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Bin Laden Threat Points to Imminent Attack, Analyst Says
CNSNews ^ | 1-20-06 | Sherrie Gossett

Posted on 01/20/2006 8:23:03 AM PST by warpcorebreach

An audio statement by Osama bin Laden broadcast on al-Jazeera television Thursday appears to be related to recent threats made by an al Qaeda front in Europe and points to an imminent attack, according to a Washington-based analyst.

Christopher L. Brown of the Hudson Institute earlier this month analyzed the Jan. 6 videotaped message of Ayman al-Zawahiri, bin Laden's chief deputy. The tape, Brown said, and other al Qaeda communications indicated a high probability that al Qaeda would launch a major terrorist attack in the next 30 days and that the United States was the likeliest target.

Cybercast News Service reported on Brown's analysis in an exclusive report published on Jan. 11. Brown, a researcher

(Excerpt) Read more at cnsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: alqaeda; jihadinameriaca; obl; obltape; qaeda; threat
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The whole truce thing is just more than a little suspicious.
1 posted on 01/20/2006 8:23:05 AM PST by warpcorebreach
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To: warpcorebreach

If AQ attacks in the next 30 days, the dems will scream for negotiation and accepting the truce offered by bin laden. And bin laden knows this. He's pretty well tuned in to the dems. Heck, the dems could have written his latest statement. (All except for the Iraq keeping AQ busy part).


2 posted on 01/20/2006 8:26:43 AM PST by brownsfan (It's not a war on terror... it's a war with islam.)
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To: warpcorebreach
There certainly hasn't been a slowdown in narcotic trafficking and human smuggling along our southern border, so why are we not to expect some type of islamoterrorist device will eventually get in?
3 posted on 01/20/2006 8:27:32 AM PST by TexasCajun
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To: warpcorebreach

If you read the details, the analysis is: "You can't believe a thing the bastards say, and they will attack you if they can."


4 posted on 01/20/2006 8:27:37 AM PST by Williams
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To: warpcorebreach
When has one of these threats EVER meant an imminent attack? Since 9/11, bin Laden and his cronies have threatened us with everything but plagues of locusts. Yet not ONCE has the threat ever materialized.

When the Madrid and London bombing occurred, no such threat had been made.

So these communiques mean absolutely nothing. Frankly, I'm not even convinced they mean bin Laden is still alive.

5 posted on 01/20/2006 8:28:23 AM PST by IronJack
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To: brownsfan
If AQ attacks in the next 30 days, the dems will scream for negotiation and accepting the truce offered bin laden

Which is exactly why they wont attack us.

If they do attack, I expect it to be Either the UK, Poland or Italy maybe Israel or Russia

Oh god... I just thought of this....TURINO OLYMPICS.
6 posted on 01/20/2006 8:29:51 AM PST by HHKrepublican_2 (OP Spread the Truth....http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1535158/posts)
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To: warpcorebreach

I hope we take this loser out soon, real soon.


7 posted on 01/20/2006 8:30:29 AM PST by TheForceOfOne
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To: brownsfan

The dems have, of course, done the country a great disservice because they have presented an opening to Al Queda by causing them to believe a democrat victory will mean withdrawal at least from Iraq, and safety for Syria and Iran. This is too tempting a political/ military target for an organization as desperate as Al Queda. Leftists get people killed, and not in small numbers.


8 posted on 01/20/2006 8:30:30 AM PST by Williams
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To: IronJack

Jack (booze) Cafferty claims this is just a trick by the White House. He must have inside info...


9 posted on 01/20/2006 8:30:44 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks
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To: warpcorebreach
In my opinion, they HAVE to attack, or lose what little credibility they have left. Think of how the Arab mind works, to go from "Promising to Utterly Destroy You", to "Hey, lets negotiate", is a huge humiliation. It is a sign of desperation, and they know it. This is about as low as they can get, bravado wise, so they have to do something. I'm keepin my eyes, ears, and nose open....
10 posted on 01/20/2006 8:30:48 AM PST by Paradox (Liberalism IS a religion.)
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To: brownsfan

Yeah but the American people will reject it and the dems will see a crushing defeat.


11 posted on 01/20/2006 8:30:53 AM PST by x5452
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To: warpcorebreach

So is the attack really imminent, seriously imminent or imminently imminent?


12 posted on 01/20/2006 8:31:35 AM PST by Nachoman (Optimism is a gift - cynicism is earned.)
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To: brownsfan
If AQ attacks in the next 30 days, the dems will scream for negotiation and accepting the truce offered by bin laden.

I seriously doubt this. The dems are stupid, but not that stupid.

13 posted on 01/20/2006 8:31:51 AM PST by r9etb
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To: warpcorebreach

It's more than a little suspicious - it's the same methodology Muhammed used against his enemies. Call for a truce to re-align and re-supply your troops and then attack at a time of your choosing. BTW - remember that it's always O.K. to lie to an infidel, especially during Jihad.


14 posted on 01/20/2006 8:32:46 AM PST by Bosco (Remember how you felt on September 11?)
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To: warpcorebreach
I knew that after Murtha broadcast to the world the democrats week knee attitude that we would begin to hear new threats with a carrot attempting to appeal to what the terrorist's sense is American discontent over the war.
15 posted on 01/20/2006 8:33:12 AM PST by JIM O
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To: TexasCajun
If it turns out that Arab terrorists got in here across the Mexican border, I wonder how many people here would still defend Bush?

I was a Bush suppoprter, but he either cannot or will not defend our southern border and is therefore NOT protecting us from our enemies.

16 posted on 01/20/2006 8:33:28 AM PST by conserv13
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To: warpcorebreach; All

Something that seems to have been missed (or ignored) by most of the media, including the trustworthy web media, is that Bin Laden didn't actually offer a truce. He stated that he would accept a truce if the US offered one.


17 posted on 01/20/2006 8:33:31 AM PST by Little Pig (Is it time for "Cowboys and Muslims" yet?)
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To: warpcorebreach
The whole truce thing is just more than a little suspicious.

It gives the Muslims a chnce to regroup and get on track in the future with killing Infidels. It' called Hudna.

Remember your obligately to God (Allah) is to convert or kill Infidels. You are under notmoral obligation to bargain in god faith. This isn't about you and your reputation. It is about doing Allah's work.

from honestreporting.com

Hudna has a distinct meaning to Islamic fundamentalists, well-versed in their history: The prophet Mohammad struck a legendary, ten-year hudna with the Quraysh tribe that controlled Mecca in the seventh century. Over the following two years, Mohammad rearmed and took advantage of a minor Quraysh infraction to break the hudna and launch the full conquest of Mecca, the holiest city in Islam.

When Yassir Arafat infamously invoked Mohammad's hudna in 1994 to describe his own Oslo commitments "on the road to Jerusalem," the implication was clear. As Mideast expert Daniel Pipes explained, Arafat was asserting to his Islamic brethren that he will, "when his circumstances change for the better, take advantage of some technicality to tear up existing accords and launch a military assault on Israel." Indeed, this is precisely what occurred in Sept. 2000 when Arafat & Co. launched a terror assault upon Israeli citizens.

18 posted on 01/20/2006 8:34:34 AM PST by Capt. Tom (Don't confuse the Bushies with the dumb Republicans - Capt. Tom)
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To: Paradox
In my opinion, they HAVE to attack, or lose what little credibility they have left. Think of how the Arab mind works, to go from "Promising to Utterly Destroy You", to "Hey, lets negotiate", is a huge humiliation. It is a sign of desperation, and they know it. This is about as low as they can get, bravado wise, so they have to do something.

Yep, and soon. That tape also served as an execution order.

19 posted on 01/20/2006 8:35:30 AM PST by TADSLOS (Right Wing Infidel since 1954)
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To: warpcorebreach
Bin Laden Threat Points to Imminent Attack, Analyst Says

Superbowl maybe?
20 posted on 01/20/2006 8:35:42 AM PST by Honcho
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