Posted on 01/22/2006 12:46:59 AM PST by conservative in nyc
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Recent Poll Results |
||||||
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CPC |
36.2% |
37% |
37.1% |
38% |
38% |
37% |
|
LIB |
29.4% |
27% |
26.9% |
26% |
29% |
27% |
|
NDP |
17.3% |
18% |
19.5% |
19% |
17% |
18% |
|
BQ |
11.0% |
11% |
11.5% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
|
GRN |
6.1% |
6% |
4.6% |
5% |
- |
- |
|
Other |
- |
- |
0.5% |
- |
- |
- |
|
MOE/Dates |
+/-3.1% |
+/- 2.2% |
+/- 2.0% |
+/- 2.2% |
+/- 2.1% |
+/- 3.1% |
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Dates |
1/18-20 |
1/18-19, 21 |
1/18-20 |
1/17-19 |
1/12-17 |
1/12-15 |
Ping!
(Denny Crane: "I Don't Want To Socialize With A Pinko Liberal Democrat Commie. Say What You Like About Republicans. We Stick To Our Convictions. Even When We Know We're Dead Wrong.")
The media was all over the conservatives today.
The media is throwing itself into the story. A reporter was screaming she was assaulted by the big bad tories in quebec and the media is speculating how much it will hurt them.
The media is also making a big deal that harper wanted to focus on the campaign and didn't want anymore press conferences.
The media is throwing everything at harper to keep Paul Martin in power.
Polls were off 6-7 points last time and the media is going all out after harper.
The conservatives will be under 120 seats. The election will be decided in 905 in ontario and how many bloc voters vote conservative in ontario.
Looking at the races I have the liberals getting at least 103 seats. If the liberals can tip over 12 more close seats they put Paul Martin back in a minority govt.
Harper needs 115 seats to win. Right now it looks about
119 conservative 34 percent
103 liberal 31 percent
58 bloc
28 ndp
Harper needs to stop the bleeding from yesterday
A majority is totally out of the question.
It takes 155 seats to get a majority.
Looking at every race it would take a miracle for the conservatives to get over 125 seats.
125 seats is there highwater mark. There low water mark is about 105 seats. The conservatives need to stop the bleeding in ontario.
These national polls are meaningless. In canada they always seem to skew right.
Also Martin could lose the popular vote and still get more seats.
If you look at the races there is not too much separating the two parties. The liberals will lose over a dozen seats in quebec and slip some in ontario. The key is how much they slip. As it looks right now it looks like they are surging in ontario. They won't get the 75 seats they got last time. But they will also crush the tories in the seat brakedown in ontario.
Very close election with a slight tory minority govt
Are you up in quebec.
I heard the media up there made a huge deal that some conservative security guy grabbed a female french reporter.
The worst people in politics are the ones that always find a way to do something stupid right before an election. Real smart to make a scene in front of the cameras.
That's hard to do when the media is so downright biased.
The front page of every newspaper is full of negative atricles. Harper needs to stay the course. People can see through the liberal media B.S. It's the exact same crap they did in 2004. Quebec is better than the media is reporting, and some poles show Harper in the 40% range.
With a shift towards the NDP for some die-hard liberal voters, That may just split the vote enough to give Harper a seat as well. So while a poll may say the seat is going NDP or Liberal, it may actually go to the Harper's PC's.
Last election Harper would have won many more seats if the NDP would have siphoned off a few more liberal votes.
A hard rain is coming!
Just saw the headline on CBC that the Bloc is running last minute ads saying don't let calgary control.
It seems like they want martin back in power to further their separatist goals.
How will this play up there. Are the voters that loyal to the Bloc party?
Harper needs to make some inroads in quebec to offset the Martin machine in ontario.
Hard Rain?
"Are you up in quebec?"
No I'm from the part of Canada closest to Japan.
I'd advise everyone watching this election to ignore the polls. From here on in it's a crapshoot.
I am a dual citizen, but I live in ND. I don't think that it will go over very well in Quebec If the Bloc is saying vote Liberal!! That will drive the federalists nuts and show them that the Bloc and Liberals really are in bed, Plus it will anger the West coast even more to have it confirmed that they are being screwed over by a liberal/bloc scam. That just may swing a few more seats over to the PC in the west, and maybe in the eastern most provences as well.
That's dirty business.
Can someone post a link to free domain,freerepulic's sister site?
Thanks
I've heard a few stories oon the radio about schools using real ballots for mock voting in school classes. I wonder if they were discarded after? Or saved to stuff a box by a lefty!!
School gymasiums are used for poling stations in Canada, it wouldn't be hard to do. It would be easy to stuff a ballot box there, they are a little to relaxed about those things.
Canadians might also hate those in Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, and New Brunswick if Washington had sent aid in 1775. Better that we didn't get the 14th colony. That would have really f***ed up our flag, 50 stars fit nicely.
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