Busby will probably go up to the high 40's, if absentees are more GOP weighted, and they usually are, but Busby put a lot of effort into absentees, so maybe no, In any event, Busby will very probably fall short of 50%. I have no idea of Bilbray or Roach will get the GOP nomination. Normally Bilbray's constituency would do better with absentees, but Raoch had more money, and Bilbray had more independents in his mix, and they don't vote as much absentee. If this holds, a huge amount of money will be spent in the general. The GOP erosion appears alive and well.
There are approximately 360,000 registered voters. We have a way to go.
"The GOP erosion appears alive and well"
Right. Amazing how the self styled experts cannot see the obvious problem of a Republican feild split 14 ways vrs 2 Dems. But that right. This analysis seem far more a case of personal wishful thinking about "GOP Erosion" then reality.