Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: LS
Still, whatever number you use, the fact that everyone seems to forget is that there is a FINITE NUMBER, and it is rapidly decreasing. Further, all previous wars/insurgencies show that with each additional terroist death, it becomes even more difficult to win.

Therein lies our difference of opinion. The number of terrorists/insurgents is not constant or finite. It can increase or decrease depending upon the circumstances. Israel has been fighting terrorists for decades and over generations. Insurgencies are not won by body counts, but by convincing the general populace it is in their interest not to support the insurgents.

Terrorist/insurgent wars can also succeed as was the case in Ireland against the British, which resulted in the formation of the Irish Free State. Chairman Mao was also successful.

64 posted on 03/10/2006 9:30:20 AM PST by kabar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 59 | View Replies ]


To: kabar
Yeah, but in the case of Britain, they won a true "guerilla war" in Malaya; and of the 11 major "insurrections/insurgencies/guerilla wars" of the 20th century, the government won eight. The Israelis are in a special predicament: they have NO indigenous people who support their presence/government, while the Iraqis have a majority.

When I say "finite number," I'm assuming we don't do something stupid and bomb a bunch of civilians who might, otherwise be on our side. Without such an incident, yes, the number is pretty finite.

As for the Brits in Ireland, a better counterfactual would be if a British-supported IRISH government (not northern Ireland) was facing a rebellion, and if it commanded a majority of the Irish population. In that case, England would have won.

65 posted on 03/10/2006 9:35:11 AM PST by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 64 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson