"A huge wave with a little of everything they have from Mig21's (out of the bone yard lightly loaded with guns and ground attack rockets) to the lasted and greatest fighters they have. ECM aircraft, Blinders and BackFires coming in supersonic on the waters deck, surface to surface missile assault and so on.
Call me an idiot if you want, but say why too. You cant absolutely deny such a scenario can you?"
I could definitely see such a scenario. The Chinese have tons of aircraft. They have around 1,000 MiG-21s of various configurations, from the "Vanilla J-7" with only 2 hardpoints to the more capable MiG-21 variants like the regular J-7 and the J-8I/II.
Then they have 150 Su-30 MKK, about 200 Su-27s (plus around 160+ more being built) and maybe 100 J-10s, with more J-10s entering service each year. Apparently, the PLAAF has opted not to acquire the FC-1.
Then there are almost 1,500 MiG-19s (extremely old but in such huge numbers, formidable) and about 470 ancient planes used for training but still combat capable, mostly MiG-17s.
Finally there are 120 obsolete Tu-16 bombers.
That's 3,000 planes. Even if all our Raptors were on Taiwan they'd be outnumbered more than 16-1.
And thats not counting ones possibly destroyed by the Chinese missile strikes on Taiwan before the ChiCom AF arrives.
First you have to think that China wants Taiwan that bad. Maybe they do, but it would be stupid, and China while they are alot of things, is not stupid.
They would lose aircraft and soldiers at close to the rate at which we (and Taiwan, and Japan, and So Korea...etc.) can expend ammunition.
And... they'd lose their entire source of revenue which is their newfound dependence on capitalism to support their country. They can't afford to tick off the rest of the world anymore.
It'll never happen.