[Alberta's Child]

These polls don't mean very much on a national level, since in Canada's parliamentary system the leadership is elected by the members of parliament. Posting a national poll in Canada is like trying to predict the balance of power in Congress via a single national poll.

Probably the single biggest factor in this election would be the strength of the Bloc Quebecois and the NDP in relation to the Liberals, since these three parties basically compete for the same voters -- and the Conservatives aren't likely to attract much support from these voters. This is similar to the way Ralph Nader and Al Gore were competing for the same voters here in the U.S. in 2000.

[Alberta's Child]

Ping.