I don't think there is any question that Alito has more than a majority. The interesting question is how many DEMs will cross over, and if they do, how they will time the move, and how they will couch the rationale.
If the "Aye" column reaches 60, there will not be a cloture vote. If the "Aye" column is between 50 and 60, the DEMs are in a pickle. ;-)
I've been working all day and just came in to check on this. What are they voting on at this moment?
Yep! The Rats are in a jam! I thank the Good Lord above every five minutes or so that Harriet Miers withdrew!