"
An unashamedly Right-wing politician is poised to shatter decades of middle-ground consensus in Canada's general election today. "
Liberals == middle ground consensus?
Canada |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Dates |
MOE (+/-) |
Final SES/CPAC | 36.4% | 30.1% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 5.6% | Jan 20-22 |
3.1% |
Final Ipsos Reid/Global |
38% | 27% | 19% | 12% | 4% (Other) |
Jan 18-22(?) |
(?) |
Latest Ekos | 37.1% | 26.9% | 19.5% | 11.5% | 4.6% | Jan 18-20 |
2.0% |
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV |
37% | 27% | 19% | 11% | 6% | Jan 19, 21-22 |
2.0% |
Latest Leger | 38% | 29% | 17% | 11% | - | Jan 12-17 |
2.1% |
Latest Decima | 37% | 27% | 18% | 11% | - | Jan 12-15 |
3.1% |
University of B.C. Elections Market | 38.8% |
28.8% |
17.9% |
11.5% |
6.4% (Other) |
Jan 22 10:50PM EST |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual 2004 | 29.6% | 36.7% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 4.3% | June 28 |
- |
Final SES 2004 | 30% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 4% | June 20-24 |
< 4.1% |
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 | 31% | 32% | 17% | 12% | 6% | Released June 25 |
UNK |
Final Ekos 2004 | 31.8% | 32.6% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
June 21-24 |
1.4% |
Canada - Seat Projections |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Other |
Too Close |
Date/Time |
Final Ipsos Reid/Global |
150 |
64 |
36 |
58 |
0 |
- |
Jan 22 |
University of B.C. Elections Market |
129 |
92 |
31 |
55 |
1 |
- |
Jan 22 11PM EST |
Final democraticSPACE |
128 |
94 |
29 |
56 |
1 |
- |
Jan 22 |
Election Prediction Project |
118 |
99 |
28 |
58 |
1 |
4 |
Jan 22 4:21PM EST |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At Dissolution |
98 |
133 |
18 |
53 |
4 |
- |
December 2005 |
Actual 2004 | 99 |
135 |
19 |
54 |
1 |
- |
June 28 |
Election Prediction Project 2004 |
105 |
121 |
29 |
52 |
1 |
- |
June 24 12 Noon |
Ontario |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Dates |
MOE (+/-) |
Final SES/CPAC | 36% | 38% | 20% | - | 6% | Jan 20-22 |
5.1% |
Latest Ipsos Reid/ Global |
38% | 34% | 21% | - |
5% | Jan 17-19 | 3.5% |
Latest Ekos | 35.8% | 33.4% | 24.3% | - |
6.3% | Jan 18-20 | 3.2% |
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV | 37% | 36% | 22% | - |
6% | Jan 19, 21-22 | 3.2% |
Latest Leger | 39% | 37% | 19% | - | - | Jan 12-17 | UNK |
Latest Decima | 36% | 39% | 18% | - | - | Jan 12-15 | UNK |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual 2004 | 31.5% | 44.7% | 18.1% | 0.0% | 4.4% | June 28 |
- |
Final SES 2004 | 32% | 39% | 25% | 1% | 4% | June 20-24 |
5.0% |
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 | 34% | 38% | 20% | - | 6% | Released June 25 |
UNK |
Final Ekos 2004 | 35% | 38% | 21% | - |
5% |
June 21-24 |
UNK |
Quebec |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Dates |
MOE (+/-) |
Final SES/CPAC | 27% | 19% | 8% | 42% | 3% | Jan 20-22 |
6.2% |
Latest Ipsos Reid/Global |
27% | 14% | 9% | 46% | 3% |
Jan 17-19 | 4.5% |
Latest Ekos | 24.5% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 50.2% | 3.4% |
Jan 18-20 | 3.9% |
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV | 25% | 14% | 7% | 48% | 6% | Jan 19, 21-22 | 4.0% |
Latest Leger | 26% | 20% | 8% | 42% | - | Jan 12-17 | UNK |
Latest Decima | 25% | 14% | 11% | 45% | - | Jan 12-15 | UNK |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual 2004 | 8.8% | 33.9% | 4.6% | 48.9% | 3.2% | June 28 |
- |
Final SES 2004 | 11% | 28% | 7% | 51% | 3% | June 20-24 |
5.9% |
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 | 9% | 33% | 5% | 48% | 5% |
Released June 25 |
UNK |
Final Ekos 2004 | 11% | 28% | 7% | 51% | 3% |
June 21-24 |
