Posted on 01/19/2006 1:06:04 PM PST by NormsRevenge
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan - One is believed to be a chemical weapons expert, another allegedly plotted assassinations. A third planned attacks targeting U.S. troops, while a son-in-law publicized their exploits in the name of al-Qaida and recruited new militants.
Now this top group is believed to have been wiped out by a U.S. missile strike. If true, it's far from a death blow to al-Qaida, but analysts say it could weaken the terror group's operations in Afghanistan, which has seen an alarming rise in suicide attacks.
The strike apparently missed al-Qaida's second-in-command, Ayman al-Zawahri. And an audiotape aired Thursday, the first public communication from Osama bin Laden in over a year, suggests the terror network's figureheads are alive.
But the possible demise of four top lieutenants reported by Pakistani officials would rob al-Qaida of people holding the reins to daily operations.
"It's a very significant blow to al-Qaida," said Rohan Gunaratna, a terrorism expert at the Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies in Singapore. "These are very experienced leaders and to replace them in the short term will be very difficult."
The Jan. 13 attack on an Islamic holiday gathering in Damadola killed 13 villagers in the Pakistani hamlet near the Afghan border, and possibly four or five foreign militants whose bodies were reportedly spirited away by sympathizers.
None of the militants' bodies has been traced, but Pakistani officials say they likely included Midhat Mursi al-Sayid Umar, an al-Qaida explosives expert with a $5 million bounty on his head.
He allegedly tested chemical weapons on dogs and trained hundreds of fighters at a terror camp in Afghanistan before the fall of the Taliban in late 2001. Terrorism experts believe that among his students were the suicide bombers who killed 17 U.S. sailors on the USS Cole in 2000.
Another likely victim is Abdul Rehman al-Maghribi, a Moroccan believed to be al-Zawahri's son-in-law, who acted as a PR man for the terror group, distributing CDs and videos to publicize its exploits and attract new followers.
But the biggest quarry could be Khalid Habib, al-Qaida's operations chief along the Afghan-Pakistan border — from where militants can launch attacks on U.S. forces and Afghan government targets. Pakistani officials also accuse him of planning two assassination attempts on Pakistan President Gen. Pervez Musharraf.
"You can say he's the No. 3 leader," Gunaratna said. "As the chief operations officer, he decides who gets hit and when."
Violence in Afghanistan's south and east spiked last year, killing about 1,600 people, including a surge of at least 20 suicide attacks in less than four months — a change of tactics by the militants, who may be mimicking comrades in Iraq.
Afghanistan's Defense Ministry spokesman, Gen. Mohammed Zahir Azimi, said it was too early to tell what effect the missile strike would have on the insurgency in Afghanistan.
But Assadullah Wafa, governor of Afghanistan's Kunar region bordering the area around Damadola, said the attack would seriously damage morale.
"I can't imagine there will be any retaliatory strikes," he said. "They will regroup and then keep a low profile to make sure they're not hit again."
Based in Wafa's home province is another suspected casualty of the attack, Abu Obaidah al-Masri. He is believed to be in charge of planning attacks on U.S.-led coalition forces in the area, which Pakistan says are forbidden from crossing the border in pursuit of militants.
Talat Masood, a retired Pakistani general, said the loss of four top operatives would keep al-Qaida on the defensive in Afghanistan and away from the planning board.
"They have fewer and fewer hiding places," Masood said. "People should be more hesitant to give them sanctuary."
But the attack has strained Washington's ties with Pakistan, a key ally in the war on terror. Pakistan has caught over 700 al-Qaida suspects in the past four years, including Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, alleged mastermind of the Sept. 11 attacks in the United States.
Thousands of Pakistanis have taken to the streets to protest the attack, including more than 1,000 in the northwestern city of Peshawar on Thursday. They denounced the United States and called for the resignation of Musharraf, accusing him of being an American puppet. More rallies were planned Friday.
"Pakistan should not fight against al-Qaida because this is America's war," said Qazi Hussain Ahmed, head of an anti-U.S. religious alliance.
But that anger may cool with confirmation that al-Qaida leaders actually were at the blast site and not just villagers.
"It shows that U.S. intelligence might not have been so bad after all," said Ralph Cossa, president of the Pacific Forum think tank. "But I don't think we can fool ourselves into thinking this is a death blow. Al-Qaida's a snake with many heads."
The war on terror has forced al-Qaida to decentralize, experts say. Isolated on the remote Afghan-Pakistan border, bin Laden and al-Zawahri remain powerful symbols for followers but are probably unable to direct operations around the world.
Masood predicted the U.S.-led coalition would step up military actions in the region to keep the pressure on al-Qaida, regardless of public opposition in Pakistan.
"They will not be deterred by negative fallout," he said. "They think it's just collateral damage."
Pakistani tribal villagers look into the house hit by U.S. strikes killing 18 people in Damadola on Saturday, Jan 14, 2006 in Pakistani tribal area of Bajour. An al-Qaida explosives and chemical weapons expert and a relative of the terror network's No. 2 leader were among three top operatives believed killed in a U.S. missile strike, Pakistani security officials said Thursday, Jan 19, 2006. (AP Photo /Mohammad Zubair)
Supporter of Pakistani religious party Jamat-i-Islami takes part in an anti-U.S. rally Thursday, Jan. 19, 2006 in Peshawar, Pakistan to condemn last week U.S. airstrikes in the Pakistani tribal territory of Bajour which killed 18 people. An al-Qaida explosives and chemical weapons expert and a relative of the terror network's No. 2 leader were among three top operatives believed killed in a U.S. missile strike, Pakistani security officials said. (AP Photo /Mohammad Zubair)
Pakistani tribesmen search a house which was destroyed after a missile strike in Damadola, 200 km (124 miles) northwest of Islamabad, in this January 14, 2006 file photo. ABC News reported on January 18, 2006 that al Qaeda's master bomb maker and chemical weapons expert Midhat Mursi, 52, also known as Abu Khabab al-Masri, was one of the men killed in last week's U.S. missile attack in Pakistan. REUTERS/Ali Imam/File
We must really be hurting Osama if he's offering a truce now. We're getting closer, OBL, you b*****d!
Hmmm, is this why OBL stuck his head out of his rat's nest today; trying to rally his vermon?
" "Pakistan should not fight against al-Qaida because this is America's war," said Qazi Hussain Ahmed, head of an anti-U.S. religious alliance."
There is a Rat/ACLU type in every crowd.
There's that #3 guy again. The #3's have a long history of short tenure ;)
Reminds me of the poor suckers Darth Vader kept promoting to "Commander" or whatever.
"They have fewer and fewer hiding places"
YES, that's the whole point
Exactly.
Show them the same degree of mercy they showed 3000 COMPLETELY INNOCENT men, women and children on 9/11.
Which is to say, not a drop.
No bias there!/s
Well, this is making me think that the CIA may finally be on the path to doing something worthwhile. But it really makes me love the Hellfire missile system and the Predator drones.
How appropriate.
But the Left keeps saying that these attacks will make thousands more terrorists.
yeehaw!
How typical of AP to point to a demonstration against the US but not reveal that it was tiny compared to the typical multi-thousand howling maniac demos of the past. You can get a thousand Leftists to demonstrate against God, country or apple pie any day of the week here.
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