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Congratulations to John Campbell, New Congressman from California's 48th District
HughHewitt.com ^ | December 6, 2005 08:34 PM PST | Hugh Hewitt

Posted on 12/07/2005 7:56:36 AM PST by Checkers

...What to conclude? Despite massive media attention and around-the-clock boosterism from local radio flaks and know-nothings John & Ken, the candidacy of anti-illegal immigration single issue candidate Jim Gilchrist could only muster 23,237 votes --less than one third of the Graham vote in November of 2004. No "Minuteman" candidate will ever have more favorable conditions than this special election, and still the Minuteman candidate failed miserably. As will a Congressman Tancredo if he mounts a "run" for the presidency.

Hard truth: There is a small, but important anti-illegal immigrant vote. It is less than 10% in one of the most conservative Congressional districts in the country. (Gilchrist tallied less than 10% of the 2004 general election total vote of more than 290,000, even though his highly motivated, single-issue constituency was well-informed and mobilized for the special election. If that's the best this constituency could do in the best of circumstances, it isn't a "movement," it is rather a small, but important "constituency," but not an electorally decisive one.)

The key conclusions: John Campbell will be a Congressman for as long as he chooses to be (30 years?), and other GOP incumbents will study these results very closely and recognize that while there is a 5-to-10% that must be reassured on the security of the border, there is no national tide running that demands an exclusve and relentless focus on illegal immigration.

The twelve words are still the message:

Win the war. Confirm the judges. Cut the taxes. Control the spending.

(Excerpt) Read more at hughhewitt.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: 109th; 48th; dukecampbell; gilchrist; hughhewitt; jimgilchrist; johncampbell
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To: Regulator

You still haven't solved the fundemental problem: Gilchrist has -NO- record.

I never said Campbell's record was impressive, merely that it gave at least some indication that he would make a halfway decent congressman that was probably right more often then wrong, effective more often then ineffective.

You have no such assurance from Gilchrist, who has done nothing noteworthy then the minutemen project.


101 posted on 12/07/2005 5:14:20 PM PST by zbigreddogz
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To: Plutarch
My point is that the illegal immigration issue is potent...

I agree with you that the issue is potent. Despite the fact that we have done a piss-poor job of it throughout our entire history, we live in a time when controlling our borders is of paramount concern.

I even applaud the Minutemen concept, because we have a long tradition in this country, going back before our founding, of citizen militias acting for the common good.

However, Gilchrist's showing was weak because: (1) he spent a lot on the campaign, (2) he had the benefit of millions in free media thanks to KFI, (3) running as an independent, he certainly drew people who always vote for minority party candidates as well as cross-over votes from Dems looking to cause mischief. On top of that, it was a low-turnout election, which should have helped Gilchrist because (supposedly) he had the most motivated voters.

Despite all those advantages, he still couldn't even beat the under-funded, virtually ignored Dem in the race.

You can spin it anyway you want, but it was a weak showing.

102 posted on 12/07/2005 5:20:25 PM PST by Wolfstar ("In war, there are usually only two exit strategies: victory or defeat." Mark Steyn)
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To: Wolfstar
Fair enough, I should have expanded my statement.

What I really mean is that a good number of republicans are happy with socialist/intrusive government programs that could care less about liberty and freedom, And the only thing they care about are economic polices that benefit them at the expense of the strength of our country, they have no loyalty to the country and just want their deduction or tax break or ICE to look the other way

103 posted on 12/07/2005 5:24:05 PM PST by vrwc0915
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To: vrwc0915
What I really mean is that a good number of republicans are happy with socialist/intrusive government programs that could care less about liberty and freedom, And the only thing they care about are economic polices that benefit them at the expense of the strength of our country, they have no loyalty to the country and just want their deduction or tax break or ICE to look the other way

Although I would express it differently and don't agree totally, I do largely agree. However, I wouldn't limit the statement to Republicans. ALL but the rarest politicians care first about entrenching themselves and getting reelected as often as they wish. I think most have loyalty to the country, but have loyalty to their own wallets and prestige first.

Although there have been many betrayals of the limited-federal government ideal, the worst was passage of the federal income tax in the so-called progressive era at the turn of the last century. No other single act increased the power of the federal government as massively as ratification of the 16th Amendment. The states were happy to ratify it, of course, because they also got to grab a portion of their citizens' incomes right off the top.

Sadly, many citizens were also for it, at first because they thought it wouldn't affect them, then later because they thought the government was giving them something for nothing.

It is the income tax which makes possible nearly all of the big government problems we complain about today.

104 posted on 12/07/2005 5:40:56 PM PST by Wolfstar ("In war, there are usually only two exit strategies: victory or defeat." Mark Steyn)
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To: Checkers
I wonder how many of the Gilchrist-ians are aware of Jim's Rollerball view of the world?

What exactly do you mean by that?

105 posted on 12/08/2005 9:53:22 AM PST by jmc813 (Compassionate Conservatism is Gay)
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To: Wolfstar
A good portion of Repubs today are socialists who don't like paying taxes...

That has GOT to be the dumbest statement I've ever read on FR, and I've been here almost since the very beginning.

A small minority of freepers vigorously defended Bush's Pills for Geezers scheme. That plan is about as socialist as you can get.

106 posted on 12/08/2005 10:00:51 AM PST by jmc813 (Compassionate Conservatism is Gay)
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To: calcowgirl; Travis McGee

While I like Jim Gilchrist, whether you lose by election day or absentee ballot, you still lose. I say this as one who has voted absentee for the past six elections. Hopefully, Jim has learned his lesson for his next race.


107 posted on 12/08/2005 10:06:07 AM PST by Clemenza (Free minds, Free markets, Free society)
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To: jmc813

Which part would you like me to clear up?


108 posted on 12/08/2005 12:29:04 PM PST by Checkers (Hasta La Vista, "Tookie!")
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To: Checkers
Which part would you like me to clear up?

I'm not familiar with the term "rollerball".

109 posted on 12/08/2005 1:05:04 PM PST by jmc813 (Compassionate Conservatism is Gay)
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To: jmc813

Gilchrist has stated his belief that he sees reality as resembling the world as depicted in the movie "Rollerball."

Unclear as to whether he means the James Caan version or the remake with Rebecca Romayn(sp?)Stamos.


110 posted on 12/08/2005 2:12:01 PM PST by Checkers (Hasta La Vista, Gilchrist !)
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