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Game Theory and Media Bias
Townhall.com ^ | January 5, 2006 | Todd Manzi

Posted on 01/06/2006 1:33:45 PM PST by xsysmgr

Democrats like Senator Harry Reid understand—and manipulate—the bias of the mainstream media. They realize it is their most powerful political weapon, and they wield it with masterful skill. Democrats control the news cycle, because they apply an advanced level of game theory as they use the press to gain an edge over their political opponents.

In 2005, Thomas Schelling received the Nobel Prize in economics. Schelling won the award because of the way he applied the principles of game theory to help manage the U.S. nuclear standoff with the Soviets. Reid has demonstrated his mastery of this discipline by soundly trouncing the Republicans in the press.

People who understand game theory will contemplate the other player’s likely move and incorporate it into a more complex strategy. Poker is an apt analogy. At the surface, the strategy of poker is to bet if you have the best hand. At a deeper level, a good move can be made that violates surface strategy by bluffing. At an expert level, players intensely watch their opponents, so they know who to bluff, who not to bluff, when to bluff and when not to bluff. A strategy of the game is developed that looks nothing like beginning strategy, because it relies more on the behavior of the other players than the fundamentals of the game.

It used to be that the press would report the happenings of politics. Somewhere along the line, the process became perverted, and politicians began playing to the press and engaging in behavior that was motivated solely because of the prospect of media coverage. The tail wagged the dog, and politicians learned they could manipulate the press. Today, the message of politics is delivered through a liberally biased prism. Not only do Reid and the Democrats make moves designed to get media coverage, they take full advantage of the premise that the people reporting the news are predisposed to liberal ideology. 

Reid knows that President Bush did not mislead the public, lie or “cherry pick” intelligence as he made his case to go to war in Iraq. Reid remembers the first debate in 2002 was about whether the president had the authority to go to war. He must appreciate the solid political move President Bush made as he slapped the issue back to the Democrats and forced Congress to authorize the war. It was an uncomfortable vote for Democrats in an election year. Reid is aware that he and the rest of his party included many reasons in the 2002 resolution authorizing the war that had nothing to do with nuclear weapons. They included these reasons to provide themselves political cover with their base, but now say they were tricked into voting for the war, because President Bush gave them faulty intelligence about nuclear weapons.

With his understanding of game theory, Senator Reid is confident the mainstream media is not inclined to report the facts objectively. There is no doubt in his mind that liberal reporters and editors will give him cover as he lies and rewrites history. He won’t be exposed for telling his big lie that President Bush lied.

Harry Reid is smart enough to know the indictments of Scooter Libby were about obstruction of justice and nothing more. Libby may have been attempting to influence the news cycle, but his actions had nothing to do with the dissemination of intelligence leading up to the war. On the deepest level, Reid understands that fact. He is also acutely aware of how he took advantage of the opportunity to misconstrue the indictment and use it as a platform to promote his erroneous claim about President Bush. 

Senator Reid wasn’t pleased when the news cycle started to move away from pre-war intelligence and indictments. It looked as if the news was heading in a direction that would favor President Bush. In a masterful moment of applying game theory, the Minority Leader shut down the Senate. Ostensibly, his reason was the need for answers about pre-war intelligence, but since he already knew the answers, the real reason Reid made the move was to control the news cycle and bring back a political liability for Republicans.

Partly because of the ineptitude of Senator Frist, Senator Reid’s ploy worked. Frist made a spectacle of himself by launching into an angry tirade regarding Reid’s move. Perhaps if Frist could have disengaged himself, he would have realized that Reid’s behavior had nothing to do with the Senate and everything to do with making headlines. Frist did not understand the game and played right into Reid’s hand. The media loved it. Democrats loved it. Republicans lost ground.

When Congressman Jack Murtha grabbed the news cycle, House Republicans made the best game theory move of the year for their side of the isle. On the same day Murtha’s position was printed in almost every newspaper in the country, Republicans forced the House to vote on the congressman’s proposal. Everyone knew the vote wasn’t about Murtha’s proposed resolution. Republicans forced their opponents to vote on that day’s news coverage. Democrats lost that one.

The disingenuous behavior of the House Republicans gave them one media victory compared with dozens of victories scored by Reid and the Democrats last year. Some will argue that Republicans should not stoop to using devious tactics like the ones the Democrats do. Some (including me) will spend time and effort whining about how unfairly media bias affects conservative ideology. But, facts are facts, and the situation is what it is. The choice for Republicans is to get their heads in the game and use every tactic they can to fight the Democrats, or take the high road and lose at the ballot box.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: 109th; deceit; demlies; dncstrategy; manipulation; msm; partisanmedia; reid

1 posted on 01/06/2006 1:33:46 PM PST by xsysmgr
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To: xsysmgr
one media victory compared with dozens of victories scored

If those victories don't translate into electoral wins, they are meaningless.

A media victory appears to be preaching to the choir these days.

Game theory? Looks something like what used to be called 'politics'.

2 posted on 01/06/2006 1:59:04 PM PST by siunevada (If we learn nothing from history, what's the point of having one? - Peggy Hill)
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To: xsysmgr
This is true the Republicans need to get there heads out of the sand and make some noise. Anything is better than nothing.

Look, most people on the GOP side do things the old fashioned way. They earn it.

Rats don't care what they have to do to win, anything, no matter how low or slimy means little to them. The ends justify the means with this crowd. The media is there stooge as well as high school and college educators.

They have the easy road and they know it.
3 posted on 01/06/2006 2:06:00 PM PST by Duke Wayne
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To: xsysmgr

Since the Pubbies will never get it, I guess it's time to give up,


4 posted on 01/06/2006 2:23:38 PM PST by Cyber Liberty (© 2006, Ravin' Lunatic since 4/98)
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To: xsysmgr

It's worse than described in the article.

For the last 60 years, since Emperor Roosevelt II, the gasbags of the MSM have played Press Representative to the loony left wing of American politics.

Until the MSM believes conservatism is here to stay, they will continue to amplify the arguments of the left and diminish those of the right.

The Times They Are A-changing. But softly, softly, catchee monkee.


5 posted on 01/06/2006 2:46:22 PM PST by Santiago de la Vega (El hijo del Zorro)
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To: xsysmgr
VASTLY over estimate the intelligence of Reid and the Democrats. They are on the WRONG side of history on every single issue. Reid and his insane clown posse appeal to the rabid faction of their base and NO where else. This would be funny except the usual crowd will actually think this is WISE. Funny how untrained, unexperienced armatures always think they can lecture the pols on what they SHOULD do. Um, here is an idea. Quit trying to win the media war on THEIR battlefield and create your OWN media. Republicans WON In the 1990s doing that. NOW they want to go back to the 1970s and figure out how to BEAT the Junk Media on THEIR field. Just stupid.
6 posted on 01/06/2006 4:04:18 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Marine Corp T-Shirt "Guns don't kill people. I kill people." {Both Arabic and English})
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To: xsysmgr

One of the dumbest articles ever written. I hope that no one listen to this moron and have the Republicans adopt the democrats strategy of hate and hysteria. This moron does not realize that the democrats nastiness is a main reason that is causing them to lose one election after another.


7 posted on 01/06/2006 5:24:59 PM PST by jveritas (The Axis of Defeatism: Left wing liberals, Buchananites, and third party voters.)
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To: MNJohnnie

Great post my friend.


8 posted on 01/06/2006 5:26:33 PM PST by jveritas (The Axis of Defeatism: Left wing liberals, Buchananites, and third party voters.)
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