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To: FairOpinion

"
An unashamedly Right-wing politician is poised to shatter decades of middle-ground consensus in Canada's general election today. "

Liberals == middle ground consensus?


2 posted on 01/22/2006 8:04:33 PM PST by bahblahbah
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To: fanfan
Latest Canadian poll roundup. I still don't have new Ipsos Reid regional data:

Canada
Conservative Liberal NDP Bloc Quebecois Green Dates
MOE (+/-)
Final SES/CPAC 36.4% 30.1% 17.4% 10.6% 5.6% Jan 20-22
3.1%
Final  Ipsos Reid/Global
38% 27% 19% 12% 4% (Other)
Jan 18-22(?)
(?)
Latest Ekos 37.1% 26.9% 19.5% 11.5% 4.6% Jan 18-20
2.0%
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV
37% 27% 19% 11% 6% Jan 19, 21-22
2.0%
Latest Leger 38% 29% 17% 11% - Jan 12-17
2.1%
Latest Decima 37% 27% 18% 11% - Jan 12-15
3.1%
University of B.C. Elections Market 38.8%
28.8%
17.9%
11.5%
6.4% (Other)
Jan 22 10:50PM  EST
-








Actual 2004 29.6% 36.7% 15.7% 12.4% 4.3% June 28
-
Final SES 2004 30% 34% 20% 12% 4% June 20-24
< 4.1%
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 31% 32% 17% 12% 6% Released June 25
UNK
Final Ekos 2004 31.8% 32.6% 19.0% 11.2% 4.9%
June 21-24
1.4%

Canada - Seat Projections
Conservative Liberal NDP Bloc Quebecois Other
Too Close
Date/Time
Final Ipsos Reid/Global
150
64
36
58
0
-
Jan 22
University of B.C. Elections Market
129
92
31
55
1
-
Jan 22 11PM EST
Final democraticSPACE
128
94
29
56
1
-
Jan 22
Election Prediction Project
118
99
28
58
1
4
Jan 22 4:21PM EST








At Dissolution
98
133
18
53
4
-
December 2005
Actual 2004 99
135
19
54
1
-
June 28
Election Prediction Project 2004
105
121
29
52
1
-
June 24 12 Noon

Ontario
Conservative Liberal NDP Bloc Quebecois Green Dates
MOE (+/-)
Final SES/CPAC 36% 38% 20% - 6% Jan 20-22
5.1%
Latest Ipsos Reid/ Global
38% 34% 21% -
5% Jan 17-19 3.5%
Latest Ekos 35.8% 33.4% 24.3% -
6.3% Jan 18-20 3.2%
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV 37% 36% 22% -
6% Jan 19, 21-22 3.2%
Latest Leger 39% 37% 19% - - Jan 12-17 UNK
Latest Decima 36% 39% 18% - - Jan 12-15 UNK








Actual 2004 31.5% 44.7% 18.1% 0.0% 4.4% June 28
-
Final SES 2004 32% 39% 25% 1% 4% June 20-24
5.0%
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 34% 38% 20% - 6% Released June 25
UNK
Final Ekos 2004 35% 38% 21% -
5%
June 21-24
UNK

Quebec
Conservative Liberal NDP Bloc Quebecois Green Dates
MOE (+/-)
Final SES/CPAC 27% 19% 8% 42% 3% Jan 20-22
6.2%
Latest Ipsos Reid/Global
27% 14% 9% 46% 3%
Jan 17-19 4.5%
Latest Ekos 24.5% 12.7% 7.9% 50.2% 3.4%
Jan 18-20 3.9%
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV 25% 14% 7% 48% 6% Jan 19, 21-22 4.0%
Latest Leger 26% 20% 8% 42% - Jan 12-17 UNK
Latest Decima 25% 14% 11% 45% - Jan 12-15 UNK








Actual 2004 8.8% 33.9% 4.6% 48.9% 3.2% June 28
-
Final SES 2004 11% 28% 7% 51% 3% June 20-24
5.9%
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 9% 33% 5% 48% 5%
Released June 25
UNK
Final Ekos 2004 11% 28% 7% 51% 3%
June 21-24
UNK
Final Leger 2004
11%
33%
4%
48%
-
Released June 27
UNK

