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A Good Democratic Year is Building - Stu Rothenberg
1-25-06
| Stu Rothenberg
Posted on 01/25/2006 6:50:33 PM PST by UCAL
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To: Brilliant
These libs live in another dimension.
A dimension where losers go to throw parades.
21
posted on
01/25/2006 7:04:15 PM PST
by
new yorker 77
(FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
To: UCAL
WE all know how scandals hurt election chances.
For example the teapot dome scandal in the Harding administration. Harding was a republican who sold very valuable government owned oil fields to supporters for peanuts. His secretary of the Interior, Albert Fall took the blame and went to prison. The press referred to the secretary of the interior as Harding's Fall guy.
Did it hurt Reupbicans? Harding's Vice president was elected in 1924 with 70 percent of the vote. The republicans won huge majorities in the House and Senate. As far as election returns were conserned the Teapot Dome scandal was a tempest in a teapot.
Think that was a long time ago? Look how Iran Contra hurt Reagan and the Repubilcans? You say it didn't. I guess it hurt Republicans about as much as Whitewater and Monica hurt Clinton and the Democrats.
There is no historical president that election outcomes are determined by scandals. Yes Carter beat Ford after Watergate and Bush beat Gore after Monica. But the scandals were not the reason.
The odds of Democrats doing better in the house are quite slim. Democrats demanding that terrorists be free to talk to other terrorists embeded in the USA is the biggest loser I can imagine.
If the Democrats were where they were in the 80s they could bork Alito.
To: GatorGirl
I say, let them believe it.
That will make post midterm election november all the more fun...
23
posted on
01/25/2006 7:06:08 PM PST
by
Palpatine
(Every single liberal is now an enemy of the republic!)
To: UCAL
24
posted on
01/25/2006 7:06:17 PM PST
by
Txsleuth
To: UCAL
The electoral mood????????????
IOW, his mood ring tells him........
25
posted on
01/25/2006 7:06:24 PM PST
by
OldFriend
(The Dems enABLEd DANGER and 3,000 Americans died.)
To: UCAL
Delusional. The national influence at local elections will be minimal, and despite that, the majority of voters understand what the republicans and President Bush have been trying to do and also believe that the Democrats have been wrong and obstructionist. The signs are all over the place, such as real, non-rigged polling, decline of MSM readership/viewership. I for one predict a republican GAIN in both houses of Congress.
26
posted on
01/25/2006 7:06:38 PM PST
by
Mad_Tom_Rackham
(A Liberal: One who demands half of your pie because he didn't bake one.)
To: GatorGirl
I don't have any idea. The Republicans haven't done themselves proud, but Democrats keep getting crazier and crazier. I can't see the Rats picking up support, but I can see the Pubbies losing it.
27
posted on
01/25/2006 7:08:57 PM PST
by
Richard Kimball
(Look, Daddy! Teacher says every time a Kennedy talks, a Republican gets a house seat!)
To: UCAL
Obviously I hope he is wrong, sure depends on whose column we read though, actually nobody knows with certainty.Reminds me though of the 1998 election, all the talking heads and everyone else were saying the republicans were a shoe in for gaining even more seats, well they did a good job, because alot of non-thinking republicans stayed home, figuring we were in, their one vote won't make a difference, so we lost seats that year, we must vote regardless of what is said and by whom, just vote.
28
posted on
01/25/2006 7:09:30 PM PST
by
Burlem
To: carlr
Or in other words wishful thinking+WAG based on mumbo jumbo=dem victory. You forgot VooDoo.
29
posted on
01/25/2006 7:09:43 PM PST
by
Mad_Tom_Rackham
(A Liberal: One who demands half of your pie because he didn't bake one.)
To: Palpatine
Yeah, I love the smell of liberal shock and horror the morning after an election. We've been lucky to enjoy it for the past ten years or so!
30
posted on
01/25/2006 7:12:02 PM PST
by
GatorGirl
(Happy New Year!!)
To: Common Tator
Harding was a republican who sold very valuable government owned oil fields to supporters for peanuts. I guess 1990's Democrat Vice Presidents get a pass on that.