UNK |
Final Leger 2004 |
11% |
33% |
4% |
48% |
- |
Released June 27 |
UNK |
Atlantic Canada |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Dates |
MOE (+/-) |
Final SES/CPAC | 29% | 44% | 22% | - | 5% | Jan 20-22 |
11.0% |
Latest Ipsos Reid/Global |
39% | 37% | 22% | - |
2% | Jan 17-19 | 8.0% |
Latest Ekos |
35.0% | 39.9% | 24.5% | - |
0.6% | Jan 16-19 |
6.6% |
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV | 36% |
34% |
24% |
- |
5% |
Jan 17-22 |
6.0% |
Latest Leger |
38% |
38% |
22% |
- |
2% |
Jan 12-17 |
UNK |
Omnifacts Bristol/HCH |
37% |
45% |
16% |
- |
2% (Other) |
Jan 10-12 |
2.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual 2004 | 30.0% | 43.8% | 22.6% | 0.0% | 3.0% | June 28 |
- |
Final SES 2004 | 24% | 45% | 25% | 2% | 4% | June 20-24 | 8.6% |
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 | 23% | 44% | 26% | - | 7% | Released June 25 | UNK |
Final Ekos 2004 | 33% | 39% | 28% | - |
0% |
June 21-24 | UNK |
Prairies |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Dates |
MOE (+/-) |
Final SES/CPAC |
47% |
25% |
23% |
- |
5% |
Jan 18-22 |
8.5% |
Latest Ipsos Reid/Global |
47% | 26% | 23% | - |
2% | Jan 17-19 | 8.5% |
Latest Ekos |
44.0% | 27.8% | 24.0% | - |
3.8% | Jan 16-19 |
6.6% |
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV | 47% |
21% |
25% |
- |
7% |
Jan 17-22 |
6.5% |
Latest Leger | 42% |
30% |
21% |
- |
5% |
Jan 12-17 |
UNK |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual 2004 | 40.4% |
30.3% |
23.4% |
0% |
2.7% |
June 28 |
- |
Final SES 2004 | 39% | 34% | 24% | 1% | 2% | June 20-24 | 8.5% |
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 | 36% | 32% | 25% | - | 5% | Released June 25 | UNK |
Final Ekos 2004 | 37% | 29% | 30% | - |
5% |
June 21-24 | UNK |
Alberta |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Dates |
MOE (+/-) |
Final SES/CPAC | 55% |
18% |
19% |
- |
7% |
Jan 18-22 |
7.5% |
Last Ipsos Reid/Global |
64% | 13% | 8% | - |
12% | Jan 17-19 | 7.1% |
Latest Ekos |
64.5% | 14.3% | 14.0% | - |
6.8% | Jan 16-19 |
5.8% |
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV | 69% |
15% |
8% |
- |
8% |
Jan 17-22 |
6.0% |
Latest Leger | 61% |
19% |
12% |
- |
6% |
Jan 12-17 |
UNK |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual 2004 | 61.7% |
22.0% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 6.1% | June 28 |
- |
Final SES 2004 | 62% | 23% | 13% | - |
2% | June 20-24 |
8.3% |
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 | 59% | 20% | 11% | - | 6% | Released June 25 |
UNK |
Final Ekos 2004 | 58% | 23% | 12% | - |
7% |
June 21-24 |
UNK |
B.C. |
Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Bloc Quebecois | Green | Dates |
MOE (+/-) |
Latest SES/CPAC |
34% |
36% |
23% |
- |
7% |
Jan 18-22 |
6.3% |
Lateat Ipsos Reid/Global |
35% | 27% | 29% | - |
7% | Jan 17-19 | 5.9% |
Latest Ekos |
36.0% | 30.1% | 28.9% | - |
4.9% | Jan 16-19 |
4.9% |
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV | 32% |
31% |
32% |
- |
6% |
Jan 19, 21-22 |
5.4% |
Latest Leger | 40% |
26% |
26% |
- |
7% |
Jan 12-17 |
UNK |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual 2004 | 36.3% |
28.6% | 26.6% | 0.0% | 6.3% | June 28 |
- |
Final SES 2004 | 38% | 28% | 28% | - |
6% | June 20-24 |
7.2% |
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 | 44% | 24% | 22% | - | 8% | Released June 25 |
UNK |
Final Ekos 2004 | 34% | 30% | 27% | - |
7% |
June 21-24 |
UNK |
It's worth noting that there is nothing "right-wing" about Canada's Tories. Anyone who expects major changes in Canada after this election is going to be sorely disappointed.
Whereever liberals stand is for them the middle, that is the CENTER of the universe.
Was that a typo - should it have read "muddle ground consensus"?