[M. Dodge Thomas]

I can’t see that the social-conservative right has anything to gain by making common cause with any but a small sliver of "Democratic" voters - the “Reagan-Democrats” - and given the current structure of House districting and the current polling on Senate races I can't see Republicans losing the Senate and only a razor-thin chance of their losing the house.

That said, I think an attempt to criminalize the behavior of more than a third of American women, and that on an issue as polarizing as abortion, is probably very bad practical politics; The Republicans party has maxed out its appeal to male voters in national races and must hold or improve its 2004 level of female support to win the Presidency, but polling clearly indicates that as the abortion controversy heats up the Republicans - as a national party - are going to lose women’s votes on this issue, and that the stronger the anti-abortion position the greater the loss.

[The Old Hoosier]

polling clearly indicates that as the abortion controversy heats up the Republicans - as a national party - are going to lose women’s votes on this issue, and that the stronger the anti-abortion position the greater the loss.

Actually, only untested speculation suggests this. While plausible, it has never happened, and we won't know how the abortion issue plays out in a post-Roe world until we get there. I expect that the issue will become huge but have a minimal net impact as a furious race begins to win over state legislatures.

For now, we know that abortion is a winner for pro-lifers in the current atmosphere.