Atlantic Canada
Conservative Liberal NDP Bloc Quebecois Green Dates
MOE (+/-)
Final SES/CPAC 29% 44% 22% - 5% Jan 20-22
11.0%
Latest Ipsos Reid/Global
39% 37% 22% -
2% Jan 17-19 8.0%
Latest Ekos
35.0% 39.9% 24.5% -
0.6% Jan 16-19
6.6%
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV 36%
34%
24%
-
5%
Jan 17-22
6.0%
Latest Leger
38%
38%
22%
-
2%
Jan 12-17
UNK
Omnifacts Bristol/HCH
37%
45%
16%
-
2% (Other)
Jan 10-12
2.5%








Actual 2004 30.0% 43.8% 22.6% 0.0% 3.0% June 28
-
Final SES 2004 24% 45% 25% 2% 4% June 20-24 8.6%
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 23% 44% 26% - 7% Released June 25 UNK
Final Ekos 2004 33% 39% 28% -
0%
June 21-24 UNK

Prairies
Conservative Liberal NDP Bloc Quebecois Green Dates
MOE (+/-)
Final SES/CPAC
47%
25%
23%
-
5%
Jan 18-22
8.5%
Latest Ipsos Reid/Global
47% 26% 23% -
2% Jan 17-19 8.5%
Latest Ekos
44.0% 27.8% 24.0% -
3.8% Jan 16-19
6.6%
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV 47%
21%
25%
-
7%
Jan 17-22
6.5%
Latest Leger 42%
30%
21%
-
5%
Jan 12-17
UNK








Actual 2004 40.4%
30.3%
23.4%
0%
2.7%
June 28
-
Final SES 2004 39% 34% 24% 1% 2% June 20-24 8.5%
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 36% 32% 25% - 5% Released June 25 UNK
Final Ekos 2004 37% 29% 30% -
5%
June 21-24 UNK

Alberta
Conservative Liberal NDP Bloc Quebecois Green Dates
MOE (+/-)
Final SES/CPAC 55%
18%
19%
-
7%
Jan 18-22
7.5%
Last Ipsos Reid/Global
64% 13% 8% -
12% Jan 17-19 7.1%
Latest Ekos
64.5% 14.3% 14.0% -
6.8% Jan 16-19
5.8%
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV 69%
15%
8%
-
8%
Jan 17-22
6.0%
Latest Leger 61%
19%
12%
-
6%
Jan 12-17
UNK








Actual 2004 61.7%
22.0% 9.5% 0.0% 6.1% June 28
-
Final SES 2004 62% 23% 13% -
2% June 20-24
8.3%
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 59% 20% 11% - 6% Released June 25
UNK
Final Ekos 2004 58% 23% 12% -
7%
June 21-24
UNK

B.C.
Conservative Liberal NDP Bloc Quebecois Green Dates
MOE (+/-)
Latest SES/CPAC
34%
36%
23%
-
7%
Jan 18-22
6.3%
Lateat Ipsos Reid/Global
35% 27% 29% -
7% Jan 17-19 5.9%
Latest Ekos
36.0% 30.1% 28.9% -
4.9% Jan 16-19
4.9%
Final Strategic Counsel/CTV 32%
31%
32%
-
6%
Jan 19, 21-22
5.4%
Latest Leger 40%
26%
26%
-
7%
Jan 12-17
UNK








Actual 2004 36.3%
28.6% 26.6% 0.0% 6.3% June 28
-
Final SES 2004 38% 28% 28% -
6% June 20-24
7.2%
Final Ipsos Reid 2004 44% 24% 22% - 8% Released June 25
UNK
Final Ekos 2004 34% 30% 27% -
7%
June 21-24
UNK

5 posted on 01/22/2006 8:07:50 PM PST by conservative in nyc
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To: bahblahbah
An unashamedly Right-wing politician is poised to shatter decades of middle-ground consensus in Canada's general election today.

It's worth noting that there is nothing "right-wing" about Canada's Tories. Anyone who expects major changes in Canada after this election is going to be sorely disappointed.

30 posted on 01/22/2006 8:30:52 PM PST by Alberta's Child (Leave a message with the rain; you can find me where the wind blows.)
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To: bahblahbah

Whereever liberals stand is for them the middle, that is the CENTER of the universe.


59 posted on 01/22/2006 9:31:14 PM PST by RobbyS ( CHIRHO)
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To: bahblahbah

Was that a typo - should it have read "muddle ground consensus"?


61 posted on 01/22/2006 10:11:19 PM PST by Information Friendly (A person who stands for nothing will fall for anything!)
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