Posted on 04/24/2006 8:38:45 AM PDT by Reagan Man
Hayworth drew a top-tier challenger, former Tempe mayor and current State Sen. Harry Mitchell. He's very popular in his town. I don't think Mitchell has better than 1 in 4 odds of unseating Hayworth, but as far as House races go this can be considered "vulnerable." It means that if the Democrats have a good year nationwide, they have a strong candidate in place in a not-solid district that can take advantage of the wave.
I had a similar conversation with a friend of mine and he was unusually critical too. I guess I was as well. I think alot of this is attributable to gasoline prices. Gas prices started to climb right after Katrina...Bush's approval numbers started to drop at the same time. It just looks like the GOP doesn't care...they don't get it. I think they should be using $3.00 a gallon gas to bash the 'Rats brains in. They're the one's who won't let us drill in ANWAR or offshore on the Atlantic or Pacific. They're the ones who block new refinery contruction and nuke construction. We should be beating them silly on this. The Senate ought to find a way to bring ANWAR up immediately.
I just wish they'd start fighting. I think that the chances of the 'Rats taking over the House are slim. Politics is local after all...but IF they do take the House the Impeachment of President Bush is a forgone conclusion.
Now he's just a criminal. Pathetic.
The bright side could be that she might not follow the orders of the owners as well as the Bush.
He was the guy Tom Cruise's character was based on in the movie Top Gun. Cunningham was a great pilot. Google him...
Democrats and Republicans are the two divisions of the single Lincoln party. They are no different, they want one central government.
When the Confederate states lost, everything the founding fathers wanted was removed.
Well, this "cipher" took a 13K investment and turned it into a 70 million dollar return. Legally. Shows SOME degree of intelligence. Oh yes, and what about what it takes to create a business that could do that? I don't think you could be honest with yourself and know all that goes into creating a business such as that, and be just a guy that's on a bunch of commercials. But, if you must reduce it to that, the cipher you refer to almost beat a known commodity. How'd that happen if he's so nothing? I know it's all about exposure influencing the stupid Republican mind. Riiiiight.
All I'm saying is that voters should really pay attention. We have an opportunity, and the best should be made of that opportunity.
I lived in Tempe when Mitchell was mayor.
Or, "pretty good vs. could be really awful."
He exactly zero political experience prior to his vulture candidacy. All we have are some vague promises of what he says he'll do; we have exactly zero track record on hand for assessing whether or not those oral promises are worth the paper they're printed on.
But, if you must reduce it to that, the cipher you refer to almost beat a known commodity. How'd that happen if he's so nothing?
"Almost" only counts in horseshoes, hand grenades, and atomic bombs. He was running in a very large field, and he does share a surname with a former San Diego County Sherriff. He still has a lousy organization, and has not spent his time and effort building one. If you want to hand the seat to the Democrats, go ahead and nominate ANYBODY whose organization is of like quality.
All I'm saying is that voters should really pay attention. We have an opportunity, and the best should be made of that opportunity.
And electing a complete unknown whose commercials are long on platitudes and short on specifics is making the best of that opportunity?
Gasoline will be way down by Nov...just wait and see. The other problem with our borders...now that's something else. I'm sure both parties got an ear full during their little ole' vacation from many Americans.
...Well, you must be if you don't mind those with a D after their names taking over. I guess you don't mind taxes out the booza either...Personally, I have a real problem working my butt off and some damned person with a D after their name deciding I need to give half of it to some drug addict, booze drinking, lowlife just because that lowlife's vote can be bought for a free bus ride and a pack of smokes.
During the Miers' nomination battle, you considered that issue important enough to make silly statements like:
Conservatives are to the Republican Party what the blacks, pardon, the African Americans, are to Dimocrat Party.Obviously, you're not happy with the Republican Party, since you consider yourself to be in the roped-off back section of a tent.As long as they go along with the program and don't make waves, everything's OK. Step out of line, and WHAM.
The Big Tent has a section roped off, way in the back, just for conservatives.
Are here just to sow discord?
To me, the border issue is about much more than immigration--it's about national security. Why spend billions of dollars and countless man-hours to strip-search people at airports when anybody who wants to can walk right across our border with impunity? How can we say our nation is secure when we don't even control who's coming in or going out?
If the past is any guide, the media is again overstating the dem chances. Quite a few pollsters had Kerry winning in 2004 on the eve of the election. And the exit polls had him winning too...
Conservatives can take an all or nothing approach to supporting the GOP this time around.
But I say vote. If it's a primary, vote for the most conservative candidate. If it's a general election, vote for the more conservative option.
And continue to talk to family and friends and make the conservative arguments.
Differences (even smaller ones than we would like) between candidates do matter over the course of time. Let's take the long view.
The CA 50 alone discounts this article...oh and by the way, where is the D's 30 House seats in jeopardy list...huh?
1) If you are going to discuss potential outcomes of the election, then isn't it reasonable to analyze how/why those potential outcomes are produced?
2) What exactly do you mean by the derisive phrase "Rain Man brigade"? Do you view concern about an uncontrolled flood of illegal entries to our country as a disability similar to autism? At least on its surface, your comment is insensitive and insulting to me as a conservative, and as parent to an autistic child. Your argument would be stronger if you stuck to facts instead of trying to be clever.
The only border "trolls" are the ones on this forum that want to keep the border open or try to make it a non issue. This article specifically mentioned ILLEGAL immigration reform as one of the issues that might bring the pubbies down this election. Should we all have ignored that because it upsets a few of you people who have a stake in ILLEGALS comming into the country freely?
Also, you can say what you want but the majority of people in this country want our borders controlled and NO amnesty for criminals.
When you say border trolls you are name calling without presenting any constructive plan to eliminate or deal with the problem. Bush has screwed up on this, his war on terror has been good as far as it goes, but our borders are part of the war on terror and sooner or later it will become very evident this is true.
John Gizzi misquotes Michael Barone. Barone says that in some elections presidential popularity is associated with net House pick-ups or loses in off-year elections, and in other years there is no connection between presidential popularity and the results in House races. Barone then goes on to discuss whether this year, with Bush's very low numbers, is one of the first kind of years, or one of the second.
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