31
posted on
01/25/2006 7:12:38 PM PST
by
Mad_Tom_Rackham
(A Liberal: One who demands half of your pie because he didn't bake one.)
To: UCAL
The election is nine months away, we won't have a good read on the key issues until then. My $.02 is that the Republicans need to run on these issues:
Foreign:
War on Terrorism, the Democrats can not even manage to appear tough here.
Nation-building, Republican and hence US control and initiatives have Afghanistan and Iraq much closer to countries with governments than the UN in Kosovo and Bosnia.
Globalism, They need to talk this up, though the US may suffer a bit in the short run. With everyone tied at the hip it becomes a bit more difficult for any one madman to aggress another country. It may even be a new version of peace through strength.
Domestic:
Immigration, Another issue the democrats can't appear strong on (not that republicans) Come up with some real answers to this problem, and a plan to implement them.
Education, Specifically we need to produce more math and engineering majors. The Republican's could talk this up and get traction with ideas on how to get collegians to take an interest here. We need to stop catering to the worst students and seek a way to encourage excellence.
Economy, Just plain fight back here the truth is on the Republicans side.
Abortion, We've turned a corner. Point out that it is a moral abomination. Tie it to Social Security deficits. Tie it to illegal immigration. Tie it around the democrats necks. It will sink them as an issue.
Space, Look at mutually dissolving the treaty with Britain to allow private property in space and look at ways to reduce restrictions and create incentives on companies interested in space utilization and exploration.
Spending, Republicans must stress an innovative government rather than a large government. They need to take steps to end the runaway government. Problem here is they are at fault lately.
If the Republicans lead with ideas they may even pick up a few seats. A message with new ideas can beat the democrats who only have vicious attacks.
32
posted on
01/25/2006 7:17:10 PM PST
by
Hawk1976
(Ideas got Republicans into office, new ideas will help keep them there.)
To: UCAL
The pundits said the same thing in '02. The fact is, the Dems probably WILL gain seats this fall. Then again, they may very well not. Who knows? Nine months is an eternity in politics.
33
posted on
01/25/2006 7:36:50 PM PST
by
Gunder
To: Hawk1976
You forgot the most important domestic issue, the one that can really hurt the GOP (because they're "in control")
GAS PRICES
34
posted on
01/25/2006 7:50:14 PM PST
by
motzman
(God helps those who help themselves - B. Franklin)
To: UCAL
Rothenberg is correct in my opinion, as I have posted previously with my own numbers. I currently have the GOP losses in the House at about minus 10. But the season is early, and events matter a lot on this one. But the GOP is poorly positioned, unless events move their way, on Iraq, and on scandals, and on the time for a change itch in the sixth year of a presidential term. Stu has a 2-4 loss in the Senate presently. I think it is more on the order of 1-3, because of NJ. I certainly hope Burns of Montana does not run, because I mark him up as a loser. Florida is now basically near hopeless.
35
posted on
01/25/2006 7:54:27 PM PST
by
Torie
To: AntiGuv
36
posted on
01/25/2006 7:54:48 PM PST
by
Torie
To: motzman
Very true, but if the federal government came off the oil tax teat for a while that would alleviate prices.
Plus this can be turned full bore on the democrats, they didn't want ANWAR drilling or Colorado drilling or offshore drilling in places like California and Florida.
Plenty of tools out there just got to use them the right way.
37
posted on
01/25/2006 8:00:54 PM PST
by
Hawk1976
(Ideas got Republicans into office, new ideas will help keep them there.)
To: UCAL
38
posted on
01/25/2006 8:05:00 PM PST
by
jveritas
(Hate can never win elections.)
To: UCAL
I've seen this jughead Rothenberg a couple times on TV. He isn't very intelligent.
39
posted on
01/25/2006 8:05:45 PM PST
by
FlingWingFlyer
(We did not lose in Vietnam. We left.)
To: Common Tator
And during the Clinton years guess who got to take over the Elk Hills Reserve in California ?
Algore's family's patron, Occidental Petroleum.
Surprise !
40
posted on
01/25/2006 8:40:20 PM PST
by
1066AD
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