No, I don't believe success is "guaranteed". There's a difference between what is probable and what is "guaranteed". And yes, I do believe success is probable (and, a matter of time), as long as we don't decide to give up because of our short-attention-span/instant-gratification tendencies.
Here's a clue: Germany and Japan weren't Islamic.
Thanks for the news flash.
Yes, Iraq is an Islamic culture. That's a difference. I'd even agree, a big difference.
And?
I also agree that there's a large degree of probability in "success." But we just don't know. To say that the Muslim world is volatile is akin to saying that Asia is large.
We don't know what the future holds. There's been a lot of initial progress, but there are some big questions too. As an example, why is Saddam being allowed to control his trial? They've allowed that to be turned into a media circus when IMO we should have been seeing the bottom of his shoes from a gallows by now. Perhaps exagerating a bit, but it's a circus. And just as the outcome of the Palestinian elections, we just don't know what will happen.
Once there's a free country in the muslim world, and this is entirely key, that allows Christians, Jews, and other religious contingents, to live in peace and with all civil and human rights, a concept that runs entirely counter to the Koran, then I'll be a much bigger believer.