FRANCINE BUSBY 27332 42.23% BRIAN P. BILBRAY 9159 14.15% ERIC ROACH 9011 13.92% HOWARD KALOOGIAN 4824 7.45% BILL MORROW 4700 7.26% ALAN UKE 2709 4.19% RICHARD EARNEST 1729 2.67% BILL HAUF 1116 1.72% CHRIS YOUNG 1061 1.64% WILLIAM GRIFFITH 665 1.03% SCOTT TURNER 555 0.86% VICTOR E. RAMIREZ 519 0.80% PAUL KING 470 0.73% JEFF NEWSOME 391 0.60% SCOTT ORREN 182 0.28% DELECIA HOLT 166 0.26% BILL BOYER 95 0.15% MILTON GALE 31 0.05%
Busby will probably go up to the high 40's, if absentees are more GOP weighted, and they usually are, but Busby put a lot of effort into absentees, so maybe no, In any event, Busby will very probably fall short of 50%. I have no idea of Bilbray or Roach will get the GOP nomination. Normally Bilbray's constituency would do better with absentees, but Raoch had more money, and Bilbray had more independents in his mix, and they don't vote as much absentee. If this holds, a huge amount of money will be spent in the general. The GOP erosion appears alive and well.