Posted on 01/26/2006 4:28:02 AM PST by Mia T
ON REJIGGING GALLUP'S LOSING NUMBERS FOR HILLARY
This is HARDBALL on MSNBC.
(COMMERCIAL BREAK)
[NOTE: My comments in blue.]
MATTHEWS: We're back with Anne Kornblut of "The New York Times" and Dana Milbank of "The Washington Post." Let's talk about Gotham's candidates for president.
First, Rudolph Giuliani, the pro-choice, pro-gay rights, former mayor spent today, or the day in Orlando speaking to a conference of Evangelicals.
Dana, he's up to it, isn't he? This is below the radar. This is Rudy campaigning for president in the south.
MILBANK: This is about as convincing as Jerry Falwell at the gay pride parade.
MATTHEWS: You don't buy this?
MILBANK: Well, he can try to do it. But, look, he faces an awful uphill battle in winning over the typical Republican voter in a primary. Now, if the election was fought on national security, he is fine. But he's never going to convince them that he is one of them, that he is a religious conservative.
KORNBLUT: Right and not only that, but he's going to be in a death struggle with John McCain for the exact same constituency.
MATTHEWS: Let me tell you something. I'll say it here a thousand time. Watch Rudolph Giuliani. Watch him. Security is the issue in this country. Whoever is the next president is going to be seen as more on the ball than even this president on security and terrorism. This country is not going sort on terrorism. We are going to get smarter on it is my hunch.
And Rudy is the guy to do it. And he can be an SOB in many ways. But this country may really want an SOB, a really tough cop as the next president. So watch Rudy, I'm saying it.
Now here is Hillary Clinton, that other New Yorker in the subway series. A new Gallup poll just came out. "USA TODAY" Gallup poll, it shows that 16 percent say that they'll definitely vote for Hillary right now, 32 percent say they might vote for her.
But here's the dagger in the back. Fifty-one percent say they would definitely not vote for Hillary Clinton already the campaign hasn't begun.
KORNBLUT: I mean, this is exactly what Democrats are worried about is that already people have made up their minds. I would argue, I guess, that it is awfully early. We all know how early it is to be talking about this.
MATTHEWS: Definitely.
KORNBLUT: Definitely? What does definitely mean? [Definitely means DEFINITELY.] You know, you would have to see how is the question exactly phrased, all that stuff. It is early. [Actually Anne, it is late. In fact, it is too late. The country knows exactly who this woman is, Anne.]
MATTHEWS: But there's lot of tooth behind that. If somebody tells a pollster, I've already made up my mind definitely.
KORNBLUT: And, look, I know more Democrats who believe this though than Republicans. A lot of Republicans say that this is a deceptive number, that once she gets out there with all of her money running against who, Giuliani or McCain, the numbers may not be that weak. [She has 100% name recognition, Anne. You can't make a silk purse from a sow's ear. Even when the sow isn't hillary.]
MATTHEWS: How much of that is don't throw me in that briar patch, Dana? We're so afraid of Hillary. Please don't run her against us. She'll kill us.
MILBANK: Anne is right that these polls are completely useless because you don't know what the alternative is. But the fact is that she... [Earth to Dana: 51% would vote for their mother-in-law before they would vote for HER.]
MATTHEWS: OK. McCain against Hillary. Who wins?
MILBANK: Well, that's fine. If you can tell me that's how it is going to turn out. But we don't know.
MATTHEWS: Well, let me ask you about these definite numbers in a poll. Do you believe the definite? Do you believe somebody right in 2006 knows how they are going to vote in 2008?
MILBANK: I think they definitely think that's what they are going to do right now, but they have no idea what they are going to be doing in a couple years. And Hillary is going to have the opposite problem of Rudy. And that is she's absolutely fine with her base if she decides to run. But she is seemingly incapable of crossing over.
MATTHEWS: The poll was taken over the week right through Sunday, the Gallup poll. And the Gallup poll is, of course, the most prestigious poll there is right now and has been for years.
Dana, do you think she's paying the price for her plantation remark last week?
MILBANK: Probably not. Because, once again, plays very well the base. The people who were objecting to it were never going to support her in the first case. And I really think the only thing that this is right now is do people recognize her name. [What is it you don't understand, here? We recognize her name, yes. And we abhor the person attached to that name. Get it?]
KORNBLUT: And I would add to that. It's 51 percent say definitely not. Remember the margin that's we've been talking about in the last few presidential races, 51 percent is terrible, but all she would have to do is bump it by a few numbers, a few percentage points and be OK. [I can see why Pinch hired you. Your Alice-in-Wonderland illogic is quintessential New York Times. With 100% name recognition and roughly 10% corruption recognition (thanks in no small measure to your rag), missus clinton has only one way to go. And it isn't up.]
... Anyway, thank you Anne Kornblut of "The New York Times," Dana Milbank of "The Washington Post."
Join us again tomorrow night at 5:00 and 7:00 Eastern for more HARDBALL. Right now it is time for "THE ABRAM'S REPORT" with Dan.
THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.
