It is unlikely in the extreme that even that will be done. And as far as Israel's doing it is concerned, with the election of a Kadima led government, that's out of the picture as well. No, it looks like the threat of "atomic ayatollahs" is going to be countered by "nuclear Riyadh", with the House of Saud being given the technology, by Pakistan, and with our approval.
Will this gambit work? Perhaps it might, but work, or not, it just does *not* give me "a warm and fuzzy feeling"...
The danger of the Iranians getting the bomb is not just a dangerous arms race across the Middle East that ends all stability. The likelihood of the Iranians actually using the bomb is too great to let happen. The chance of them hitting Iraq with it is too real a possibility.