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Analysis Casts Doubt on Vietnam War Claims
AP on Yahoo ^ | 12/1/05 | Calvin Woodward - ap

Posted on 12/01/2005 6:41:44 PM PST by NormsRevenge

WASHINGTON - A spy-agency analysis released Thursday contends a second attack on U.S. ships in the Gulf of Tonkin never happened, casting further doubt on the leading rationale for escalation of the Vietnam War.

Much as faulty U.S. intelligence preceded the invasion of Iraq, the mishandling of intercepted communications 40 years earlier is blamed in the National Security Agency paper for giving President Johnson carte blanche in the conflict.

The agency put out more than 140 long-secret documents in response to requests from researchers trying to get to the bottom of an episode that unfolded in the South China Sea on Aug. 4, 1964, and has been disputed since.

Among the documents is an article written by one of the agency's historians for its classified publication, Cryptologic Quarterly, declaring that his review of the complete intelligence shows beyond doubt "no attack happened that night."

Claims that North Vietnamese boats attacked two warships that Aug. 4 — just two days after an initial assault on one of those ships — rallied Congress behind Johnson's buildup of the war. The Gulf of Tonkin resolution passed three days later empowered him to take "all necessary steps" in the region and opened the way for large-scale commitment of U.S. forces.

"The parallels between the faulty intelligence on Tonkin Gulf and the manipulated intelligence used to justify the Iraq war make it all the more worthwhile to re-examine the events of August 1964 in light of new evidence," said researcher John Prados.

Prados is a specialist on the Gulf of Tonkin at George Washington University's National Security Archive, which is not affiliated with the National Security Agency, and which pressed for release of the documents through Freedom of Information requests and other means.

The article, by NSA historian Robert J. Hanyok, reviews signals intelligence, or SIGINT, from that time and concludes top administration officials were only given material supporting the claim of an Aug. 4 attack — not the wealth of contradictory intelligence. His study was published in 2001 and does not necessarily reflect the agency's position.

"In truth, Hanoi's navy was engaged in nothing that night but the salvage of two of the boats damaged on 2 August," Hanyok wrote.

He said "the handful of SIGINT reports which suggested that an attack had occurred contained severe analytical errors, unexplained translation changes, and the conjunction of two unrelated messages into one translation. This latter product would become the Johnson administration's main proof of the Aug. 4 attack."

He said he did not find "manufactured evidence and collusion at all levels"; rather, it appeared intelligence-gatherers had made a series of mistakes and their superiors did not set the record straight.

Conflicting and confused reports from the scene have long cast doubt on whether the events unfolded as claimed.

Hanyok's analysis of previously top secret intelligence adds insight on North Vietnam's communications from that time, showing, he said, that the supposed attackers did not even know the location of the destroyers, the USS Maddox and C. Turner Joy, as the two ships patrolled off the North Vietnam coast.

Indeed, a shorter agency study done years earlier and also released Thursday indicated the ships did not know what, if anything, was coming at them as they zigzagged to evade what the crews feared were torpedoes, and as they fired on targets identified by radar.

That study concluded with a wry note, saying the destroyers resumed their patrols after a heavy round of U.S. airstrikes on North Vietnam ports, "and the rest is just painful history."

A detailed chronology assembled days after the episode for the Joint Chiefs of Staff by J.J. Merrick, commander of Destroyer Division 192, reflected the uncertainty of that night.

It said that sonar in many cases picked up sounds that were believed to be torpedoes but turned out to be "self noise" — the beating of the ships' own propellers, or noise from patrol boats or supporting planes that were strafing the dark sea in cloudy skies, unable to see any prey.

In another instance, however, the report contended a "torpedo wake was seen by four people."

The Maddox had come under fire from North Vietnamese patrol boats Aug. 2, taking only superficial damage.

___

On the Net:

National Security Agency documents: http://www.nsa.gov/vietnam/index.cfm

National Security Archive: http://www.gwu.edu/nsarchiv/


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: analysis; castsdoubt; tonkinbay; vietnam; warclaims
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1 posted on 12/01/2005 6:41:45 PM PST by NormsRevenge
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To: NormsRevenge

Much as faulty U.S. intelligence preceded the invasion of Iraq, the mishandling of intercepted communications 40 years earlier is blamed in the National Security Agency paper for giving President Johnson carte blanche in the conflict.

---

Nice try, Cal.

---

LBJ lied
1000s died


2 posted on 12/01/2005 6:43:02 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Monthly Donor spoken Here. Go to ... https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: NormsRevenge
I see. I guess the world is a peaceful place, except when American war mongers deceive the public.

This is kind of thing is so cliche. Can't they come up with anything more creative any more? It sounds like something you'd hear from your typical first year leftist Poli-Sci professor.

3 posted on 12/01/2005 6:51:32 PM PST by ElkGroveDan (California bashers will be called out)
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To: NormsRevenge

> "The parallels between the faulty intelligence on Tonkin
> Gulf and the manipulated intelligence used to justify the
> Iraq war make it all the more worthwhile to re-examine
> the events of August 1964 in light of new evidence,"
> said researcher John Prados.

