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That you Pollyanna? Do you honestly think that the mullahs would not close the straits ten minutes after the first strike? (btw...your assessment of what they could do and how easily we could stop them in Hormuz is fantasy - they have all they need in place already)
"Do you honestly think that the mullahs would not close the straits ten minutes after the first strike? "
Yes. I honestly believe that would (a) not work and (b) doom the Iranian Government to total collapse. As I said, oil is 60% of their economy, and such an action would cut off their own exports primarily. Their economy would collapse as would their government if they were that stupid to block their own economic power.
The fact that they have a lot of military assets that US military can take out in a matter of hours of air strikes is interesting but not determinative.
You forget that, just looking at history, say the 1980s... two oil exporting nations (Iran, Iraq) were at war for 8 years, but they kept on exporting oil! Had they stopped exporting, the war might have gotten cut short for lack of funds. :-)
The Mullahs are crazy, but they are not stupid. Even the 'fear' of war has given them the high oil prices they need, that are far more beneficial than an actual attempt to act on any such threat (which btw, they have not made; their threat is to kill Israel).
I think I see WOSG's error: he is ascribing rational actor status to the Iranian leadership. As in (paraphrased) "An oil boycott would hurt them more than us."
I don't think WOSG has been paying attention to what Ahmaedinejob's actual writings and statements. His goal is NOT to improve the Iranian economy or anything else "rational" like that. His goal is to deliberately instigate a global financial collapse, leading (he thinks) to an eventual caliphate rising form the ashes of chaos and war.
A couple dozen mobile land-based Silkworms hitting tankers and USN vessels immediately blows his rosy "12 hour air war victory" scenario right out of the water. After USN warships are sunk, and more Silkworms and SCUDs are flying all over the ME, it's going to be tough to call the war a 12 hour victory and go home.