well there are only so many at costs that make sense... so hedge funds start buying and selling futures to one another to buy their required obligations.... they have to spend their money, they can't say.. WAIT, we are in a bubble, price is not justified hold off... So they just keep bidding up futures contracts to values that are a joke... meanwhile folks outside go get the oil at more realistic prices and sell it to these funds and walk away fat.

Its the EXACT same thing that was going on in tech in 99... no flipping difference, other than its EASIER to manipulate the futures market because there are less rules to dodge, and enforcement of the ones that are there are even more laughable than the SEC under Clinton.


37 posted on 04/24/2006 9:03:41 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Alberta's Child
"Quite frankly, I'm content to have people in Washington leave us alone. Now if only we can get them to reduce their legislative sessions to two weeks in every calendar year . ."

You may have stumbled upon the truth.

38 posted on 04/24/2006 9:04:06 AM PDT by verity (The MSM is comprised of useless eaters)
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To: churchillbuff

As the old saying goes; More Nukes, Less Kooks.


39 posted on 04/24/2006 9:05:30 AM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (Never bring a knife to a gun fight, or a Democrat to do serious work...)
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To: Proud_USA_Republican

While it is true there hasn't been a new refinery built since the 70s.. demand for gas is not greater today than it was a year ago.. or even 3 years ago by any discernable measure... blaming refinery capacity for the most recent run up is simply a red herring. Refinery capacity does not affect futures pricing, which is where the run up is happening...

Its not a lack of crude, its not a lack of processed product, its pure and simple futures manipulation and greed.


40 posted on 04/24/2006 9:05:42 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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