Yup, just another impartial investigator looking for
something else, who stumbled onto heretofore unknown
(well, to him anyway) data supporting his novel (well,
shared by all his marxist prof buddies) hypothesis
that the Iraq Theatre of the Global War on Terror is
just Vietnam all over again.


4 posted on 12/01/2005 6:53:35 PM PST by Boundless
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To: NormsRevenge

I wonder how much these guys helped out during the Bay of Pigs invasion?


5 posted on 12/01/2005 7:00:34 PM PST by fat city ("The nation that controls magnetism controls the world.")
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To: NormsRevenge
I don't know what these guys are researching but this is very old news to me. I don't recall the source of my "knowledge" but I believe the gulf of Tonkin incident has long been known to be ... uh ... questionable.

Just an excuse to draw a parallel to Viet Nam.
6 posted on 12/01/2005 7:19:29 PM PST by cdrw (Freedom and responsibility are inseparable)
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To: NormsRevenge

I don't see what the fuss is. Today, LBJ would declare the need for a pre-emptive strike based on danger to South Viet Nam and attack. Post 9/11 America is not your father's USA.


7 posted on 12/01/2005 7:23:13 PM PST by gcruse (http://gcruse.typepad.com)
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To: NormsRevenge

Was that written by Tass, Pravda, Isvestia, the KGB, Aljazeera, or the DNC?


8 posted on 12/01/2005 7:25:31 PM PST by pleikumud
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To: NormsRevenge
Just another attempt by the DNC-AP to Vietnamize the Iraq war and the Bush Administration.

The AP is a pathetic den of liars.
9 posted on 12/01/2005 7:26:16 PM PST by The South Texan (The Democrat Party and the leftist (ABCCBSNBCCNN NYLATIMES)media are a criminal enterprise!)
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To: pleikumud

AP .. Amalgamated Propaganda


10 posted on 12/01/2005 7:26:18 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Monthly Donor spoken Here. Go to ... https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: NormsRevenge

The Iraq-is-Vietnam folks are pulling out all the stops. Color me unimpressed - this is old news. I might also point out that although the second attack was debunked the first one was perfectly real. The only real parallel between Vietnam and Iraq is that the same tired group of self-justifying posers are willing to lie about it.


11 posted on 12/01/2005 7:29:48 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: NormsRevenge

Bush's fault. No WAIT! It was JOHNSON'S fault!


12 posted on 12/01/2005 7:30:49 PM PST by Lancer_N3502A
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To: NormsRevenge
As if the FIRST attacks on our warships weren't cause enough to declare war as the North violated our sovereign right to travel the high seas peacefully
13 posted on 12/01/2005 7:31:53 PM PST by RedMonqey (Life is hard. It's even harder when you're stupid.)
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To: NormsRevenge
Further proof that Democrats only accuse their opponents of crimes that they themselves have committed.
14 posted on 12/01/2005 7:34:09 PM PST by MrBambaLaMamba (Buy 'Allah' brand urinal cakes - If you can't kill the enemy at least you can piss on their god)
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To: MrBambaLaMamba

Wasn't Lyndon Johnson having a little scandal problem involving a guy named Billy Sol Estes about the same time as the G.O.T incident?


15 posted on 12/01/2005 7:39:54 PM PST by DaiHuy (Oderint dum metuant)
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To: NormsRevenge

STOP THE PRESSES!


16 posted on 12/01/2005 8:26:33 PM PST by Brad from Tennessee (Anything a politician gives you he has first stolen from you)
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To: NormsRevenge

can't blame johnson when Kennedy started that war 3 years earlier.


17 posted on 12/01/2005 8:34:25 PM PST by kajingawd (" happy with stone underhead, let Heaven and Earth go about their changes")
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To: NormsRevenge
Prados is a specialist on the Gulf of Tonkin at George Washington University's National Security Archive, which is not affiliated with the National Security Agency

. . .but which is affiliated with pro-Castro individuals and groups, such as Peter Kornbluh, who arranged John Kerry's trip to Nicaragua in 1984.

18 posted on 12/01/2005 8:38:31 PM PST by Fedora
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To: NY Dreamer

For your reading pleasure!


19 posted on 12/01/2005 8:39:51 PM PST by NY Attitude (You are responsible for your safety until the arrival of Law Enforcement Officers!)
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To: NormsRevenge

My ship along with about 20 other Naval vessels was in Yokosuka, Japan, on that Sunday. Word came down of the attack. Liberty was cancelled. By Monday morning, all but 5 ships were left in port, including us. We left Tuesday for Subic Bay, PI.
Some time later, the USS MADDOX and the USS C. TURNER JOY arrived in Subic. They tied up alongside for a tender availabiltity period (repair)/R&R. No signs of damage to either ship was noticed by these gawking eyes, but the rumors were floating that they had take small arms hits to the superstructure. Can't prove it by me.


20 posted on 12/01/2005 9:00:19 PM PST by Diver Dave
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