Posted on 01/16/2006 10:27:34 PM PST by anotherview
Jan. 17, 2006 7:53
New poll forecasts 52 seats for Kadima
By JPOST.COM STAFF
A poll conducted among people who were certain they would vote in the next elections revealed on Tuesday that Kadima was expected to receive 52 seats in the upcoming elections.
Maagar Mochot, who conducted the poll that was published in Globes, noted that the definite voters would eventually constitute only 60% of the final turnout.
It was also predicted that Likud would get 21 seats, and Labor would have a representation of 12 MKs.
ping
Hope the new premier's real first name is David.
Sorry, no, it really is Ehud.
I still think if the Israelis have two months to concentrate on Olmert and Peres then they will start drifting away from Kadima. I think much of this is sympathy for Sharon. Bad news for the Jews at this point.
You mean the squatters in the market? I don't think anyone who would support the squatters would have ever said they were voting for Kadima.
Also, Bibi knows a thing or two about pulling out of Hebron, since he was the only Prime Minister ever to do such a thing.
The other 35 seats are divided between smaller parties:
National Union, Yisrael Beitanu, and Mafdal on the far right.
Shas and UTJ - religous center/right.
Meretz/Yahad - far left.
Various Arab lists.
I think the last numbers I saw had what's left of Shinui falling out of the Knesset entirely. Ale Yarok, on the other hand, may actually get two seats. I certainly hope that last one doesn't happen.
Actually I see so many people uniting behind a strong leader who is for finishing disengagement to be very good for Israel. The views on Free Republic are often outside what would be considered mainstream in Israel.
I think you are seeing support for Prime Minister Sharon's policies as much as sympathy. I also think that there is very little trust of either Amir Peretz or Binyamin Netanyahu.
You might be right. Maybe most Israelis want a government that appeases terrorists and turns all its power against Jews. Maybe they are so hooked on American aid that the only hope they see is to become a virtual colony of the USA or the EU and this election is really for a colonial governor. I am sure Free Republic is not a microcosm of Israel. I have not been there since 1972 and have thought about going this year but am fearful of what I would find there. If Israel is going to cut itself off from the Jewish people and its history it is not going to have a future because it would serve no purpose and its enemies will not go away.
Mafdal or NRP was moderate before Effi Eitam took over the party. Since Eitam it is as right wing as National Union. Religious Zionism covers a wide spectrum of political area. As a whole it is not far right though there are certainly far right elements within the national religious movement.
National Union favors "transfer", as in forced deportation of the entire Arab population in the territories. If that isn't "far right" I don't know what is.
Israel does not "appease terrorists" and that was not what disengagement was or is about. Disengagement is about demographics, about maintaining a Jewish majority in Israel, and about not having millions of hostile Arabs within our borders who would, in short order, become a majority.
As far as turning our power against Jews, yes, we moved 8,000 Jews from Gaza to protect the other 5.5 million Jews in Israel.
We are far stronger than you imagine. We are not anyone's colony.
More attacks like the one in Tel Aviv and who knows what will happen in March.
As the old saying goes, "The Palestinians never miss an opportunity, to miss an opportunity".
How did kicking Jews out of Gaza strengthen Israel's security? Do the Al Queada cells forming in Gaza strengthen Israel? Do the constant shelling of the areas of Gaza strengthen Israel's security? How do you think the Arabs view it? They are saying this proves that murdering Jews pays off. Why do you think Hamas is suddenly so popular?
BTTT.
http://www.haaretzdaily.com/hasen/spages/691881.html
Last update - 19:59 08/03/2006
Poll: Kadima holds firm at 37 seats, Likud up to 17
By Yossi Verter, Haaretz Correspondent
Twenty days ahead of the general elections Kadima's recent drop in popularity has been halted, and the party garnered 37 seats in the latest Haaretz-Dialogue poll.
The party's slide in the poll ended despite television reports this week that shed light on political appointments made by Omri Sharon, some of them linked to senior Kadima officials.
According to the poll, Likud gained a significant two seats, rising to 17.
Likud narrowed the gap with the Labor Party, which for the past month has been unable to rise above the 19-seat mark.
If this trend continues, Likud, which started the election campaign at ten seats in the polls, is likely to surpass Labor, which garnered 27-28 seats in polls conducted after the election of Amir Peretz as party chairman.
Some 605 people took part in the Haaretz-Dialogue poll, conducted under the supervision of Professor Camille Fuchs from Tel Aviv University. The poll has a margin of error of 4%.
The poll indicated no significant changes pertaining to other parties, aside from Meretz, which dropped two seats and now stands at four. The Green Leaf party passed the voter threshold for the first time, attaining two seats.
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