Big Hillary Clinton Win in NY Could Cost GOP House

NewsMax.com ^ | April 21, 2006 | Carl Limbacher

[SheLion]

PUSH HER RUDY!!!!

[AuH2ORepublican]

Sweeney and McHugh's districts are too Republican for the incumbents to lose absent a big scandal. The Republican Senate didn't draw McHugh's district to look like an elephant and Sweeney's district to look like an old, shrunken boot for the fun of it; the districts were drawn to reelect the incumbents for as long as they run and to give the GOP a serious advantage in an open-seat situation.

President Bush got 54% in Sweeney's CD in 2004, with Sweeney getting 66%. In McHugh's CD, President Bush got "only" 51% (which in the Northeast is actually a very good score; the Democrats do not hold any districts in Maine, NH, Vermont, Mass., RI, NY, NJ, CT, Eastern PA, Delaware or Maryland in which President Bush got 50% or more) but McHugh got 71%. If the Democrats throw a lot of money into those races (instead of in other districts), it will likely reduce the total number of House seats they can pick up.

[HostileTerritory]

In CD 26, Tom Reynolds won handily last time.

He had the closest election of any member of Congress from New York and won with 55% of the vote. Which is not a sign of morbidity, but in that district a generic Republican should do better than that.

[oceanview]

it won't look like that this time - she will win alot of those upstate counties, they are hollowed out up there of any republican voters.

[rmlew]

Jack Davis did a good job of getting blue collar Democrats who normally vote Republican.
I happen to respect Davis.