Copy: Content and programming copyright 2006 MSNBC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
HARDBALL WITH CHRIS MATTHEWS |
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SEE VIDEO: "HILLARY IS 'DOOMED'" (more 'plantation' fallout)
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COPYRIGHT MIA T 2006
ping
That is exactly correct! Hillary still has appeal to a few soccer moms and other victims of flawed awareness but she has absolutely zero charisma at attracting new followers.
Hillary, setting off on the red state campaign trail, with her sodomist husband chained to one ankle and treason, abortion, gun control and "plantation politics" chained to the other. Priceless/hopeless.
I know, Bill "Bubba" Klintoon, the Ultimate Humiliation/Insult to Hillary "Rodham Rodham Rodham" Klintoon.....He really wants to humiliate her, No joke. :^/
(viewing movie requires Flash Player 7, available HERE) |
You think there's hatred for Pres. Bush, wait until 'Theonewho'snameshallnotbeuttered' becomes Pres. Although, NO WAY it's going to happen!
"MILBANK: Probably not. Because, once again, plays very well the base. The people who were objecting to it were never going to support her in the first case. And I really think the only thing that this is right now is do people recognize her name. [What is it you don't understand, here? We recognize her name, yes. And we abhor the person attached to that name. Get it?]"
So 51% are not going to support her in the first place. Are the RATS going to try and win in another 43% Presidential election? That would mean a third party.
Also, they say the gallup poll is useless. I guess it is only useful when Bush is pummeled in one.
If the dems had half a brain they'd pick Joe Lieberman for a candidate. Ya know he is a nice man. He openly supports the troops and I think the only one who supported Alito. He is from the old Democratic Party.
Then again I did say half a brain and we know that they don't. The lunnie left fringe sees Lieberman as a threat to their screwy agenda.
The lunnie left is disintegrating our republic. Over my dead body !
Looking for the video clip of this exchange. If anyone has it, kindly post link (or if not online, send me the file). Thx.
Her politics aside - and I know that's a big stretch - as Rush noted, she is NOT a likable person.
No one wants to hear that fish wife screeching on the news every night.
Evil as her spouse is - and the devil will not appear as the monster he is but will come across as personable, charming etc. - his personna was attractive.
ping
ping
They can attempt to rationalize it but everyone knows who Hillary is. That's as real a number as they could get given her solid recognition.
They asked a similiar question and got 46%? definitely against Condi. About the same as those who always vote Dem. Sizeable, but remaining the minority. America doesn't know Condi very well, but the percentages speak volumes.
G.W.B. got 51% of the vote. Democrats got around 48% BUT with Fraud so I'm going to say 46% is probably very accurate of how many they really have in their camp absent illegals voting, prisons, voting, morgues voting.... The most they've gotten since Carter , who benefited from Watergate, 'Nam and Ford, was 49% with Bill.
Sure, Hillary will get more than 16% to vote for her. But these numbers seem to indicate she's not going to do better then any Democrat would. The only way she wins, then, is to split a three way race like with Perot. And that only happens if the GOP chooses a lousy candidate the base won't support.
She does not have the ability to convert "red state" voters. Any reasonably good candidate from the GOP can beat her. Scare mongers that are attempting to scare base GOP voters into voting for their guy, McCain, are doing so deceptively. The premise is a lie that only McCain or Rudy could beat Hillary, if Hillary is even their nominee. Infact, I'd go so far as to say McCain would ensure a Hillary win. She still wouldn't crack 50% of the vote, but the Rep turnout would be lower as people protest Mccain. I guarentee he won't get my vote. It's a MSM sponsered myth that a conservative, even one minus star power, cannot win.
bump
Make no mistake..
Dividing the Right is the clintons' only move.
Will we fall for it yet another time?
I don't think so....
FOOL ME ONCE, SHAME ON YOU! FOOL ME TWICE, SHAME ON ME!
LEHRER: President Bush, your closing statement, sir. PRESIDENT BUSH: Three weeks from now--two weeks from tomorrow, America goes to the polls and you're going to have to decide who you want to lead this country ... On foreign affairs, some think it's irrelevant. I believe it's not. We're living in an interconnected world...And if a crisis comes up, ask who has the judgment and the experience and, yes, the character to make the right decision? And, lastly, the other night on character Governor Clinton said it's not the character of the president but the character of the presidency. I couldn't disagree more. Horace Greeley said the only thing that endures is character. And I think it was Justice Black who talked about great nations, like great men, must keep their word. And so the question is, who will safeguard this nation, who will safeguard our people and our children? I need your support, I ask for your support. And may God bless the United States of America. (Applause) audio
*Thanx to Cloud William for text and audio
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Thanks..I fail to see the allure there either.
He's the Ds version of Mitt Romney minus the movie-star good looks.
They don't, which is why they will pick Lieberman's running mate instead in '08.
SCHEMA PINOCCHIO
how the clintons are handling the hillary dud factor
REINVENTING HILLARY... AGAIN
(clinton machine dumps Geena Davis for Margaret Thatcher)
how the clintons are handling the hillary dud factor2
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